Final Jun 14
BOS 84 -1.0 o211.5
DAL 122 1.0 u211.5
Denver 2nd Western Conference57-25
Minnesota 3rd Western Conference56-26
BSN, NBATV, Altitude Sports

Denver @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luka Garza Points Scored Props • Minnesota

L. Garza
center C • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Garza comes in at the 3rd percentile for playing time, averaging just 4.3 minutes per game this year. The 6th-slowest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Timberwolves. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the league when playing at home with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Luka Garza

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Garza comes in at the 3rd percentile for playing time, averaging just 4.3 minutes per game this year. The 6th-slowest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Timberwolves. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the league when playing at home with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.5). The 6th-slowest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Timberwolves. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the league when playing at home with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Mike Conley

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.5). The 6th-slowest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Timberwolves. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the league when playing at home with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Kyle Anderson lands in the 21st percentile for shot attempts from downtown when playing at home, averaging 0.7 per game this year. Kyle Anderson has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's tallied overall this season. The 6th-slowest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Timberwolves. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the league when playing at home with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Among all players in the league, Kyle Anderson lands in the 21st percentile for shot attempts from downtown when playing at home, averaging 0.7 per game this year. Kyle Anderson has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's tallied overall this season. The 6th-slowest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Timberwolves. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the league when playing at home with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson has made 52.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 6.2% more than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing on the road. Compared to last year's 7.1 clip, Peyton Watson's playing time has surged this year to 18.4 minutes per game. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 7th-best in the NBA on the road with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. Peyton Watson has sunk a terrific 59.7% of his free throws this season, significantly more than his 45.7 rate last season.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Peyton Watson has made 52.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 6.2% more than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing on the road. Compared to last year's 7.1 clip, Peyton Watson's playing time has surged this year to 18.4 minutes per game. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 7th-best in the NBA on the road with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. Peyton Watson has sunk a terrific 59.7% of his free throws this season, significantly more than his 45.7 rate last season.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 2.1 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's converted overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 31.6 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 7th-best in the NBA on the road with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 8.4% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. The matchup against Minnesota may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage (6th-most in the league).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 2.1 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's converted overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 31.6 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 7th-best in the NBA on the road with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 8.4% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. The matchup against Minnesota may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage (6th-most in the league).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Under
-115

Jaden McDaniels has failed to convert 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's failed to convert from 3-point range overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels comes in at the 94th percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 3.0 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year. The 6th-slowest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Timberwolves. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the league when playing at home with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Jaden McDaniels has failed to convert 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's failed to convert from 3-point range overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels comes in at the 94th percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 3.0 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year. The 6th-slowest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Timberwolves. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the league when playing at home with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.8
Best Odds
Over
-102

Anthony Edwards has attempted 24.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's attempted overall this year. Anthony Edwards has tallied 35.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Anthony Edwards has sunk 93.3% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 9.1% higher than he's converted overall this season playing at home. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.8
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.8

Anthony Edwards has attempted 24.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's attempted overall this year. Anthony Edwards has tallied 35.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Anthony Edwards has sunk 93.3% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 9.1% higher than he's converted overall this season playing at home. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
25
Best Odds
Under
-122

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. In terms of offense, the Denver Nuggets's subpar 110.7 points per game as the visting team places 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court. The Denver Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from facing the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Timberwolves). Nikola Jokic figures to see a decline in production in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this game.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. In terms of offense, the Denver Nuggets's subpar 110.7 points per game as the visting team places 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court. The Denver Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from facing the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Timberwolves). Nikola Jokic figures to see a decline in production in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this game.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-122

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 80.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 21.8% higher than he's made in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.4 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 7th-best in the NBA on the road with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 80.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 21.8% higher than he's made in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.4 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 7th-best in the NBA on the road with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. Denver is a tough one for threes; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (1.1). The 6th-slowest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Timberwolves. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the league when playing at home with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

The matchup vs. Denver is a tough one for threes; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (1.1). The 6th-slowest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Timberwolves. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the league when playing at home with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.1
Best Odds
Over
-118

Jamal Murray has attempted 16.7 shots per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 85th percentile. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 7th-best in the NBA on the road with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. Jamal Murray has attempted 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.1
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.1

Jamal Murray has attempted 16.7 shots per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 85th percentile. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 7th-best in the NBA on the road with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. Jamal Murray has attempted 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 51.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 12.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season when playing on the road. Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 31.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 85th percentile. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 7th-best in the NBA on the road with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 18.9% more than he's made overall this season while playing away from home.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 51.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 12.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season when playing on the road. Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 31.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 85th percentile. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 7th-best in the NBA on the road with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 18.9% more than he's made overall this season while playing away from home.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 65.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 33.9 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a good one for shot attempts from the field; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 11.8 shots made from the field per game (93rd percentile). The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; when Jokic is away from his home court opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 3.9 foul shots per game (79th percentile).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 65.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert lands in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 33.9 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a good one for shot attempts from the field; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 11.8 shots made from the field per game (93rd percentile). The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; when Jokic is away from his home court opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 3.9 foul shots per game (79th percentile).

T.J. Warren Points Scored Props • Minnesota

T. Warren
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
2.93
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-105
Under
-125
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
2.93
Best Odds
Over
-105
Under
-125

T.J. Warren has gone over 5.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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