Miami @ Orlando Picks & Props

Duncan Robinson has sunk 4.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's made from downtown overall this year. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The Orlando Magic have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league in their home city this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Miami Heat. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense). Out of all players in the league, Duncan Robinson slots into the 77th percentile for free-throw ability away from his home court with a an outstanding 87.5% rate this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 7th percentile for three-point efficiency on the road with a a feeble 0.0% rate this year. Over the last 12 games, opposing squads have averaged 38.3% on three-pointers (9th-best in the NBA) against the Magic, branding this as a good matchup. When squaring off against opposing starting Cs, Wendell Carter Jr. ranks in the 11th percentile with a mere 1.0 three-point shots attempted against him per game since the start of last season. The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league on the road this year. The Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have compiled 23.1 points per game (27th-highest in the league) against the Heat, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive performance. The Magic have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA while playing at home this year. The Magic rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (28th-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it easy to draw fouls.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league on the road this year. The Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 82.5% rate, Caleb Martin's foul-shot ability has dropped this year to 64.4%. Caleb Martin stands to experience a decrease in performance in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this game.

Tyler Herro has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year. The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league on the road this year. The Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Tyler Herro should suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this matchup.

Out of all players in the league, Cole Anthony places in the 77th percentile, putting up an enormous 14.8 points per game this year. Cole Anthony has made 56.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.9% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while playing at home. The Magic have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA while playing at home this year. The Magic rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the league at home this year has been the Orlando Magic. The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Orlando Magic. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (13th-least in the NBA).

Among all players in the league, Wendell Carter Jr. rates in the 76th percentile for scoring ability with a a superb 50.7% rate since the start of last season. Wendell Carter Jr. has converted 37.0% of his 3-point attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Magic have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA while playing at home this year. The Magic rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the league, Kyle Lowry places in the 84th percentile for 3-pointers sunk, compiling 2.2 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Kyle Lowry lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 30.0 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup against Orlando is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Magic are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have shot for the 25th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (42.3%). The Orlando Magic have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league in their home city this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Miami Heat.

In comparison to last season's 36.6% clip, Franz Wagner's 3-point proficiency has diminished this season to 27.8%. As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the league at home this year has been the Orlando Magic. The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Orlando Magic.

Jalen Suggs has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the league at home this year has been the Orlando Magic. The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Orlando Magic. The matchup against Miami may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are the visiting squad (11th-least in the league).

Josh Richardson has sunk 2.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The Orlando Magic have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league in their home city this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Miami Heat. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense). Among all players in the NBA, Josh Richardson rates in the 93rd percentile for free-throw effectiveness with a a stellar 93.3% rate this year.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has attempted 12.0 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 1.9 3-pointers per game (23rd-most in the NBA) against the Magic, making this a favorable matchup. The Orlando Magic have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league in their home city this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Miami Heat. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense).

Gary Harris has gone over 6.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Jonathan Isaac has gone over 6.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.