I have come up with a 2nd Half betting system that has been hitting around 70% so far this season.
The only problem I have found is the system takes up alot of time as you need to be home getting all the scores and 2nd half line to do the research and follow the system. Since I'm a youth baseball umpire and I do umpire alot of games on Saturdays, it isn't always possible to sit home and constantly check scores and lines for all the games on a college football Saturday.
I also would love to find a website that has the 2H lines of games in the past so I could look into this system some more and see if what I have found so far is hitting at that 80% over a larger group of games than the 10 games I have bet thus far this season or it is just coincidence. Does anyone have a website that keeps the 2H lines from past college games?
Basically I have found that when a game presents a middle of 10 points or more, 80% of the time it will not land it that middle. This system works both for sides and also for game totals. For example let's look at what plays I have come across and wagered on thus far this season.
Saturday September 13th
BYU vs UCLA BYU was -8.5 for the game. At the half BYU is winning 42-0. Second half line is BYU -1/2 thus presenting a possible 33 point middle. If you have BYU in the game -8.5 you could now bet UCLA +1/2 for the second half and have a 33 point middle to hit both bets(Byu wins the game between 9 points and and 42 points). I belive and have found that 75% of time it won't land in this middle, now you have to just bet the more logical side, is it more likely that BYU wins by 43 points or more or it more likely UCLA comes back to loose by less than 8.5 points? I make a play on BYU -1/2 for the 2nd half and BYU wins the 2H 17-0 making the play a WINNER!
I have come up with a 2nd Half betting system that has been hitting around 70% so far this season.
The only problem I have found is the system takes up alot of time as you need to be home getting all the scores and 2nd half line to do the research and follow the system. Since I'm a youth baseball umpire and I do umpire alot of games on Saturdays, it isn't always possible to sit home and constantly check scores and lines for all the games on a college football Saturday.
I also would love to find a website that has the 2H lines of games in the past so I could look into this system some more and see if what I have found so far is hitting at that 80% over a larger group of games than the 10 games I have bet thus far this season or it is just coincidence. Does anyone have a website that keeps the 2H lines from past college games?
Basically I have found that when a game presents a middle of 10 points or more, 80% of the time it will not land it that middle. This system works both for sides and also for game totals. For example let's look at what plays I have come across and wagered on thus far this season.
Saturday September 13th
BYU vs UCLA BYU was -8.5 for the game. At the half BYU is winning 42-0. Second half line is BYU -1/2 thus presenting a possible 33 point middle. If you have BYU in the game -8.5 you could now bet UCLA +1/2 for the second half and have a 33 point middle to hit both bets(Byu wins the game between 9 points and and 42 points). I belive and have found that 75% of time it won't land in this middle, now you have to just bet the more logical side, is it more likely that BYU wins by 43 points or more or it more likely UCLA comes back to loose by less than 8.5 points? I make a play on BYU -1/2 for the 2nd half and BYU wins the 2H 17-0 making the play a WINNER!
Florida vs Tennessee Florida was -7 for the game. At the half Florida was winning 20-0. The 2H line is Florida -2.5 thus presenting a 14 point middle(Florida wins by 8 to 22 points). Thus I play Florida in the 2H and they win the second half 10-6 making the play a WINNER!
Saturday September 27th
Note: this Saturday was raining here in NJ and was the first Saturday i had no games to umpire thus was able to really just stay home and follow the games and scores and really try and play the system whenever possible.
Wisconsin vs Michigan Wisconsin is -4.5 for the game. At the half Wisconsin is winning 19-0. 2H line is Wisconsin pk presenting a 13 point middle (Wisconsin win between 5 and 18 points). I play wisconsin pk for the 2H, but Michigan rolls the second half 27-6 making the play a LOSER! But note that again the game didn't fall in the middle, I just happen to bet the wrong side.
Wake Forrest vs Navy Wake is -17 for the game. At the half Navy is winning 17-0. The 2H line is Wake -11 prsenting a 21 point middle (Navy wins by 5 or less OR Wake wins by 16 or less). I play Navy +11 and Wake wins the 2H 17-10 making the play a WINNER!
Oaklahoma St vs Troy The total on the game is 61. At the half Oklahoma St is winning 35-10. The 2H total is 31 presenting a 13 point middle (game landing on or between 65 and 75 points). I play over the 31 2H and Oklahoma St wins the 2H 20-14 making the play a WINNER!
South Florida vs NC State South Florida is -10 and the total is 46. At the half Soth Florida is winning 31-10. The second half line is South Florida -4 which presents a 14 point middle (Soth Florida wins by between 11 and 24 points). Also the 2H total is 22.5 points prsenting a 17 point middle (game landing on or between 47- 63). Thus I play both Soth Florida -4 2H and Over 22.5 2H. South Florida wins the 2H by the score of 10-0. South Florida -4 2H play is WINNER! Over 22.5 2H play is a LOSER!
Alabama vs Georgia Georgia is -6.5 for the game. At the half Alabama is winning 31-0. 2H Line is Georgia -7 which presents a 30 point middle (Georgia loses by 23 or less OR Wins by 6 or less). I play Alabama +7 2H and Georgia win the 2H 30-10 to make the play a LOSER!
Florida vs Tennessee Florida was -7 for the game. At the half Florida was winning 20-0. The 2H line is Florida -2.5 thus presenting a 14 point middle(Florida wins by 8 to 22 points). Thus I play Florida in the 2H and they win the second half 10-6 making the play a WINNER!
Saturday September 27th
Note: this Saturday was raining here in NJ and was the first Saturday i had no games to umpire thus was able to really just stay home and follow the games and scores and really try and play the system whenever possible.
Wisconsin vs Michigan Wisconsin is -4.5 for the game. At the half Wisconsin is winning 19-0. 2H line is Wisconsin pk presenting a 13 point middle (Wisconsin win between 5 and 18 points). I play wisconsin pk for the 2H, but Michigan rolls the second half 27-6 making the play a LOSER! But note that again the game didn't fall in the middle, I just happen to bet the wrong side.
Wake Forrest vs Navy Wake is -17 for the game. At the half Navy is winning 17-0. The 2H line is Wake -11 prsenting a 21 point middle (Navy wins by 5 or less OR Wake wins by 16 or less). I play Navy +11 and Wake wins the 2H 17-10 making the play a WINNER!
Oaklahoma St vs Troy The total on the game is 61. At the half Oklahoma St is winning 35-10. The 2H total is 31 presenting a 13 point middle (game landing on or between 65 and 75 points). I play over the 31 2H and Oklahoma St wins the 2H 20-14 making the play a WINNER!
South Florida vs NC State South Florida is -10 and the total is 46. At the half Soth Florida is winning 31-10. The second half line is South Florida -4 which presents a 14 point middle (Soth Florida wins by between 11 and 24 points). Also the 2H total is 22.5 points prsenting a 17 point middle (game landing on or between 47- 63). Thus I play both Soth Florida -4 2H and Over 22.5 2H. South Florida wins the 2H by the score of 10-0. South Florida -4 2H play is WINNER! Over 22.5 2H play is a LOSER!
Alabama vs Georgia Georgia is -6.5 for the game. At the half Alabama is winning 31-0. 2H Line is Georgia -7 which presents a 30 point middle (Georgia loses by 23 or less OR Wins by 6 or less). I play Alabama +7 2H and Georgia win the 2H 30-10 to make the play a LOSER!
Virginia Tech vs Nebraska Nebraska is -7 for the game. At the half Va Tech is wiining 18-10. 2H line is Nebraska -4.5 prsenting a 10 point middle (Nebrask losing by 3 or less OR winning by 6 or less). I play Virginia Tech +4.5 2H and Nebraska wins 2H 20-17 making the play a WINNER!
Tuesday September 30th
FAU vs Middle Tennessee The total is 51.5 on the game. At the half FAU is winning 10-0. 2H total is 24 prsenting a 16 point middle ( game landing on or between 35 and 51 points). I take under the 24 for the second half and Middle Tennessee wins the 2H 14-3 making the play a WINNER!
Thus so far this season I am 7-3 betting this system, but understand that 8 out of the tem games didn't land in the middle, I just bet the wrong side as Michigan came back and covered the 2H as well as the game.
So basically I'm just posting what I have found thus far this season and see if anyone else has any input into this system? I would love to find a site to research it some more in depth to see all college games that fall into this system. I know there are probablly a ton of other games that I missed that fell into this ystem but I have no idea what the 2H line were. I can find out the game lines and total lines on covers but hey don't have 2H lines. Or at least I haven't found them. So anyone that could provide that, it would be much appreciated as I would be able to see if this has just beeen coincidence or if this system really hits at 80% over a longer period of time and a greater number of test games.
Virginia Tech vs Nebraska Nebraska is -7 for the game. At the half Va Tech is wiining 18-10. 2H line is Nebraska -4.5 prsenting a 10 point middle (Nebrask losing by 3 or less OR winning by 6 or less). I play Virginia Tech +4.5 2H and Nebraska wins 2H 20-17 making the play a WINNER!
Tuesday September 30th
FAU vs Middle Tennessee The total is 51.5 on the game. At the half FAU is winning 10-0. 2H total is 24 prsenting a 16 point middle ( game landing on or between 35 and 51 points). I take under the 24 for the second half and Middle Tennessee wins the 2H 14-3 making the play a WINNER!
Thus so far this season I am 7-3 betting this system, but understand that 8 out of the tem games didn't land in the middle, I just bet the wrong side as Michigan came back and covered the 2H as well as the game.
So basically I'm just posting what I have found thus far this season and see if anyone else has any input into this system? I would love to find a site to research it some more in depth to see all college games that fall into this system. I know there are probablly a ton of other games that I missed that fell into this ystem but I have no idea what the 2H line were. I can find out the game lines and total lines on covers but hey don't have 2H lines. Or at least I haven't found them. So anyone that could provide that, it would be much appreciated as I would be able to see if this has just beeen coincidence or if this system really hits at 80% over a longer period of time and a greater number of test games.
Looking at the first game, if you had BYU -8.5 in the game for $1000 and now at halftime they are winning 42-0. You could now bet $1000 on UCLA +.5 for the second half and if the game ends up with BYU winning the game by between 9 and 42 points you win $2000 with only risking $100. I have found that it rarely lands in this middle, so I bet the more logical outcome. If I feel the game isn't going to end with BYU winning between 9 and 42, what is more likely:
A) Byu wins by 43 or more
OR
B) UCLA comes back to loose the game by 8 or less
I feel it's more likely that BYU wins by 43 or more considering it is 42-0 at halftime.
Looking at the first game, if you had BYU -8.5 in the game for $1000 and now at halftime they are winning 42-0. You could now bet $1000 on UCLA +.5 for the second half and if the game ends up with BYU winning the game by between 9 and 42 points you win $2000 with only risking $100. I have found that it rarely lands in this middle, so I bet the more logical outcome. If I feel the game isn't going to end with BYU winning between 9 and 42, what is more likely:
A) Byu wins by 43 or more
OR
B) UCLA comes back to loose the game by 8 or less
I feel it's more likely that BYU wins by 43 or more considering it is 42-0 at halftime.
The bottom line is anything that is 60% or better is a profittable play, so if this system really hits around the 70-75% I have found thus far, it could be a very profitable system for us all to play.
I just wish I had access to 2H lines for past college games. I can get the whole game lines and results, but nowhere can I find 2H lines to do more research. I can tell you I will keep following it some more and post any and all plays I find, starting tonight with the Boise St/La Tech game. Just remember we are looking for a middle of 10 points or more to present itself at halftime.
The bottom line is anything that is 60% or better is a profittable play, so if this system really hits around the 70-75% I have found thus far, it could be a very profitable system for us all to play.
I just wish I had access to 2H lines for past college games. I can get the whole game lines and results, but nowhere can I find 2H lines to do more research. I can tell you I will keep following it some more and post any and all plays I find, starting tonight with the Boise St/La Tech game. Just remember we are looking for a middle of 10 points or more to present itself at halftime.
Hey NJP I think that your right on track. I havent went to the extent of crunching numbers like you have but I bet against alott of "easy" looking middles myself. Especially depending what the majority was on for the entiire game. Like I said I havent crunched as many #'s as you have because I've quit crunching numbers years ago. But I bet alott of 2nd halfs and to my naked eye, "vegas", whether they have a direct effect over the game or not, does not allow alott of middles.
So keep it up. Dont forget that this is just one tool in your capping belt and just tail blindly. But use it to your discretion. And keep up the good work!
Hey NJP I think that your right on track. I havent went to the extent of crunching numbers like you have but I bet against alott of "easy" looking middles myself. Especially depending what the majority was on for the entiire game. Like I said I havent crunched as many #'s as you have because I've quit crunching numbers years ago. But I bet alott of 2nd halfs and to my naked eye, "vegas", whether they have a direct effect over the game or not, does not allow alott of middles.
So keep it up. Dont forget that this is just one tool in your capping belt and just tail blindly. But use it to your discretion. And keep up the good work!
Hey NJP I think that your right on track. I havent went to the extent of crunching numbers like you have but I bet against alott of "easy" looking middles myself. Especially depending what the majority was on for the entiire game. Like I said I havent crunched as many #'s as you have because I've quit crunching numbers years ago. But I bet alott of 2nd halfs and to my naked eye, "vegas", whether they have a direct effect over the game or not, does not allow alott of middles.
So keep it up. Dont forget that this is just one tool in your capping belt and just tail blindly. But use it to your discretion. And keep up the good work!
Dont forget that this is just one tool in your capping belt and
Hey NJP I think that your right on track. I havent went to the extent of crunching numbers like you have but I bet against alott of "easy" looking middles myself. Especially depending what the majority was on for the entiire game. Like I said I havent crunched as many #'s as you have because I've quit crunching numbers years ago. But I bet alott of 2nd halfs and to my naked eye, "vegas", whether they have a direct effect over the game or not, does not allow alott of middles.
So keep it up. Dont forget that this is just one tool in your capping belt and just tail blindly. But use it to your discretion. And keep up the good work!
Dont forget that this is just one tool in your capping belt and
Guys you get the middle by figuring the number of points a game can land on for you to hit both sides of a bet.
For example lets say Miami is playing USC.
For the game USC is -14 and the total is 45.
At Halftime USC is winning 24-17.
Thus we have USC needing to win the 2H by 7 to cover the original 14 and they need 4 points for the game to go over.
Now, the 2H line is USC -7 and O/U is 21.5.
Thus as the side goes we have no middle and no play, because USC needs 7 to cover the game line as well as 7 to cover the 2H.
But when we look at the total, there is a 16 point middle as the game could land between 5 points and 21 in the 2H to hit both bets. They only need 4 points to go over the game total of 45 and less than 21.5 to go under in the 2H.
Guys you get the middle by figuring the number of points a game can land on for you to hit both sides of a bet.
For example lets say Miami is playing USC.
For the game USC is -14 and the total is 45.
At Halftime USC is winning 24-17.
Thus we have USC needing to win the 2H by 7 to cover the original 14 and they need 4 points for the game to go over.
Now, the 2H line is USC -7 and O/U is 21.5.
Thus as the side goes we have no middle and no play, because USC needs 7 to cover the game line as well as 7 to cover the 2H.
But when we look at the total, there is a 16 point middle as the game could land between 5 points and 21 in the 2H to hit both bets. They only need 4 points to go over the game total of 45 and less than 21.5 to go under in the 2H.
Basically what NJPORKY is saying the games that look like very easy middles lose more then they win. Which makes alot of sense because the books dont like to be middled and lose a ton.
Basically what NJPORKY is saying the games that look like very easy middles lose more then they win. Which makes alot of sense because the books dont like to be middled and lose a ton.
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