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TCU @ Arizona State Picks & Props
TCU vs ASU Picks
NCAAF Picks
MoneyLine
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
TCU has a guy in QB Josh Hoover. But the Horned Frogs also have a balanced attack ranking 7th in EPA/rush and 8th in EPA/dropback. They also have a sneaky good defense that ranks 7th in EPA margin. If they have a weakness, it's pass defense, but Sam Leavitt and Arizona State don't look up to the task of taking advantage of that. Give me TCU on the moneyline in this one. All hail the Hypno Toads!
Total
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Arizona State has cashed three consecutive Unders, and it isn't by accident. They want to sit on the ball and shorten the game, but they don't have Skattebo's outstanding efficiency this season.
Receptions
EM
Eric McAlister u4.5 Receptions (+112)
Projection 4.3384 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
TD Passes
Sam Leavitt u1.5 TD Passes (+105)
Projection 1.4668 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
TD Passes
Josh Hoover u2.5 TD Passes (-210)
Projection 1.7088 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
Josh Hoover u280.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 248.2834 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
Sam Leavitt o205.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 211.3212 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
RB
Raleek Brown o14.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 19.1371 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CM
Chamon Metayer o30.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 35.6374 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
EM
Eric McAlister u74.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 70.4494 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
JD
Jordan Dwyer o62.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 64.6225 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receiving Yards
Jordyn Tyson o88.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 90.5883 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
TCU vs ASU Consensus Picks
TCU vs ASU Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
S. Leavitt
quarterback QB • Arizona State
Prop
260.5
Pas and Rus Yards
Season Avg.
276.29
TCU vs ASU Trends
TCU Trends
TCU have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 54% ROI)
TCU
ASU
TCU have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
TCU
ASU
TCU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.95 Units / 16% ROI)
TCU
ASU
TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+5.25 Units / 88% ROI)
TCU
ASU
TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 34% ROI)
Over
Under
TCU has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 12 games (-6.45 Units / -46% ROI)
Over
Under
TCU has not hit the Team Total Over in any of their last 2 games (-2.38 Units / -100% ROI)
TCU has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 11 games (-1.55 Units / -12% ROI)
Over
Under
TCU has only hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 5 away games (-1.30 Units / -24% ROI)
Over
Under
Arizona State Trends
Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
TCU
ASU
Arizona State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
TCU
ASU
Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+6.75 Units / 16% ROI)
TCU
ASU
Arizona State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Over
Under
Arizona State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.35 Units / 16% ROI)
TCU
ASU
Arizona State has not hit the Team Total Over in any of their last 4 games (-4.65 Units / -100% ROI)
Arizona State has only hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 8 games at home (-4.60 Units / -52% ROI)
Over
Under
Arizona State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 7 games at home (-3.63 Units / -46% ROI)
Over
Under
Arizona State has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 14 games (-2.25 Units / -14% ROI)
Over
Under
TCU vs ASU Top User Picks
TCU Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ciarajo | 9-1-0 | +5350 |
| 2 | jakringle | 8-2-0 | +4850 |
| 3 | djmdthedoc | 9-1-0 | +4350 |
| 4 | Ollywood | 7-3-0 | +4300 |
| 5 | nobrainer | 8-2-0 | +3800 |
| 6 | Rads5777 | 7-3-0 | +3800 |
| 7 | manomanomano551 | 6-4-0 | +3750 |
| 8 | Jims Flying Eagles | 8-2-0 | +3750 |
| 9 | Venny | 8-1-1 | +3450 |
| 10 | 100towin | 6-4-0 | +3300 |
| All Horned Frogs Money Leaders | |||
Arizona State Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | kenpitch | 8-2-0 | +5850 |
| 2 | mjboxer | 8-1-1 | +3900 |
| 3 | rinv49 | 8-2-0 | +3850 |
| 4 | ASkinsFanInDixi | 7-3-0 | +3800 |
| 5 | any007 | 7-3-0 | +3800 |
| 6 | Jerrybook | 6-4-0 | +3750 |
| 7 | elpedro2007 | 8-2-0 | +3750 |
| 8 | MLBFan8848 | 7-3-0 | +3750 |
| 9 | glen2003 | 7-2-1 | +3350 |
| 10 | mikem9 | 8-2-0 | +3350 |
| All Sun Devils Money Leaders | |||