College cramming: Great betting tidbits for Week 12

Nov 16, 2012 |
Don't click that "confirm" button on your college football wagers until you browse our Week 12 betting news and notes. For notes and tips on all the Top 25 games, check out our Week 12 betting cheat sheet.

- Maryland continues to go with linebacker-turned-quarterback Shawn Petty under center. Petty will take the snaps again versus Florida State Saturday, after going just 6-for-12 passing for 41 yards and a TD in last week’s loss to Clemson. Head coach Randy Edsall has dumbed down the playbook for Petty and is running some option offense, which Petty ran in high school, to better accommodate the QB. Petty will have WR Stefon Diggs down field this week. Diggs is probable versus FSU after injuring his ankle.

- Northwestern has been a thorn in the side of Michigan State for a long time, posting a 5-0 ATS mark in its last five meetings with the Spartans in East Lansing. Michigan State’s four Big Ten losses have come by a combined 10 points.

- Saturday’s battle between Kent State and Bowling Green will determine which team will play in the MAC Championship Game. The Falcons, who are 2.5-point favorites, are just 2-6 in their last eight meetings with the Golden Flashes.

- The top two teams in the C-USA face off when Central Florida visits Tulsa (-1.5) Saturday. With both teams on top of their respective C-USA division, this is a possible preview of the championship game. A win would guarantee home-field advantage in the C-USA title game. The Golden Hurricane don’t want to head to Orlando, where UCF has won 14 of its last 16 conference games.

- Penn State (-17.5) will be without redshirt freshman tight end Kyle Carter versus Indiana Saturday. Carter is out for the remainder of the season after suffering a wrist injury in last week’s loss to Nebraska. Carter is the Nittany Lions’ second-leading receiver with 453 yards on 36 catches this season. The tight ends have played a big role in PSU’s offense, which is 39th in passing (268.8 yards per game) in the country.

- Houston RB Charles Sims is "very, very doubtful” for Saturday’s game against Marshall (-3.5), according to Cougars head coach Tony Levine. Sims, who is the fourth-leading rusher in the C-USA with 849 yards, is nursing an injured ankle and isn’t the only UH skill player dealing with an ailment. Receiver Daniel Spencer is out due to a leg injury and QB David Piland was limited in practice with a hand injury this week. He’s listed as probable.

- Temple RB Montel Harris is probable for Saturday’s game against Army. Harris, the fifth-leading rusher in the Big East (74.63 yards per game), is dealing with a knee injury suffered against Cincinnati last week. "Montel's doing well," Owls coach Steve Addazio told reporters. "Just got to give it a little rest and see how that goes, but I feel good about him."

- Rutgers is waiting on RB Jawan Jamison, who is dealing with a sprained ankle. Head coach Kyle Flood told the media Jamison was 75 percent and expects him to play versus Cincinnati (-6) Saturday. Jamison is the second-leading rusher in the Big East, averaging 105.89 yards per game.

- Mississippi State expects RB LaDarius Perkins to return versus Arkansas (+6) this weekend. Perkins, the SEC’s third-leading rusher (89.33 yards per game), missed last week’s loss to LSU with a strained quadriceps muscle. The Bulldogs are just 1-4 in their last five meetings with Arkansas.

- Virginia Tech (-9.5) is mired in its first three-game losing streak since 2002 and is in danger of missing bowl season for the first time in 20 years, heading to Boston College Saturday. Quarterback Logan Thomas holds some of the blame, passing for two touchdowns and six interceptions during that skid.

- Memphis (+10) and UAB meet in what will likely be the final Battle for the Bones, with the Tigers jumping to the Big East next season. The Blazers will jump on the back of RB Darrin Reaves, who has rushed for 573 total yards over the past three games (191 yards per game). The sophomore has seven rushing touchdowns in that span.

- Eastern Michigan switched QBs in last week’s loss to Central Michigan, changing out Tyler Benz for Alex Gillett in the second half. Gillett posted 250 all-purpose yards and three touchdowns but isn’t expected to see more time against Western Michigan (-13.5) this weekend. Benz is the better passer and has started seven straight games.

-  Miami’s cupboard is bare of WR options against South Florida (+6.5) Saturday. Phillip Dorsett, Allen Hurns, Herb Waters and Kendal Thompkins are the only scholarship receivers available without dipping into the redshirt reserves. Wideout Davon Johnson is out for the season with a leg injury and WR Rashawn Scott remains suspended. 

- Off-field issues are hounding Washington State this week with allegations of abuse being made by former WR Marquess Wilson towards head coach Mike Leach. Leach was given his walking papers at Texas Tech after similar claims were made. On the field, Leach may balance time at QB between sophomore Connor Halliday and senior Jeff Tuel versus Arizona State (-21.5) Saturday.

- UMass is bound for a letdown versus Buffalo (-11) Saturday. The Minutemen snapped their winless skid, picking up their first victory of the season – and in the FBS - over Akron last week. UMass head coach Charley Molnar hopes his squad won’t suffer from a hangover. “I think once you get to practice … it’ll be behind them,” Molnar told the Daily Collegian. “It’ll long be gone. They can sit and think about it maybe in the winter if they choose to, but right now our focus has really now moved onto the University (at) Buffalo.”
- Georgia Tech is feeling a little bit of pressure hosting Duke (+13.5) Saturday. The Yellow Jackets need a win to become bowl eligible, and that victory is easier to come by versus the Blue Devils than against Georgia, who GT faces in its final game of the schedule.

- Boise State is missing four starters on its kick coverage squad and its starting to show up on special teams. The Broncos have allowed two 100-yard kickoff return TDs in each of the past two games, watching SDSU average 37.75 yards per return and Hawaii average 28.71 yards per return in those contests. Boise State is a 28-point favorite versus Colorado State, which ranks 32nd in kick returns in the country (23.6 yards per return) Saturday. 

- Southern Methodist (-3.5), which visits Rice this weekend, is a two-faced team when hitting the highway. The Mustangs are 5-1 ATS as hosts but just 1-3 ATS away from University Park. SMU is averaging just 18.2 points on the road (36.8 points per game at home) while allowing 41.4 points against (22.2 points at home).

- Wisconsin already has a ticket to the Big Ten title game in hand heading into Saturday’s game with Ohio State. Thanks to bowl bans for the Buckeyes and Penn State, the Badgers secured their spot atop the Leaders Division with a win over Indiana last week. With Saturday’s game not holding any weight, Wisconsin could rest players in preparation of the postseason. “I think I might have a mutiny on my hands if I tried to pull anyone out of this game on Saturday,” head coach Bret Bielema told the media when asked if he’d rest players.

- Navy (-13.5) is the popular play with Covers Consensus players in their home tilt with Texas State Saturday. As of Friday afternoon, 71.51 percent of consensus picks are on the Middies – the third-most popular pick on the Week 12 board.

- Illinois is one of the worst bets in college football, going 2-8 ATS this season including a seven-game ATS drought heading into Saturday’s game with Purdue (-6). The Illini are averaging just 10.5 points per Big Ten game.

- UL Monroe is the second-most popular pick among Covers Consensus players, with 72.39 percent of picks coming in on the Warhawks -10.5 versus North Texas Saturday. UL Monroe is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games with the Mean Green.

- UNLV is looking for some home-field advantage hosting Wyoming Saturday. The Runnin’ Rebels have played well at Sam Boyd Stadium and, according to the Las Vegas Sun, has held second-half leads in five of their six home games this season. UNLV is averaging 29.7 point at home and just 20 points per game on the road.

- Kansas (74 percent) and Iowa State (75.6 percent) are first and third, respectively, in the Big 12 in red-zone defense. Both have forced five red-zone turnovers. The Jayhawks are 4.5-point underdogs at home.

- Tennessee is averaging 37.9 points (second in the SEC) behind junior quarterback Tyler Bray, who has averaged 434 passing yards in his past three games. The Vols have played over in all nine games with odds this season and face a 60-point number visiting Vanderbilt Saturday. The under, however, is 5-1 in the last six meeting between these rivals.

- Syracuse has not beaten an SEC opponent in a true road game since 1990 when it defeated Vanderbilt 49-14. The Orange are 5.5-point underdogs in Missouri Saturday.

- Arizona is expected to have QB Matt Scott under center against Utah (-1) Saturday after missing last week due to a concussion. Scott leads the Pac-12 in passing yards per game (316.4), passing for 20 TDs and nine INTs this season.

- BYU is up against a powerful San Jose State passing attack Saturday. The Cougars last game versus a high-flying air game was a 42-24 loss to Oregon State, which passed for 332 yards. Head coach Bronco Mendenhall has had to switch up from his nickel defense due to the absence of starting safety Joe Sampson, who was suspended for his role in a brawl on Halloween.

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