English Breakfast: Premier League betting cheat sheet

Jan 16, 2014 |
We're deep into the January transfer window, but apart from Chelsea grabbing Matic from Benfica, and Everton selling Jelavic to Hull City, high-profile transfers have not been in the cards this time around. Let's hope that this round of Premier League fixtures is a bit more exciting than what has transpired in the transfer window.

Sunderland v Southampton (+210, +230, +150)

Why bet Sunderland: The club is chipping away at escaping the relegation zone, but Sunderland is finally out of 20th. A 4-1 shellacking away to Fulham was a good performance to start the climb and a home win against a top-10 club will do wonders for confidence.

Key players out/doubtful: Keiren Westwood, Carlos Cuéllar

Why bet Southampton: The Saints halted a two-game losing skid with a 1-0 victory over West Brom last time out. They'll have their work cut out for them, however, since Sunderland has already knocked them off at the Stadium of Light in the League Cup back in November.

Key players out/doubtful: Pablo Osvaldo, Victor Wanyama

Previous meeting result: Southampton 1, Sunderland 1

Key betting note: Sunderland is undefeated in the last six meetings with Southampton in all competitions.

Arsenal v Fulham (-450, +600, +1400)

Why bet Arsenal: The injury list in North London is long, but the Gunners still hold on to pole position in the table. They've won four-straight games and while the Cottagers have a pair of victories in their last four, the fixture bodes well for the Gunners after the 3-1 win at Craven Cottage earlier.

Key players out/doubtful: Theo Walcott, Mikel Arteta, Tomas Rosicky, Nacho Monreal, Nicklas Bendtner

Why bet Fulham: With Maarten Stekelenburg and Brede Hangeland back in the fold, the Cottagers are returning to full health and six points from its last four matches is a good return for the struggling club. The Cottagers have fared well at Arsenal, with two draws in their last two Premier League games at the Emirates.

Key players out/doubtful: Matthew Briggs

Previous meeting result: Fulham 1, Arsenal 3

Key betting note: The Gunners have kept opponents off the scoresheet in five of the last six matches at the Emirates.

Crystal Palace v Stoke (+135, +220, +250)

Why bet Crystal Palace: The Eagles now reside at the bottom of the table after earning just one point in their last three matches. Despite that, they played extremely well at White Hart Lane in a 2-0 loss last time out. If Palace has one thing, it's heart. That may only give you so much, but it means you can't count them out of any match.

Key players out/doubtful: Jerome Thomas, Kagisho Dikgacoi

Why bet Stoke: The Potters are still flirting with the top-10 despite slumping of late. They've collected just one points from the four previous matches and are just five points above 20th-placed Palace. If the Potters aren't careful Saturday, they'll be flirting with relegation instead.

Key players out/doubtful: Asmir Begovic, Andy Wilkinson

Previous meeting result: Stoke 2, Palace 1

Key betting note: Crystal Palace has kept scorelines under the 2.5 goal total in 11 of its last 13 Premier League matches.

Manchester City v Cardiff (-800, +1000, +2200)

Why bet Manchester City:
Despite picking up nine wins and one draw in their last 10 games, the Citizens still trail the Gunners by one point in the table. More amazing, they're perfect at home with 10 wins from 10 games. No reason to think that success won't stop Saturday with lowly Cardiff in town.

Key players out/doubtful: Samir Nasri, Stevan Jovetic, Jack Rodwell

Why bet Cardiff: Considering the task at hand, there isn't a whole of reason to bet Cardiff at the Etihad. They're 17th in the table in away form and have lost three-straight road matches. That said, the Bluebirds are one of four teams to hand City a loss this season with that dramatic 3-2 home win back in August.

Key players out/doubtful: Jordon Mutch, Andrew Taylor

Previous meeting result:
Cardiff 3, Manchester City 2

Key betting note: Man City has scored at least two goals in five of its last six Premier League matches.

Norwich v Hull City (+140, +230, +225)

Why bet Norwich: The Canaries are struggling and have lost three of their last four, with one draw mixed in. They've sent out Grant Holt on loan, so goalscoring comes down to Gary Hooper, Johan Elmander and Ricky van Wolfswinkel. They'll be motivated for a full three points against the Tigers, as it will square them in points and get them closer to the top 10.

Key players out/doubtful: Elliott Bennett, Michael Turner, Jonny Howson

Why bet Hull City: Already owning 10th place in the table, the Tigers have made a pair of potentially great signings in Nikica Jelavic and Shane Long. Barring a 6-0 drubbing of Fulham, the side has issues with goalscoring, but these players should remedy that problem. Still, the Tigers have faltered a bit of late, losing their last two matches and will try to right the ship at Carrow Road.

Key players out/doubtful: Sone Aluko, Robbie Brady, Paul McShane

Previous meeting result: Hull 1, Norwich 0

Key betting note: These two sides have played Under the 2.5 goal total in their last five meetings in all competitions.

West Ham v Newcastle (+200, +240, +150)

Why bet West Ham: The Hammers are in a tough spot. The injury list is long and Kevin Nolan and James Tomkins will miss out due to suspension. The good news, however, is that they snapped a winless drought with a 2-0 victory at Cardiff last time out. That's an excellent result for a team that's otherwise been atrocious.

Key players out/doubtful: Winston Reid, James Tomkins, James Collins, Guy Demel, Andy Carroll, Kevin Nolan, Ricardo Vaz Te

Why bet Newcastle: The Magpies have dropped three-straight games and this could be a perfect spot for this ugly string of results to end. The side started the season extremely well, but it always felt like they were punching above their weight. They'll certainly field a stronger XI than their opponent at Upton Park Saturday and with European sports within reach, they'll go out for three points.

Key players out/doubtful: Mathieu Debuchy, Fabricio Coloccini

Previous fixture result: Newcastle 0, West Ham 0

Key betting note:
The last two Premier League meetings between these two have resulted in 0-0 scorelines.

Liverpool v Aston Villa (-450, +600, +1400)

Why bet Liverpool: A brief road bump is in the past as the Reds - who had dropped back-to-back matches - now have a pair of victories in their last two outings. Luis Suárez is still playing out of his mind as he now has 22 goals and five assists in 16 Premier League matches. Plus, with Daniel Sturridge back in the mix, the Villa defense will have their hands full at Anfield.

Key players out/doubtful: Jon Flanagan, Daniel Agger, José Enrique

Why bet Aston Villa:
After a long, painful wait, Villa talisman Christian Benteke finally picked up his first goal since September. The highly-regarded striker is key to Villa's success and, despite losing four of their last six, the Villains are holding on to 11th in the table. Summer signing Libor Kozák looks like he'll miss this tilt, so we will more than likely see a familiar attacking trio of Benteke, Gabby Agbonlahor and Andreas Weimann.

Key players out/doubtful: Jores Okore, Nathan Baker, Chris Herd, Libor Kozák

Previous meeting result: Villa 0, Liverpool 1

Key betting note: The Reds have been winning at halftime and fulltime in their last seven Premier League games at Anfield.

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