Bettors already fading Texas A&M before Manziel's Twitter tirade

Bettors are making Texas A&M a "play against" team this offseason.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Jun 17, 2013 • 02:26 ET
Photo By - USA Today Sports

Johnny Manziel’s tirade on Twitter this weekend has many college football fans thinking twice about the reigning Heisman winner and the Texas A&M Aggies.

College football bettors, however, apparently already have their minds made up about Manziel and the Aggies’ chances against the spread.

Texas A&M has been a big “play against” team since the Golden Nugget in Las Vegas released its college football “Games of the Year” odds earlier this month.

The Aggies are favorites in all but two of their seven available contests but four of those games have had money on the other side move the line. Texas A&M has dropped from -17 to -15 at Arkansas in Week 5, from -24 to -22.5 vs. Auburn in Week 8, from -1 to -2 at LSU in Week 13, and from -13 to -12 at Missouri in Week 14.

And these adjustments came before Manziel tweeted, "Bullshit like tonight is a reason why I can't wait to leave college station...whenever it may be” this weekend.

The tweet, which came across the social media wire in the dead of night Sunday (when nothing ever good happens), was later deleted from his account and followed by a quick damage-control statement, saying “Don't ever forget that I love A&M with all of my heart, but please please walk a day in my shoes."

Manziel has been on a Heisman tour since winning the NCAA’s top individual honor this winter. He’s been throwing out first pitches at MLB games, frequenting high-profile sporting events, giving fist bumps to celebrities and stirring up plenty of buzz with online pictures of him and half-naked co-eds.

We, the sports bettor, aren’t complaining. But we will the second Manziel’s ego begins to cost us money.

Texas A&M has been the most popular BCS Championship futures play this offseason (+1,200) and is currently priced at +650 to win the SEC – tied with LSU and behind Alabama (-125), Georgia +300 and South Carolina (+500).

Manziel’s apparent anxiousness to get out of college and earn pro bucks could have the 20-year-old sophomore's focus slipping before this season.

Just look at what happened to former USC quarterback Matt Barkley, a surefire No. 1 selection who struggled with the pressure in his final year and dragged bettors down with him to the tune of a 3-10 ATS record.

Is this weekend’s flash of prima-donna attitude just a social media blunder after a few too many underage pops or is it a crack in the dam and a sign of things to come from the kid they call “Johnny Football”?

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst; has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike. Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet. He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jasons first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns. On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast; WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio; he had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers; flagship podcast, The Sharp 600. His best advice for bettors new and old is; Handicapping isn't a one size fits all process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.

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