I'll be looking into the Twins game and the Royals game tomorrow. I have no idea what line-ups they're coming with so I'm holding off. Both teams are facing their first lefty of the year and Gardenhire's already unpredictable. Any insights or thoughts on what I've got are appreciated.
I'll be looking into the Twins game and the Royals game tomorrow. I have no idea what line-ups they're coming with so I'm holding off. Both teams are facing their first lefty of the year and Gardenhire's already unpredictable. Any insights or thoughts on what I've got are appreciated.
I love this play so it's my largest of this young season. We have 2 starting pitchers with a total of 45 big league innings under their belts. That makes it tough to really get a feel but it's also tough to set a sharp line and the fact is I just think the books got it wrong (I have it at Oakland -161). Maybe it's surprising but I rate Oakland's offense against righties ahead of KC's offense against lefties. Oakland will do what they do and work counts against a pitcher with no experience, as they should. Make him beat you. KC is the youngest team in baseball and they're agressive but this isn't the spot for that. Milone is a young lefty somewhere in between Tom Glavine and Jaime Moyer in style. He changes speeds well and locates incredibly well. He had a 0.97 BB/9 in AAA last year to go with 4 BB's in 26 innings after he got the call. He is a flyball pitcher which works in this ballpark (i'll surely be fading him against texas' veteran hitters in that launching pad).
The A's sat at home enjoying their off day and maybe we get a let-down from yesterday's big opening series win by KC. It will be an adjustment in that it will be the first lefty KC faces this year after facing 3 sick righties. KC pulled off a big series upset because they love hitting righties. Aside from Francoeur (Butler is neutral) none of these young Royals has a clue against lefties, starting with budding star, Hosmer, who hit only 1 HR in 152 AB's off lefties. In fact, take out Francoeur(9), Gordon(8) and Butler(6) and players on the Royals today combined for only 5 HR of lefties last year.
I think there's also been just to much value created by the result of a good opening series for a Royal team that was set up nicely to possibly surprise.
I love this play so it's my largest of this young season. We have 2 starting pitchers with a total of 45 big league innings under their belts. That makes it tough to really get a feel but it's also tough to set a sharp line and the fact is I just think the books got it wrong (I have it at Oakland -161). Maybe it's surprising but I rate Oakland's offense against righties ahead of KC's offense against lefties. Oakland will do what they do and work counts against a pitcher with no experience, as they should. Make him beat you. KC is the youngest team in baseball and they're agressive but this isn't the spot for that. Milone is a young lefty somewhere in between Tom Glavine and Jaime Moyer in style. He changes speeds well and locates incredibly well. He had a 0.97 BB/9 in AAA last year to go with 4 BB's in 26 innings after he got the call. He is a flyball pitcher which works in this ballpark (i'll surely be fading him against texas' veteran hitters in that launching pad).
The A's sat at home enjoying their off day and maybe we get a let-down from yesterday's big opening series win by KC. It will be an adjustment in that it will be the first lefty KC faces this year after facing 3 sick righties. KC pulled off a big series upset because they love hitting righties. Aside from Francoeur (Butler is neutral) none of these young Royals has a clue against lefties, starting with budding star, Hosmer, who hit only 1 HR in 152 AB's off lefties. In fact, take out Francoeur(9), Gordon(8) and Butler(6) and players on the Royals today combined for only 5 HR of lefties last year.
I think there's also been just to much value created by the result of a good opening series for a Royal team that was set up nicely to possibly surprise.
All the same thoughts as my A's play apply on that side. On the other side, Mendoza's strong spring is enough to make me wish I balanced my play on this game 3 units Oak/1 unit under. If I can find the Royals at +110 I'll buy back one unit but I don't see that line getting there (with the whole world on KC) so I'll probably just be exposed to 4/1.
All the same thoughts as my A's play apply on that side. On the other side, Mendoza's strong spring is enough to make me wish I balanced my play on this game 3 units Oak/1 unit under. If I can find the Royals at +110 I'll buy back one unit but I don't see that line getting there (with the whole world on KC) so I'll probably just be exposed to 4/1.
Assuming he's talking about Alex Gordon, this is very good news for Oakland and under. Gordon was one one only 3 qualified bats for the Royals against their first lefty of the year. If Hosmer or Moustakas (this would ensure his start) home tonight it will match their combined total in 230 at-bats last year. Francoeur and Butler just don't have much protection tonight against a guy with keyhole-command.
If this is true and Gordon is out, expect it to go at -125 and the total will drop to 7. This would be worth that much tonight.
Assuming he's talking about Alex Gordon, this is very good news for Oakland and under. Gordon was one one only 3 qualified bats for the Royals against their first lefty of the year. If Hosmer or Moustakas (this would ensure his start) home tonight it will match their combined total in 230 at-bats last year. Francoeur and Butler just don't have much protection tonight against a guy with keyhole-command.
If this is true and Gordon is out, expect it to go at -125 and the total will drop to 7. This would be worth that much tonight.
Despite the public pounding over 9.5 in the Cubs game, the total just plummeted to 8.5-120u. It should be noted that 7, 9, and 11 are to baseball totals what 3, 7 and 10 are to NFL sides. Books don't cross 9 without a strong reason and the juice suggests 8 is coming soon.
Despite the public pounding over 9.5 in the Cubs game, the total just plummeted to 8.5-120u. It should be noted that 7, 9, and 11 are to baseball totals what 3, 7 and 10 are to NFL sides. Books don't cross 9 without a strong reason and the juice suggests 8 is coming soon.
Royals are officially benching Gordon and Moustakas for Borgieos and Betancourt. Love my play without Gordon but I think Moustakas is addition by subtraction and it should be noted he will be available against the bullpen. Like I said earlier, this line should get to at least -125 and 7.
Royals are officially benching Gordon and Moustakas for Borgieos and Betancourt. Love my play without Gordon but I think Moustakas is addition by subtraction and it should be noted he will be available against the bullpen. Like I said earlier, this line should get to at least -125 and 7.
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