Hollywood Smothers Rushing Yards Props • NC State
H. Smothers
running back RB • NC State
ESPN2
North Carolina State @ Duke Picks & Props
NCST vs DUKE Picks
NCAAF Picks
MoneyLine
NCST (+132)
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
Duke's opponents are racking up explosive runs at every opportunity, and mobile quarterbacks are torching them. Jake Retzlaff rushed for four touchdowns last week. He had 111 of Tulane’s 156 rushing yards, on top of throwing for 245 yards on 15 completions. And in Duke’s opener, Elon quarterback ran for 61 yards. CJ Bailey’s averaging four yards a carry through three games, and has three touchdowns already. And Hollywood Smothers has home-run ability, posting a pair of 140+ yard performances in two games against ACC foes. Duke ranks 101st in late-down success on defense, and 121st in EPA/pass. The Wolfpack rank 34th in EPA/pass and 46th in early down EPA/play. They’ll hurt Duke both on the ground and through the air, and force enough turnovers to get the win.
TD Passes
CB
CJ Bailey u1.5 TD Passes (-130)
Projection 1.2681 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
DM
Darian Mensah u305.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 264.4678 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
CB
CJ Bailey u243.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 209.6775 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
QB
Que'Sean Brown o50.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 55.9392 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CB
Cooper Barkate o63.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 67.502 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
TA
Terrell Anderson u33.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 31.0167 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
WG
Wesley Grimes o38.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 40.302 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
JJ
Justin Joly o40.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 41.5369 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rushing Yards
HS
Hollywood Smothers o93.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Projection 105.7899 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Rushing Yards
CB
CJ Bailey o20.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Projection 24.7523 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
NCST vs DUKE Consensus Picks
61% picking NC State
Total Picks NCST 739, DUKE 474
Spread
NCST
DUKE
NCST vs DUKE Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
CJ Bailey Rushing Yards Props • NC State
C. Bailey
quarterback QB • NC State
Jaquez Moore Rushing Yards Props • Duke
J. Moore
running back RB • Duke
NCST vs DUKE Trends
North Carolina State Trends
NC State has hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Over
Under
NC State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
NCST
DUKE
NC State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 43% ROI)
NCST
DUKE
NC State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.95 Units / 38% ROI)
Over
Under
NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Over
Under
NC State has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 14 games (-16.60 Units / -52% ROI)
NCST
DUKE
NC State have only covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.80 Units / -57% ROI)
NCST
DUKE
NC State have only covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 14 games (-7.65 Units / -47% ROI)
NCST
DUKE
NC State has not hit the Game Total Under in any of their last 5 away games (-5.50 Units / -100% ROI)
Over
Under
NC State has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (-3.65 Units / -18% ROI)
NCST
DUKE
NCST vs DUKE Top User Picks
NC State Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | pureporkchop | 9-1-0 | +4850 |
| 2 | lsbellmom | 7-3-0 | +3850 |
| 3 | kermitfrog | 7-3-0 | +3800 |
| 4 | kowalabear | 7-3-0 | +3800 |
| 5 | Lemondropkid00 | 6-4-0 | +3800 |
| 6 | DarthRaider27 | 8-1-0 | +3450 |
| 7 | tgajtka | 7-1-0 | +2950 |
| 8 | KShaff | 7-1-0 | +2950 |
| 9 | Sirchompers | 7-1-0 | +2950 |
| 10 | Kes | 7-1-0 | +2950 |
| All Wolfpack Money Leaders | |||
Duke Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BPD72 | 9-1-0 | +4950 |
| 2 | Franciswarns | 7-3-0 | +4800 |
| 3 | STEINWAYSTACKS | 8-2-0 | +4630 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 10-0-0 | +4620 |
| 5 | funaki | 9-0-0 | +4500 |
| 6 | ezgoinguy34 | 9-1-0 | +4450 |
| 7 | FRANKYFUGAZI1 | 7-3-0 | +4310 |
| 8 | YIAYIA | 8-2-0 | +4010 |
| 9 | wiseoldowl | 9-1-0 | +3850 |
| 10 | cruzan2002 | 7-3-0 | +3850 |
| All Blue Devils Money Leaders | |||