Where the action is: NFL mid-week line moves

Oct 30, 2013 |
The second half of the NFL schedule gets underway in Week 9. Books and bettors have a good idea what teams are made of at this point in the season, but that’s hasn’t stopped action from moving this week’s NFL odds.

We talk with Aron Black of Bet365.com and Michael Stewart of CarbonSports.ag about the biggest adjustments to the Week 9 odds and where those lines could end up Sunday.

New Orleans Saints at New York Jets – Open: +4.5, Move: +6.5

A week after getting blown away by the Bengals' passing attack, the Jets welcome Drew Brees and the Saints' high-flying offense to MetLife Stadium. It could be more of the same, with Brees coming off a five-TD performance versus the Bills. According to Stewart, action has pounded the Saints all the way past the key number of -6.

“All this just on Sunday night,” says Stewart. “Come Monday afternoon, with us seeing even more money come in on the Saints we had no choice but to go to -6.5 and that's the number we've been dealing since. I can't see this game going any higher than that and we're starting to see some money come in on the Jets. I believe are sharper players are waiting for us to reach 7, but that's not going to happen. We've reached out limit on this game and we won't be going any higher.”

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks
– Open: -18.5, Move: -15.5

The Seahawks face another mountain of chalk versus Tampa Bay, despite a poor showing against the Rams on Monday Night Football. However, the Bucs are winless and have plenty of rumors swirling around head coach Greg Schiano.

“Before Monday, there wouldn’t be any reason to go against Seattle,” says Black. “Normally, Seattle at a line like this is going to be well played. It’s a lot quieter than it would normally be, so it’s possible this line drops a bit further. But over two-touchdown favorites is still going to be where they end up.”

San Diego Chargers at Washington Redskins – Open: Pick, Move: +1.5

Washington was dealt a scare when Robert Griffin III left last Sunday with a knee injury. However, it looks like RG3 will be OK for Week 9, taking on an underrated Chargers team making their second cross-county hike this season.

“I believe the betting public is seeing exactly what we're seeing, that RG3 isn't the same guy as last year,” says Stewart. “Regarding the health of his knee, that's irrelevant to me. It's his accuracy or lack thereof that I'm concerned with. Regardless, after seeing the early money show on the Chargers, we moved this game quickly to Chargers -1 and we're currently dealing Chargers -1.5.”

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