The 1st leg BATE won 1-0 away from home in Baku. Qarabag will be forced to open up and that should play in favour of the home side. My usuall numbers favour BATE 15.2- 11.8 in transfer value, 1534-1480 in club Elo Rank. 19.8 - 17.7 in Uefa Coefficient. Give me home advantage and even or plus money is a play in my books
The 1st leg BATE won 1-0 away from home in Baku. Qarabag will be forced to open up and that should play in favour of the home side. My usuall numbers favour BATE 15.2- 11.8 in transfer value, 1534-1480 in club Elo Rank. 19.8 - 17.7 in Uefa Coefficient. Give me home advantage and even or plus money is a play in my books
AEK head home with a 1-1 result in the first leg after playing half the game with a man down after Galanopoulos was sent off in the 57 minute. Celtic had to play on Saturday vs Hearts in league action (&Lost) . AEK are more rested and have a great home record in 2018 calendar year 11 W 2D 1L.
AEK head home with a 1-1 result in the first leg after playing half the game with a man down after Galanopoulos was sent off in the 57 minute. Celtic had to play on Saturday vs Hearts in league action (&Lost) . AEK are more rested and have a great home record in 2018 calendar year 11 W 2D 1L.
August 14--- Red Bull Salzburg v Shkendija Benfica v Fenerbahce PAOK v Spartak Moscow
20. Salzburg/Shkendija OVER 2.5 @ 1.97/-103 (1 Unit) BetVic 21.Benfica/Fenerbahce OVER 2.5 @ 2.04/+104(1 Unit)Marathon 22. PAOK/Spartak OVER 2.5 @ 2.04/+104 (1 Unit) Marathon
Hoping the trend of 2nd legs being more open continues this round. I narrowed down this trio that had odds close to evens. My criteria was that both teams must of had an average over 2.5 goals per game last season in league play as well as form wise the majority of both home and away matches have recently gone over 2.5 goals.
August 14--- Red Bull Salzburg v Shkendija Benfica v Fenerbahce PAOK v Spartak Moscow
20. Salzburg/Shkendija OVER 2.5 @ 1.97/-103 (1 Unit) BetVic 21.Benfica/Fenerbahce OVER 2.5 @ 2.04/+104(1 Unit)Marathon 22. PAOK/Spartak OVER 2.5 @ 2.04/+104 (1 Unit) Marathon
Hoping the trend of 2nd legs being more open continues this round. I narrowed down this trio that had odds close to evens. My criteria was that both teams must of had an average over 2.5 goals per game last season in league play as well as form wise the majority of both home and away matches have recently gone over 2.5 goals.
Even though Kairat dropped the 1st leg 2-0 away they were red carded in the 38 minute and were playing a man down untill the 68 minute when Veprk from Sigma was also sent off with a 2nd yellow. Kairat are a veru good team at home. Going back to 2017 they have a record of 32 Wins 1 Loss 4 Draws. Theay also managed to beat AZ last round at home a team of better quality than Sigma.
Even though Kairat dropped the 1st leg 2-0 away they were red carded in the 38 minute and were playing a man down untill the 68 minute when Veprk from Sigma was also sent off with a 2nd yellow. Kairat are a veru good team at home. Going back to 2017 they have a record of 32 Wins 1 Loss 4 Draws. Theay also managed to beat AZ last round at home a team of better quality than Sigma.
August 16 --- Copenhagen v CSKA Sofia Dinamo Brest Apollon
28. Copenhagen/CSKA OVER 2.5 @ 2.01/+101 (2 Units) Paddy 29. Brest/Apollon OVER 2.5 @ 2.12/+112 (2 Units) Marathon
The 2 matches that were priced at plus money that I think have a good probability of going over. Both match ups have gone over in the 1st leg and all 4 teams average over 2.5 goals per game in their domestic leagues.
August 16 --- Copenhagen v CSKA Sofia Dinamo Brest Apollon
28. Copenhagen/CSKA OVER 2.5 @ 2.01/+101 (2 Units) Paddy 29. Brest/Apollon OVER 2.5 @ 2.12/+112 (2 Units) Marathon
The 2 matches that were priced at plus money that I think have a good probability of going over. Both match ups have gone over in the 1st leg and all 4 teams average over 2.5 goals per game in their domestic leagues.
The 1st leg between these 2 sides ended 2-2 in Israel. I do like the fact that form wise APOEL is better 7 points in past 5 games vs 5 points for Hapoel. Home advantage should also be key as APOEL have won 4 straight at home where as the visitors have only won once in their last 6 away games.
The 1st leg between these 2 sides ended 2-2 in Israel. I do like the fact that form wise APOEL is better 7 points in past 5 games vs 5 points for Hapoel. Home advantage should also be key as APOEL have won 4 straight at home where as the visitors have only won once in their last 6 away games.
I like the numbers here as well as home advantage. Transfer market value 188-53 in favour of Burnley. ELO rank 1690-1647, S&Y Internationals 14-,13, Uefa Coefficient 75-39. Burnley also impressed me on the weekend with a draw away to Southampton. Any price at plus money is value.
I like the numbers here as well as home advantage. Transfer market value 188-53 in favour of Burnley. ELO rank 1690-1647, S&Y Internationals 14-,13, Uefa Coefficient 75-39. Burnley also impressed me on the weekend with a draw away to Southampton. Any price at plus money is value.
The past 4 games for both sides only 1 game went over 2.5 and we have seen 3 nil nil outcomes. Based upon the projected lineups for todays game it really looks like a 1-0 or 2-0 result for BATE. Since i am already on the ML for BVATE and I'm not confident enough to play the correct score so I'll just play the total.
The past 4 games for both sides only 1 game went over 2.5 and we have seen 3 nil nil outcomes. Based upon the projected lineups for todays game it really looks like a 1-0 or 2-0 result for BATE. Since i am already on the ML for BVATE and I'm not confident enough to play the correct score so I'll just play the total.
Form wise APOEL 10 points out of the past 5 games vs 5 points for Astana. ELO Rank 1602-1479, Uefa Coefficient 18-15, TM Value 23-24. This is more of a home advantage play for me as APOEL have won 5 straight at home where as Astana have only won once on the past 5 away.
Form wise APOEL 10 points out of the past 5 games vs 5 points for Astana. ELO Rank 1602-1479, Uefa Coefficient 18-15, TM Value 23-24. This is more of a home advantage play for me as APOEL have won 5 straight at home where as Astana have only won once on the past 5 away.
34. Gent/Bordeaux to DRAW @ 3.25/+225 (1 Unit) WillHill
Once again hunting for a 1st leg Draw, Last season in the play off round 7 of 22 games ended level in the 1st leg or 31.8%. Both teams are very much even stats wise after factoring in home advantage.
34. Gent/Bordeaux to DRAW @ 3.25/+225 (1 Unit) WillHill
Once again hunting for a 1st leg Draw, Last season in the play off round 7 of 22 games ended level in the 1st leg or 31.8%. Both teams are very much even stats wise after factoring in home advantage.
35. Partizan/Besiktas to DRAW @ 3.20/+220 (1 Unit) BetVic
I could repeat my reasoning from play # 34 adding the fact that Partizan are undefeated at home in Europa play this season where as Besiktas even though the stronger side did drop an away result in Austria last round. I think both sides will play not to lose first.
35. Partizan/Besiktas to DRAW @ 3.20/+220 (1 Unit) BetVic
I could repeat my reasoning from play # 34 adding the fact that Partizan are undefeated at home in Europa play this season where as Besiktas even though the stronger side did drop an away result in Austria last round. I think both sides will play not to lose first.
EUROPA LEAGUEAugust 23 --- Partizan Belgrade v Besiktas35. Partizan/Besiktas to DRAW @ 3.20/+220 (1 Unit) BetVicI could repeat my reasoning from play # 34 adding the fact that Partizan are undefeated at home in Europa play this season where as Besiktas even though the stronger side did drop an away result in Austria last round. I think both sides will play not to lose first.
EUROPA LEAGUEAugust 23 --- Partizan Belgrade v Besiktas35. Partizan/Besiktas to DRAW @ 3.20/+220 (1 Unit) BetVicI could repeat my reasoning from play # 34 adding the fact that Partizan are undefeated at home in Europa play this season where as Besiktas even though the stronger side did drop an away result in Austria last round. I think both sides will play not to lose first.
36. Midtjylland ML @ 2.03/+103 (1 Unit) Pinnacle 37. Midtjylland OVER 2.5 @ 2.17/+117 (1 Unit) Marathon
The 1st leg finished 2-2 so I expect Malmo to try and go for it in the 2nd leg. The home side averaged 3.42 goals per game last season & Malmo average 2.84 no reason not to see goals here especially at plus money odds. Numbers wise I also have have to back the Danes to win outright. 20-16 in transfer value, 1563-1479 in ELO rank, 18-9 in Internationals, and 25.9- 18-9 in Uefa Coefficient.
36. Midtjylland ML @ 2.03/+103 (1 Unit) Pinnacle 37. Midtjylland OVER 2.5 @ 2.17/+117 (1 Unit) Marathon
The 1st leg finished 2-2 so I expect Malmo to try and go for it in the 2nd leg. The home side averaged 3.42 goals per game last season & Malmo average 2.84 no reason not to see goals here especially at plus money odds. Numbers wise I also have have to back the Danes to win outright. 20-16 in transfer value, 1563-1479 in ELO rank, 18-9 in Internationals, and 25.9- 18-9 in Uefa Coefficient.
Despite all the front office drama at Bordeaux the team continues to perform well I was impressed with their win versus Monaco on the weekend. The 1st leg here finished 0-0 in Belgium and being at home at plus money I have to give the edge to Bordeaux as all my numbers back the French side.
Despite all the front office drama at Bordeaux the team continues to perform well I was impressed with their win versus Monaco on the weekend. The 1st leg here finished 0-0 in Belgium and being at home at plus money I have to give the edge to Bordeaux as all my numbers back the French side.
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