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NASCAR betting: Toyota/ Save Mart 350 preview

The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series shifts to the road course at Sonoma Raceway this Sunday for the Toyota/ Save Mart 350.

Here is our betting preview:

Favorite: Marcos Ambrose (+500)

Ambrose has five starts at the road course and has finished in the top-10 in four of them. He has the second-fastest average green flag speed of 89.807 mph, the third-best driver rating (106.8) with an average running position of 10.9.

Live dog: Jeff Gordon (+1000)

Gordon leads all drivers with most wins (5), poles (5), top-5 finishes (12) and top-10s (16) at Sonoma. He has had a tough year to date, but this is his best chance to turn things around. Gordon has led more laps at Sonoma than any active driver (450).

Long shot: Greg Biffle (+3500)

Biffle is coming off a huge win at Michigan and has had success recently at Sonoma, logging four finishes of seventh or better at the track. He has momentum and good value Sunday.

Key stat: A driver has not won from the pole at Sonoma since Gordon did it in 2004.

Notable quotable:

“This is one of the hardest road courses I have raced on. It’s very technical and is pretty fast too. These cars are not made for this track, so you really need to wrestle them around a bit. I am not scared to do that but just need that little racing luck to get into victory lane. We’ve been so close that a win can’t be too far away.” Marcos Ambrose on Sonoma.

Odds to win the Toyota/Save Mart 350 courtesy of Bet365:

Marcos Ambrose +500
Tony Stewart +650
Juan Pablo Montoya +650
Kurt Busch +900
Jimmie Johnson +900
Jeff Gordon +1000
Kyle Busch +1000
Clint Bowyer +1200
Kevin Harvick +1200
Brad Keselowski +1600
Carl Edwards +1800
Kasey Kahne +2000
Jamie McMurray +2500
Boris Said +2800
Martin Truex Jr. +3300
Joey Logano +3300
Brian Vickers +3300
Jacques Villeneuve +3500
Greg Biffle +3500
Denny Hamlin +4000
Matt Kenseth +4000
Ryan Newman +5000
Dale Earnhardt Jr. +5000
Paul Menard +6600
Danica Patrick +8000

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