Thanks, guys. Nice to know someone is paying attention. It's a fun league to follow, and I think there are edges to be had since no one else is watching it.
Brno loses by 1 for a push. Sparta an easy 3-0 winner. Okay start to the day.
Thanks, guys. Nice to know someone is paying attention. It's a fun league to follow, and I think there are edges to be had since no one else is watching it.
Brno loses by 1 for a push. Sparta an easy 3-0 winner. Okay start to the day.
1st half: 21-22-3 (+53)
2nd half: 10-10-3 (+139)
Slovak: 3-3-2 (+102)
Record is now updated. Last weekend not as bad as I thought, 0-2-1 in the Czech league and 1-0 with my Slovak pick. DAC came through as a +295 winner if you played them outright. This weekend:
Jihlava (+152). Yes I'm nervous putting money on Jihlava, but they're really not such a bad team at home, and Zlin have been on a skid lately. At this price I can't say no.
Slovacko (-110). You won't get rich laying juice with piss poor teams like Slovacko, but if there's one team they deserve to be laying juice against it's Brno. More a fade of them than anything else.
Plzen (+110). A few weeks ago Plzen at home at + money would have been a no-brainer, even against a team like Sparta. But Plzen have really struggled since the break. They need a big win to re-establish themsevles, and I think they get it here.
Slovak:
Trencin +.5 (-115). The pattern in this league is that Slovan Bratislava are consistently overpriced, I suspect due to name recognition, and are always laying heavy juice at home. Trencin aren't in great form right now, but this number is too high. I'm playing 3/4 unit at +.5 -115 and 1/4 unit to win outright at +290.
Best of luck to all this weekend, make it a good one!
PS -- I haven't looked at the Czech U21 league. I'll give it a peek, but I don't think any of my books offer it to bet.
1st half: 21-22-3 (+53)
2nd half: 10-10-3 (+139)
Slovak: 3-3-2 (+102)
Record is now updated. Last weekend not as bad as I thought, 0-2-1 in the Czech league and 1-0 with my Slovak pick. DAC came through as a +295 winner if you played them outright. This weekend:
Jihlava (+152). Yes I'm nervous putting money on Jihlava, but they're really not such a bad team at home, and Zlin have been on a skid lately. At this price I can't say no.
Slovacko (-110). You won't get rich laying juice with piss poor teams like Slovacko, but if there's one team they deserve to be laying juice against it's Brno. More a fade of them than anything else.
Plzen (+110). A few weeks ago Plzen at home at + money would have been a no-brainer, even against a team like Sparta. But Plzen have really struggled since the break. They need a big win to re-establish themsevles, and I think they get it here.
Slovak:
Trencin +.5 (-115). The pattern in this league is that Slovan Bratislava are consistently overpriced, I suspect due to name recognition, and are always laying heavy juice at home. Trencin aren't in great form right now, but this number is too high. I'm playing 3/4 unit at +.5 -115 and 1/4 unit to win outright at +290.
Best of luck to all this weekend, make it a good one!
PS -- I haven't looked at the Czech U21 league. I'll give it a peek, but I don't think any of my books offer it to bet.
1st half: 21-22-3 (+53)
2nd half: 11-12-3 (+39)
Slovak: 4-3-2 (+202)
No time for rationale this week, but three Czech and two Slovak games I like:
Bohemians (-130)
Olomouc (+110). This one scares me a little, it seems too easy
Liberec Pick, +.5 (-120)
Slovak:
Trnava (+155)
Zilina (+110)
Best of luck to everyone this weekend
1st half: 21-22-3 (+53)
2nd half: 11-12-3 (+39)
Slovak: 4-3-2 (+202)
No time for rationale this week, but three Czech and two Slovak games I like:
Bohemians (-130)
Olomouc (+110). This one scares me a little, it seems too easy
Liberec Pick, +.5 (-120)
Slovak:
Trnava (+155)
Zilina (+110)
Best of luck to everyone this weekend
1st half: 21-22-3 (+53)
2nd half: 13-13-3 (+69)
Slovak: 4-5-2 (+2)
Missed last week due to some travel. Just four weeks to go, and Plzen could wrap it up this weekend if they can beat Slavia (I don't think they will). No Slovak picks this week, but here's what I like in the Czech league:
Brno pick, +.5 (-110).
Boleslav (+105).
Slavia / Plzen DRAW (+210)
Best of luck to everyone this weekend.
1st half: 21-22-3 (+53)
2nd half: 13-13-3 (+69)
Slovak: 4-5-2 (+2)
Missed last week due to some travel. Just four weeks to go, and Plzen could wrap it up this weekend if they can beat Slavia (I don't think they will). No Slovak picks this week, but here's what I like in the Czech league:
Brno pick, +.5 (-110).
Boleslav (+105).
Slavia / Plzen DRAW (+210)
Best of luck to everyone this weekend.
1st half: 21-22-3 (+53)
2nd half: 13-16-3 (-241)
Slovak: 4-5-2 (+2)
Tough weekend last time out, going 0-3.
For today's Mol Cup final I like Slavia +131. They are the superior team, and getting them at this price is too good to pass on. They still have an outside shot of catching Plzen for the league, but it's pretty unlikely at this point. They'll be all in on this one to bring home some hardware, and I don't think Jablonec can hang with them.
1st half: 21-22-3 (+53)
2nd half: 13-16-3 (-241)
Slovak: 4-5-2 (+2)
Tough weekend last time out, going 0-3.
For today's Mol Cup final I like Slavia +131. They are the superior team, and getting them at this price is too good to pass on. They still have an outside shot of catching Plzen for the league, but it's pretty unlikely at this point. They'll be all in on this one to bring home some hardware, and I don't think Jablonec can hang with them.
1st half: 21-22-3 (+53)
2nd half: 14-16-3 (-110)
Slovak: 4-5-2 (+2)
I'm going to count my Mol Cup winner in my numbers, but I'm still in the negative for the 2nd half and the season. Just three more weeks to get back to positive. This weekend I'm seeing a lot I like, which makes me a little nervous. I'm taking:
Liberec +.5 (+114). Liberec should be able to pull a draw, even on the road, against lowly Ostrava. These are two teams going in opposite directions (Ostrava have been surprisingly competent lately while Liberec are in very poor form) which explains the generous number. I don't think Liberec are dead yet, and they should handle this one.
Bohemians Pick (-125). Boleslav really have fallen this year, and Bohemians are a very strong home team. They might not win, but I don't think they lose, so the Pick is my play.
Teplice (-105). This one scares me a little because this number should be much higher. Teplice are strong at home and Brno are absolute garbage away, and weird lines like this one usually play out in surprising ways. I'll step into the trap and take the home favorite.
Dukla +1 (-125). It's tough to go against Slavia since they still have a shot at the title, and they are the stronger side. But I think there might be some Mol Cup hangover, and their chances of winning the league are so slim they might as well not exist. They could mail this one in and we could see an ugly, low scoring match. Getting a goal I'll gladly take it.
Two Slovak picks:
This league has a really weird format, and with two weeks left the only things certain are that Trnava have won the league and the CL qualifying spot, and Slovan Bratislava are assured one of the EL spots due to winning the Cup. If Slovan finish in third place, there will be a third EL spot, and it could go to any of the remaining teams, and these last two weeks would mean almost nothing since there will be a playoff at the end anyway. Motivations will be difficult to gauge, which I think gives some value on the underdogs:
DAC (+140). DAC can tie up one of those EL spots with a home win over a Slovan Bratislava side that has already punched their EL ticket and has nothing to play for at this point.
Ruzomberok +1 (-125). Neither Trencin nor Ruzomberok can scratch up to third place to assure an EL spot, which means they're both just running out the string hoping for a playoff. Given that, I don't see any reason to make Trencin such big favorites here. I'm taking Ruzomberok +1 for .75 units and outright at +425 for .25 units.
As we wind down the seasons and get ready for World Cup play, best of luck to all
1st half: 21-22-3 (+53)
2nd half: 14-16-3 (-110)
Slovak: 4-5-2 (+2)
I'm going to count my Mol Cup winner in my numbers, but I'm still in the negative for the 2nd half and the season. Just three more weeks to get back to positive. This weekend I'm seeing a lot I like, which makes me a little nervous. I'm taking:
Liberec +.5 (+114). Liberec should be able to pull a draw, even on the road, against lowly Ostrava. These are two teams going in opposite directions (Ostrava have been surprisingly competent lately while Liberec are in very poor form) which explains the generous number. I don't think Liberec are dead yet, and they should handle this one.
Bohemians Pick (-125). Boleslav really have fallen this year, and Bohemians are a very strong home team. They might not win, but I don't think they lose, so the Pick is my play.
Teplice (-105). This one scares me a little because this number should be much higher. Teplice are strong at home and Brno are absolute garbage away, and weird lines like this one usually play out in surprising ways. I'll step into the trap and take the home favorite.
Dukla +1 (-125). It's tough to go against Slavia since they still have a shot at the title, and they are the stronger side. But I think there might be some Mol Cup hangover, and their chances of winning the league are so slim they might as well not exist. They could mail this one in and we could see an ugly, low scoring match. Getting a goal I'll gladly take it.
Two Slovak picks:
This league has a really weird format, and with two weeks left the only things certain are that Trnava have won the league and the CL qualifying spot, and Slovan Bratislava are assured one of the EL spots due to winning the Cup. If Slovan finish in third place, there will be a third EL spot, and it could go to any of the remaining teams, and these last two weeks would mean almost nothing since there will be a playoff at the end anyway. Motivations will be difficult to gauge, which I think gives some value on the underdogs:
DAC (+140). DAC can tie up one of those EL spots with a home win over a Slovan Bratislava side that has already punched their EL ticket and has nothing to play for at this point.
Ruzomberok +1 (-125). Neither Trencin nor Ruzomberok can scratch up to third place to assure an EL spot, which means they're both just running out the string hoping for a playoff. Given that, I don't see any reason to make Trencin such big favorites here. I'm taking Ruzomberok +1 for .75 units and outright at +425 for .25 units.
As we wind down the seasons and get ready for World Cup play, best of luck to all
1st half: 21-22-3 (+53)
2nd half: 15-19-3 (-351)
Slovak: 4-7-2 (-198)
Another piss poor outing last weekend, I'm glad this season is finally almost over. Just like Plzen I started strong, but have been limping towards the finish line. Just two this weekend:
Karvina Pick (-115). The loser of this match is basically down to the 2.liga with Brno next year, so this should be interesting. I'll take the home side.
Slavia (-125). This number seems low, given that 1) Slavia are at home, and they are one of the strongest home sides in the league, 2) Jablonec are all but assured a Europa League spot next year but have no chance at getting into CL qualification (and therefore seemingly have little to play for), and 3) Plzen continues to struggle, leaving the door open for Slavia to sneak in and retain their title. They'll come out gunning, but I can't say the same for Jablonec.
Plzen need 3 points these last two weeks to lock up the title, and I think they'll get them tomorrow at home against Teplice. But obviously I'm not going to lay -455, and I can't find anything I like to parlay them with. Just these two plays for me.
Best of luck to all this weekend
1st half: 21-22-3 (+53)
2nd half: 15-19-3 (-351)
Slovak: 4-7-2 (-198)
Another piss poor outing last weekend, I'm glad this season is finally almost over. Just like Plzen I started strong, but have been limping towards the finish line. Just two this weekend:
Karvina Pick (-115). The loser of this match is basically down to the 2.liga with Brno next year, so this should be interesting. I'll take the home side.
Slavia (-125). This number seems low, given that 1) Slavia are at home, and they are one of the strongest home sides in the league, 2) Jablonec are all but assured a Europa League spot next year but have no chance at getting into CL qualification (and therefore seemingly have little to play for), and 3) Plzen continues to struggle, leaving the door open for Slavia to sneak in and retain their title. They'll come out gunning, but I can't say the same for Jablonec.
Plzen need 3 points these last two weeks to lock up the title, and I think they'll get them tomorrow at home against Teplice. But obviously I'm not going to lay -455, and I can't find anything I like to parlay them with. Just these two plays for me.
Best of luck to all this weekend
1st half: 21-22-3 (+53)
2nd half: 15-20-4 (-476)
Slovak: 4-7-2 (-198)
Last weekend of the season, and I'm ready for it to be over. Gave back all my winnings over these last few weeks, really took a dump to end the season. This week is a little tough since only a few teams have anything to really play for, and motivations could be difficult to gauge. Here's what I'm playing:
Karvina / Jihlava UNDER 2.5 (-110). Karvina will be pressing, because they need a win to get out of relegation, but Jihlava will be happy to play for a draw, as it will ensure their safety out of the bottom two spots. This could create some scoring chances for Jihlava, but they're neither good enough to convert or will be all that interested in pressing forward. I'll look for a slow, lethargic match.
Zlin (+115). Zlin are bad, and they're in poor form. So poor they need to take a point from this match or they could be relegated. But Liberec cannot move up or down, and have nothing to play for. And I'd like Zlin in this spot regardless of motivation, as they are a decent home side, while Liberec struggle away. Add in the extra motivation and plus money, and Zlin is the play.
And with those two plays I'm going to finish the season. Pribram will be back up next year, along with Opava (who I know nothing about). Brno is headed back down, and one of four teams (Karvina, Zlin, Ostrava, Jihlava) will be joining them.
Best of luck to all this weekend, and bring on the World Cup.
1st half: 21-22-3 (+53)
2nd half: 15-20-4 (-476)
Slovak: 4-7-2 (-198)
Last weekend of the season, and I'm ready for it to be over. Gave back all my winnings over these last few weeks, really took a dump to end the season. This week is a little tough since only a few teams have anything to really play for, and motivations could be difficult to gauge. Here's what I'm playing:
Karvina / Jihlava UNDER 2.5 (-110). Karvina will be pressing, because they need a win to get out of relegation, but Jihlava will be happy to play for a draw, as it will ensure their safety out of the bottom two spots. This could create some scoring chances for Jihlava, but they're neither good enough to convert or will be all that interested in pressing forward. I'll look for a slow, lethargic match.
Zlin (+115). Zlin are bad, and they're in poor form. So poor they need to take a point from this match or they could be relegated. But Liberec cannot move up or down, and have nothing to play for. And I'd like Zlin in this spot regardless of motivation, as they are a decent home side, while Liberec struggle away. Add in the extra motivation and plus money, and Zlin is the play.
And with those two plays I'm going to finish the season. Pribram will be back up next year, along with Opava (who I know nothing about). Brno is headed back down, and one of four teams (Karvina, Zlin, Ostrava, Jihlava) will be joining them.
Best of luck to all this weekend, and bring on the World Cup.
Thanks for the kind words, I'll be back in the Fall with more Czech insights. I had a good weekend to end the season, that's always nice. Unfortunately I still finished in the hole:
1st half: 21-22-3 (+53)
2nd half: 17-20-4 (-261)
Slovak: 4-7-2 (-198)
Not surprising, Plzen (straight to group stage) and Slavia (3rd qualifying round) take the CL league spots, but something of a surprise in that Jablonec and Olomouc get the EL places. Sparta get shut out. Jihlava and Brno are deservedly relegated.
Bring on the World Cup!
Thanks for the kind words, I'll be back in the Fall with more Czech insights. I had a good weekend to end the season, that's always nice. Unfortunately I still finished in the hole:
1st half: 21-22-3 (+53)
2nd half: 17-20-4 (-261)
Slovak: 4-7-2 (-198)
Not surprising, Plzen (straight to group stage) and Slavia (3rd qualifying round) take the CL league spots, but something of a surprise in that Jablonec and Olomouc get the EL places. Sparta get shut out. Jihlava and Brno are deservedly relegated.
Bring on the World Cup!
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