Philadelphia @ Miami Picks & Props

In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers. The 76ers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Heat). Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have snagged 12.2 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (retaining possessions that can lead to further chances for offense). Tyrese Maxey will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player performance in all stat categories.

In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers. The 76ers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Heat). Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have snagged 12.2 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (retaining possessions that can lead to further chances for offense). The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Bam Adebayo has been quite low this year (2.6 free throw attempts per game: 23rd percentile). Joel Embiid will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player production for all stats.

Caleb Martin has made 56.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 20.1% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. Caleb Martin has played 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 4.6 more than he's played in all games this season at home. The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 27th-highest three rate in the league this year (40.8%). The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in possessions today from squaring off against the 8th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the 76ers).

Kyle Lowry has sunk 57.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 16.1% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while at home. Kyle Lowry has made 55.6% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 12.0% higher than he's sunk overall this season. The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the 76ers are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have shot for the 24th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (39.9%). The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in possessions today from squaring off against the 8th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the 76ers).

Relative to last year's 32.3 mark, Kelly Oubre Jr.'s playing time has decreased this year to 25.5 minutes per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Kelly Oubre Jr. slots into the 78th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game this year. In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers. The 76ers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Heat). Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have snagged 12.2 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (retaining possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).

This year, the other team's starting SFs have registered 11.3 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency. The 2nd-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 9.6 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.5 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, making it tough to draw fouls.

In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers. The 76ers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Heat). Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have snagged 12.2 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (retaining possessions that can lead to further chances for offense). The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (12th-least in the league). Tobias Harris figures to experience a decrease in output in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this game.

The 2nd-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 9.6 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has attempted 24.3 free throws per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Philadelphia 76ers, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a strong one for scoring; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have converted a whopping 68.5% of their field goal attempts (100th percentile). The 8th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the 76ers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 9thbest in in the league with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Paul Reed has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 22.2% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Duncan Robinson has successfully made a terrific 5.3 buckets per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.5 rate last season. Duncan Robinson has converted 4.0 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year at home. The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in possessions today from squaring off against the 8th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the 76ers). On the road, the Philadelphia 76ers have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (7.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro has successfully made 9.0 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Tyler Herro has sunk a whopping 43.8% of his three-point shots this season, a big improvement over his 35.0 mark last season. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro lands in the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 34.1 minutes per game this year. The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Philadelphia 76ers are on the road, opposing starting SGs have posted the 27th-highest three percentage in the league this year (46.2%).

The 2nd-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 9.6 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has attempted 24.3 free throws per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Philadelphia 76ers, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo places in the 90th percentile for shots from the field sunk while on his home court, compiling a whopping 7.9 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo places in the 94th percentile for 3-point effectiveness when playing at home with a a terrific 50.0% rate this year. Bam Adebayo has played 32.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The rate of shots scored against Paul Reed has been quite high (64.8%) when he is away from his home court and facing fellow starting Cs this year (90th percentile).

De'Anthony Melton has attempted 5.5 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The 8th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the 76ers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 9thbest in in the league with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. De'Anthony Melton has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 25.4% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Robert Covington has made 50.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 9.2% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season away from home. The 8th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the 76ers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers grade out 9thbest in in the league with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Robert Covington has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's converted overall this year. The matchup against the Heat may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 20.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games (4th-least in the NBA).

Patrick Beverley has gone over 4.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Danuel House Jr. has gone over 4.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Marcus Morris Sr. has gone over 6.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.