All Forums | College Football

Auburn/FSU pick and analysis.

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 2719
Posts: 24
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 4412
Posted: #1

OK. I doubt anyone is disputing that FSU has a big talent advantage here, but what do the numbers say? FSU has a +43 average points per game margin of victory vs. the AUB +18. During the course of the season, only one FSU opponent moved the ball effectively (BYU, 34 points early in season). Other than that no one else on the FSU schedule did anything vs. that D as the other 12 opponents averaged 8.6 points per game.

Now, AUB does have an explosive offence, but they will now face an FSU defense that is 1st in the nation vs. the pass and 13th vs. the run. That 1st ranked pass D is pretty impressive considering the fact that FSU opponents trailed in every game all season long for basically 60 full minutes. Considering that, it amazes me that the FSU pass D did not give up more garbage time yardage....they ARE that good.

Defensively on the AUB side of the ball, the numbers are equally as bad if not worse. FSU (15th run, 22nd pass) will have no trouble against the AUB weaknesses on, particularly vs. the weak AUB secondary (97th vs. pass). The AUB D was exposed all season as 9 of 13 opponents were successful scoring on them. I just do not see any way AUB can hold FSU under 35 points.

In conclusion, on paper this is a total mismatch on both sides of the ball in favor of FSU yet the line is a "big game" adjusted -9 as of this writing. FSU will be propelling a number of players from this squad into the NFL and this game will be their showcase for the NFL draft. I expect FSU to take care of business. PLAY FSU -9. EASY.

Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2011
Posts: 1559
Posted: #2
Im pretty sure Boston college scored on FSU defense.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2007
Posts: 320
Posted: #3
I have a few words for you.  Try to keep up.

Destiny
SEC
Gus
OFF Balance

AU +9 Island Massive
















Lulz, jk. FSU is going to win comfortably 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 4412
Posted: #4

Quote Originally Posted by XIaggie:

Im pretty sure Boston college scored on FSU defense.

Sorry...intended to type BC but my mind wandered.

Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2007
Posts: 320
Posted: #5
41-21.  AU will get some points on the board while FSU settles in, but FSU creates turn overs as they have done ALL SEASON LONG. FSU capitalizes on the turn overs as they have done ALL SEASON LONG and AU plays from behind. AU has to abandon the run game eventually to attempt to get back in it. Game, blouses. 


FSU 10  14 10 7
AU     7   7      7
Thats my prediction. 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 4412
Posted: #6
Line is now 10 but it will not matter......get in now before Vegas adds the hook.....or more.....the sharp money will all be fsu.

Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 3424
Posted: #7
BC hung in the game with FSU, because they were a physical match for FSU.  I believe Auburn, though their stats are less impressive than FSU, matches up physically, very well with FSU.  Auburn also, has very speedy athletes on both sides of the ball that can compete well with FSU.  Can Seminoles blow out Auburn, sure they can, and if Auburn shows up big they can whip FSU.  It's going to depend on which team comes to play.  I think it's going to be a good game.  GL either way.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2013
Posts: 126
Posted: #8
what do you think about the over I think its at 67
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 2627
Posted: #9
FSU had trouble with one team...and that was BCU.  BCU is a running team with a Heisman Trophy candidate RB.  BC ran for 200 yards on FSU.

Auburn is the best rushing team in the country.  If BC can run 200, Auburn can definitely run 200 and score over 30 points like BC did.

FSU's cupcake schedule will be exposed 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2013
Posts: 137
Posted: #10


Here are six reasons why FSU will win..........

1. The last two Heisman Trophy winners who have appeared in the national title game have won. Mark Ingram did it in 2009 for Alabama and Auburn’s Cam Newton followed the next year. Famous Jameis Winston will try to make it 3-for-3.

2. Auburn’s pass defense is shoddy and won’t be a match for Winston, who threw 38 TD passes and for 3,820 yards, or 10.9 yards an attempt. FSU’s starting receivers are 6-5 and 6-0 compared to 5-10 and 5-11 for Auburn’s cornerbacks. If the Tigers can’t put some pressure on Winston, it could be a long night.

3. Auburn’s strength is its multiple-option rushing attack, which led the nation at an astonishing 336 yards per game. However, the Seminoles were the country’s top defense and don’t really have to respect the pass, which should make the Tigers’ task even more arduous.

4. Florida State averaged 42 points per game and didn’t have a close game all season – a 48-34 victory over Boston College in September being the only game within a 14-point margin. The Noles blasted Top 10 opponents Clemson 51-14 on the road and Miami 41-14 before disposing of Duke 45-7 in the ACC Championship Game. Meanwhile, Auburn won four games in the last 1:20 including the incredible 34-28 win over Alabama in the Iron Bowl. Its only loss was a 35-21 decision at LSU in September.

5. Auburn, which was 3-9 last season, is the 10th team to play for the national championship following a losing season. Those teams are 1-8 in those contests.

6. And finally … It’s time for another conference besides the Southeastern Conference to win a national title. The SEC has won the crown for seven straight years and nine of the 16 overall but FSU should end that string tomorrow.


https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidlariviere/2014/01/05/six-reasons-why-florida-state-will-win-the-national-championship/


 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 4412
Posted: #11

Quote Originally Posted by airman20012001:

what do you think about the over I think its at 67

The over/under is tricky. I am confident that FSU will make it to 35, but can Auburn put up enough points to make the over? That's the question, and at 68 the o/u is a coin flip. So what do you do? For me, it's FSU -9 (now 10.5 at most books) as I'm sure they will put up points. This game could be a repeat of Alabama/Notre Dame last year when Notre Dame was getting around the same number.

Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2013
Posts: 151
Posted: #12
FSU by 20+ . On FSU LAAAAAAARRGGEEEEEEE
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2007
Posts: 1278
Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

OK. I doubt anyone is disputing that FSU has a big talent advantage here, but what do the numbers say? FSU has a +43 average points per game margin of victory vs. the AUB +18. During the course of the season

In conclusion, on paper this is a total mismatch on both sides of the ball in favor of FSU yet the line is a "big game" adjusted -9 as of this writing. FSU will be propelling a number of players from this squad into the NFL and this game will be their showcase for the NFL draft. I expect FSU to take care of business. PLAY FSU -9. EASY.

Amazing how one-sided you are.  Since you've put your money on FSU, let me just show you how clueless you are to talent:

The freshmen, sophomores, juniors, and seniors comprise the 2010-2013 classes.  Just how good and talented are each of these teams?  Listed below are the 2010 ESPN Top150 recruits, followed by 2011-13 5-star and 4-star recruits (when the star system was utilized to gauge them):

2010 8 FSU, Auburn 7
2011 18 FSU, 16 Auburn
2012 11 FSU, 7 Auburn
2013 14 FSU, 15 Auburn

What a "mismatch!"    I won't even argue about how you equated the ACC to the SEC when you put in the FSU margin of victory.  That alone shows us how amateur of a capper you are.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2007
Posts: 1278
Posted: #14
To the dumb#uck that posted about the Heisman winners:

2012 Johnny Manziel 2013 Cotton Bowl Classic W, 41-13
2011 Robert Griffin III 2011 Alamo Bowl W, 67-56
2010 Cam Newton 2011 BCS National Championship Game W, 22-19
2009 Mark Ingram 2010 BCS National Championship Game W, 37-21
2008 Sam Bradford 2009 BCS National Championship Game L, 14-24
2007 Tim Tebow 2008 Capital One Bowl L, 35-41
2006 Troy Smith 2007 BCS National Championship Game L, 14-41
2005 Reggie Bush 2006 Rose Bowl (National Championship) L, 38-41
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2013
Posts: 178
Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

OK. I doubt anyone is disputing that FSU has a big talent advantage here, but what do the numbers say? FSU has a +43 average points per game margin of victory vs. the AUB +18. During the course of the season, only one FSU opponent moved the ball effectively (BYU, 34 points early in season). Other than that no one else on the FSU schedule did anything vs. that D as the other 12 opponents averaged 8.6 points per game.

Now, AUB does have an explosive offence, but they will now face an FSU defense that is 1st in the nation vs. the pass and 13th vs. the run. That 1st ranked pass D is pretty impressive considering the fact that FSU opponents trailed in every game all season long for basically 60 full minutes. Considering that, it amazes me that the FSU pass D did not give up more garbage time yardage....they ARE that good.

Defensively on the AUB side of the ball, the numbers are equally as bad if not worse. FSU (15th run, 22nd pass) will have no trouble against the AUB weaknesses on, particularly vs. the weak AUB secondary (97th vs. pass). The AUB D was exposed all season as 9 of 13 opponents were successful scoring on them. I just do not see any way AUB can hold FSU under 35 points.

In conclusion, on paper this is a total mismatch on both sides of the ball in favor of FSU yet the line is a "big game" adjusted -9 as of this writing. FSU will be propelling a number of players from this squad into the NFL and this game will be their showcase for the NFL draft. I expect FSU to take care of business. PLAY FSU -9. EASY.

Florida St did not play BYU.... 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2014
Posts: 25
Posted: #16
Whole country on FSU too good to be true. If you think Vegas is going to lose money on the biggest college game of the year you are sadly mistaken. Auburn all day
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2013
Posts: 124
Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

OK. I doubt anyone is disputing that FSU has a big talent advantage here, but what do the numbers say? FSU has a +43 average points per game margin of victory vs. the AUB +18. During the course of the season, only one FSU opponent moved the ball effectively (BYU, 34 points early in season). Other than that no one else on the FSU schedule did anything vs. that D as the other 12 opponents averaged 8.6 points per game.

Now, AUB does have an explosive offence, but they will now face an FSU defense that is 1st in the nation vs. the pass and 13th vs. the run. That 1st ranked pass D is pretty impressive considering the fact that FSU opponents trailed in every game all season long for basically 60 full minutes. Considering that, it amazes me that the FSU pass D did not give up more garbage time yardage....they ARE that good.

Defensively on the AUB side of the ball, the numbers are equally as bad if not worse. FSU (15th run, 22nd pass) will have no trouble against the AUB weaknesses on, particularly vs. the weak AUB secondary (97th vs. pass). The AUB D was exposed all season as 9 of 13 opponents were successful scoring on them. I just do not see any way AUB can hold FSU under 35 points.

In conclusion, on paper this is a total mismatch on both sides of the ball in favor of FSU yet the line is a "big game" adjusted -9 as of this writing. FSU will be propelling a number of players from this squad into the NFL and this game will be their showcase for the NFL draft. I expect FSU to take care of business. PLAY FSU -9. EASY.


 Did Fl. St. struggle to stop the run against Boston College?!?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2013
Posts: 124
Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by woodward777:


Here are six reasons why FSU will win..........

1. The last two Heisman Trophy winners who have appeared in the national title game have won. Mark Ingram did it in 2009 for Alabama and Auburn’s Cam Newton followed the next year. Famous Jameis Winston will try to make it 3-for-3.

2. Auburn’s pass defense is shoddy and won’t be a match for Winston, who threw 38 TD passes and for 3,820 yards, or 10.9 yards an attempt. FSU’s starting receivers are 6-5 and 6-0 compared to 5-10 and 5-11 for Auburn’s cornerbacks. If the Tigers can’t put some pressure on Winston, it could be a long night.

3. Auburn’s strength is its multiple-option rushing attack, which led the nation at an astonishing 336 yards per game. However, the Seminoles were the country’s top defense and don’t really have to respect the pass, which should make the Tigers’ task even more arduous.

4. Florida State averaged 42 points per game and didn’t have a close game all season – a 48-34 victory over Boston College in September being the only game within a 14-point margin. The Noles blasted Top 10 opponents Clemson 51-14 on the road and Miami 41-14 before disposing of Duke 45-7 in the ACC Championship Game. Meanwhile, Auburn won four games in the last 1:20 including the incredible 34-28 win over Alabama in the Iron Bowl. Its only loss was a 35-21 decision at LSU in September.

5. Auburn, which was 3-9 last season, is the 10th team to play for the national championship following a losing season. Those teams are 1-8 in those contests.

6. And finally … It’s time for another conference besides the Southeastern Conference to win a national title. The SEC has won the crown for seven straight years and nine of the 16 overall but FSU should end that string tomorrow.


https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidlariviere/2014/01/05/six-reasons-why-florida-state-will-win-the-national-championship/



 Did you watch any of Auburn's games? By your logic, Nick Marshall can only complete screens and dump offs. Lets be clear, Nick Marshall is not Jameis, but he is an effective passer when it is needed. This will be a close game, book it. 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 4412
Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by ZooLoo:


 Did Fl. St. struggle to stop the run against Boston College?!?

It was a typo and was addressed in my second post. Read the thread before waving a finger. Good luck if you go Auburn.

Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 4412
Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by Daran.T:

Amazing how one-sided you are.  Since you've put your money on FSU, let me just show you how clueless you are to talent:

The freshmen, sophomores, juniors, and seniors comprise the 2010-2013 classes.  Just how good and talented are each of these teams?  Listed below are the 2010 ESPN Top150 recruits, followed by 2011-13 5-star and 4-star recruits (when the star system was utilized to gauge them):

2010 8 FSU, Auburn 7
2011 18 FSU, 16 Auburn
2012 11 FSU, 7 Auburn
2013 14 FSU, 15 Auburn

What a "mismatch!"    I won't even argue about how you equated the ACC to the SEC when you put in the FSU margin of victory.  That alone shows us how amateur of a capper you are.

I'm not a capper. I evaluate the best that I can and make a pick. The difference in this game will be the Auburn D (or lack of). You can tell me all about the draft rankings and how good Auburn is but the fact is they have not stopped anyone all year. Take Auburn if you wish, but I think you will be on a big loser. I posted my opinion here (in regular sized font), but we all hear you loud and clear. At midnight, I will host a funeral for your $$$$$.

Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2004
Posts: 581
Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by ZooLoo:


 Did Fl. St. struggle to stop the run against Boston College?!?

Why don't you go look at the injury report for that game to see how many 1st/2nd stringers on the D-Line didn't play for FSU that day. 

For one Mario Edwards Jr, didn't play. He can hold his own and swallow up blockers on his side the ball, which will allow FSU's LB to make plays....

In addition, FSU still had Christian Jones playing LB in that game, they've since moved him to being a Defensive End and the defense has been lights out since that game....
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 4412
Posted: #22

Quote Originally Posted by sportsgambler83:

Whole country on FSU too good to be true. If you think Vegas is going to lose money on the biggest college game of the year you are sadly mistaken. Auburn all day

Didn't you know that the house always wins? Your suggestion that Vegas will lose money is comical. It is a rare occasion that the vig does not cover their losses if they are on the wrong side. By your logic, FSU should be a lock as they opened the season at 15/1 to win the title while Auburn opened at 150/1. Do you think an Auburn win will bankrupt Vegas as well?

Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 4412
Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

Didn't you know that the house always wins? Your suggestion that Vegas will lose money is comical. It is a rare occasion that the vig does not cover their losses if they are on the wrong side. By your logic, FSU should be a lock as they opened the season at 15/1 to win the title while Auburn opened at 150/1. Do you think an Auburn win will bankrupt Vegas as well?

By the way, according to vegasinsider.com, the current % on spread wagers is 53% Auburn and 47% FSU.

Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 477
Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by sportsgambler83:

Whole country on FSU too good to be true. If you think Vegas is going to lose money on the biggest college game of the year you are sadly mistaken. Auburn all day
You are right man ! That is know to play foot ball. Why did they give out the line for 1st and 2nd half . Even for each quarter too . Place your money on under .They will play Passing . Place your money on over . They will play rushing game . EASY UNDERSTAND THIS GAMBLING MAN ! . Do not write up anything about HOW THEY ARE GOING TO PLAY. JUST WAITTING THE LAS VEGAS BALANCE THE WAGE OF MONEY THEN RESULT WILL COME OUT . GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE  tonight . Lol....Lol....
All Forums | College Football
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.