Dante Dowdell Rushing Yards Props • Kentucky
D. Dowdell
running back RB • Kentucky
Tennessee @ Kentucky Picks & Props
TENN vs UK Picks
NCAAF Picks
Spread
TENN -8.5 (-105)
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
Texas played a game Kentucky thrives at. Tennessee will not do that.
Joey Aguilar and the up-tempo offense will hit big plays and put points on the board. On the other side, the Kentucky offense has had its moments but lacks a consistency needed to punish this Tennessee defense.
The Wildcats rank 98th in EPA/rush, 110th in EPA/dropback, 102nd in quality drive rate, and 110th in early down EPA. They’re also ranked 107th in late-down success. Combine those factors and it’s easy to see why they rank 101st in available yards gained.
Tennessee will win convincingly and keep its playoff hopes alive.
Receptions
MM
Mike Matthews u4.5 Receptions (-170)
Projection 3.4302 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
KL
Kendrick Law u4.5 Receptions (-160)
Projection 3.81 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
CB
Cutter Boley u217.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 197.4867 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
JA
Joey Aguilar u255.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 235.6896 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
KL
Kendrick Law o31.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 47.9833 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
MK
Miles Kitselman o33.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 40.7756 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
WR
Willie Rodriguez o25.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 30.51 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
BS
Braylon Staley o58.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 65.2753 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
MM
Mike Matthews o46.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 50.3884 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CB
Chris Brazzell II u66.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 65.2306 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
TENN vs UK Consensus Picks
61% picking Tennessee vs Kentucky to go Over
Total PicksTENN 344, UK 222
TENN vs UK Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Seth McGowan Rushing Yards Props • Kentucky
S. McGowan
running back RB • Kentucky
DeSean Bishop Rushing Yards Props • Tennessee
D. Bishop
running back RB • Tennessee
TENN vs UK Trends
Tennessee Trends
Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.70 Units / 24% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 47% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.00 Units / 4% ROI)
TENN
UK
Tennessee has only hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.00 Units / -56% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.40 Units / -35% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.20 Units / -29% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has only hit the Team Total Under in 2 of their last 7 games (-3.90 Units / -48% ROI)
Tennessee have only covered the Spread in 5 of their last 13 games (-3.80 Units / -26% ROI)
TENN
UK
Kentucky Trends
Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
TENN
UK
Kentucky have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 56% ROI)
TENN
UK
Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Over
Under
Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.60 Units / 13% ROI)
Over
Under
Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)
Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.40 Units / 19% ROI)
Over
Under
Kentucky has only hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 10 games (-6.25 Units / -15% ROI)
TENN
UK
Kentucky have only covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 10 games (-4.65 Units / -42% ROI)
TENN
UK
Kentucky have only covered the Spread in 4 of their last 11 games (-3.70 Units / -31% ROI)
TENN
UK
Kentucky has not hit the Team Total Over in any of their last 3 games (-3.35 Units / -100% ROI)
Kentucky has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 2 of their last 6 games at home (-2.70 Units / -38% ROI)
Over
Under
Kentucky has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 10 games (-2.65 Units / -23% ROI)
Over
Under
TENN vs UK Top User Picks
Tennessee Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrick9 | 9-1-0 | +4450 |
| 2 | shotsatspot | 9-1-0 | +4450 |
| 3 | stlguy18 | 7-3-0 | +4350 |
| 4 | GodOfGambler64 | 9-1-0 | +4300 |
| 5 | habsfanbronco | 7-3-0 | +4250 |
| 6 | Moogie | 9-1-0 | +3950 |
| 7 | cheeser | 8-2-0 | +3900 |
| 8 | mikeg1827 | 7-3-0 | +3850 |
| 9 | luckyme1 | 7-3-0 | +3850 |
| 10 | JamesGang | 8-2-0 | +3800 |
| All Volunteers Money Leaders | |||
Kentucky Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SteveA2009 | 7-3-0 | +6750 |
| 2 | ckope1 | 8-2-0 | +6260 |
| 3 | mjboxer | 7-3-0 | +5350 |
| 4 | lsbellmom | 7-3-0 | +4800 |
| 5 | checkers | 7-3-0 | +4750 |
| 6 | kensmith | 8-2-0 | +4350 |
| 7 | Juice66 | 8-2-0 | +3800 |
| 8 | ACEhole_1 | 7-3-0 | +3800 |
| 9 | rstacey | 8-1-1 | +3800 |
| 10 | april420 | 6-4-0 | +3650 |
| All Wildcats Money Leaders | |||