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NASCAR betting: AdvoCare 500 preview

Next up on the NASCAR calendar is the AdvoCare 500 from the Atlanta Motor Speedway which runs Sunday, Sept. 1. Drivers will do 325 laps of the 1.54 mile oval in Hampton, GA. Denny Hamlin was last year's winner but finds himself just about eliminated from the Chase this season. Speaking of which, Jimmie Johnson, Clint Bowyer and Matt Kenseth are the only drivers locked in to the Chase with just two races left.

Favorite: Jimmie Johnson (5-1)

Jimmie Johnson's lead in the Sprint Cup Standings has dwindled down to just 18 points over Clint Bowyer. Despite a great track record at AMS over the years (three wins, 11 top 5 finishes), Johnson finished 34th courtesy of an accident at last year's AdvoCare 500. He hasn't won here since taking the Pep Boys 500 back in 2007.

Live dog:
Kurt Busch (12-1)

Busch is currently on the outside looking in for the Chase for the Championship, but could clinch a spot with a pair of strong finishes to close out the regular season race schedule. He's fared quite well in Atlanta with a pair of wins in eight starts over the past five seasons.

Long shot:
Paul Menard (100-1)

Menard would be a heck of a long shot. To qualify for the Chase, Menard would have to win the final two races (AdvoCare 500 and ) so he'll no doubt be gunning for something. Menard has a top 5 and a top 10 finish at AMS in eight races over the last five seasons, but no wins there. He has zero wins and only one top 5 through 24 races this season, so what better time to push for the first of the season than in Atlanta?

Key stat:
Chevrolet drivers have won 37 of 105 races at Atlanta Motor Speedway and four of the last 10 races at AMS.

Notable quotable: “Since the first time I went there, Atlanta has always been one of my favorite racetracks. It kind of reminds me of racing at Eldora Speedway. When you run the outside at Atlanta right up by the wall, it feels really similar to racing a dirt track in a winged sprint car. I like that feeling you get — that sensation of being beside the wall. And then the tires fall off, and it gets really slippery. Atlanta is just fast and rough. You have a lot of things you’re kind of working through throughout a race run and just trying to get the balance of the car to be good throughout 45-48 laps. It’s tough to get it right. I’ve just always liked racing there, it’s a good one.”

- Kasey Kahne (8th in standings)


Odds to win the AdvoCare 500 (Courtesy of TopBet.eu):

Jimmie Johnson  5-1
Matt Kenseth  6-1
Kasey Kahne  7-1
Kyle Busch  7-1
Kevin Harvick  10-1
Jeff Gordon  10-1
Brad Keselowski  10-1
Kurt Busch  12-1
Martin Truex Jr.  15-1
Denny Hamlin  15-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr.  15-1
Clint Bowyer  15-1
Carl Edwards  18-1
Joey Logano  20-1
Brian Vickers  25-1
Greg Biffle  25-1
Ryan Newman  40-1
Jamie McMurray  75-1
Juan Montoya  75-1
Mark Martin  75-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.  100-1
Paul Menard  100-1
Jeff Burton  100-1
Marcos Ambrose  100-1
Aric Almirola  100-1
A.J. Allmendinger  100-1
Danica Patrick  100-1
Bobby Labonte  100-1
Austin Dillon  100-1
Field ( Any Other Driver )  50-1

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Posted by stats1
1 year ago

Carl Edwards is the live dog at 18-1
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Posted by stats1
1 year ago

"Carl Edwards is the live dog at 18-1 "