NCAA Top 4: Worst road bets in college football

Oct 8, 2012 |
Virginia Tech has been a bad bet, especially on the road.
Virginia Tech has been a bad bet, especially on the road.
There’s something to be said for sleeping in your own bed – at least that’s the case with these four college football teams. These programs have been sharp at home but duds on the road through the first six weeks of the schedule:

Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-0 SU/3-1 ATS home, 0-2 SU/0-2 ATS road)

The Huskers walked into a frickin’ buzzsaw in Columbus this past weekend. Bo Pelini must have thought he was back in the Big 12 the way the scoreboard was smoking – or maybe that was his seat? Nebraska has left its pride on the bus in its two road tests this season, allowing 36 points to UCLA and 63 points to Ohio State Saturday. In comparison, the Cornhuskers are allowing only 16.8 points at home. Brasky Pants is back on the road in Week 7, making the trip to Evanston to face Northwestern.

Virginia Tech Hokies (3-0 SU/1-2 ATS home, 0-3 SU/0-3 ATS road)

If you’ve been betting on the Hokies – at home or away – you may have already taken out a second mortgage on your house. Virginia Tech is among the worst bets in the land and has been especially sour away from Blacksburg. It was stunned at Pittsburgh in Week 3 then fell in a neutral-site game versus Cincinnati at FedEx Field before giving up 48 points at North Carolina last weekend. The Hokies have the best home defense in the ACC (8.0 ppg) but have given up 36.7 points per road game – a difference of almost 29 points. They’re home to Duke as 9.5-point favorites this Saturday.

Miami (Ohio) Redhawks (2-0 SU/0-2 ATS home, 1-3 SU/1-3 ATS road)

The Redhawks are another team that shouldn’t frequent your Saturday card too often. As bad as Miami (Ohio) has been ATS, it has made some tough trips early on in the schedule. The Redhawks have played at Ohio State, at Boise State, at Akron and at Cincinnati in their first six games. Outside of a 56-49 road win over the Zips, Miami (Ohio) has scored a total of 36 points in those three other away tilts. The schedule keeps it on the road again in Week 7, set as a 7.5-point road dog at Bowling Green, which might be a good thing. The Redhawks at 6-0 ATS in their last six trips to Doyt L. Perry Stadium.

Western Michigan Broncos (3-1 SU/3-1 ATS home, 0-2 SU/0-2 ATS road)

Keeping it in the MAC, the Broncos have fallen flat in their first two road trips of the season. Given, those two games were against Big Ten opponents – Illinois and Minnesota – but not the sharpest knives in the Big Ten drawer. This is nothing new for Western Michigan, which went a perfect 5-0 SU at home and just 2-6 SU on the road last year. The only difference was it broke even with a 4-4 ATS record away from Kalamazoo. An injury to QB Alex Carder could keep those road woes going. He’s not expected to play versus Ball State, where books have the Broncos set as 3-point dogs in Muncie this weekend.
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