Scottie Scheffler is +275 at BetMGM to win the U.S. Open, making him the largest favorite since Tiger Woods in 2009, per Yahoo Sports’ Ben Fawkes.
Scheffler has won three of his last four competitions but has never won the U.S. Open, which was captured last year by Bryson DeChambeau.
Key Takeaways
- Scheffler has won three major championships but never the U.S. Open.
- This is Scheffler’s 11th straight time entering a major event as the favorite.
- Defending champion Bryson DeChambeau won the event twice in his career.
Scheffler’s +275 U.S. Open odds mean that he has an implied 26.7% chance to win the U.S. Open, which will also be contested by DeChambeau (+750), Jon Rahm (+1,200), and Rory McIlroy (+1,200), among others.
This is the 11th straight major championship in which Scheffler was the favorite or co-favorite. That’s the third-longest streak of its kind since 1985, trailing marks set by Tiger Woods from the 1999 Open Championship to the 2004 Open Championship (21) and the 2005 Masters to the 2008 U.S. Open (14).
The field – or everyone competing against Scheffler – was given a -400 chance (80% implied probability) to win the third of four major championship events.
Scheffler also received -190 odds (65.5% chance) to finish inside the top five.
Up close on Oakmont’s range with World No. 1, Scottie Scheffler.
— U.S. Open (@usopengolf) June 9, 2025
Could watch this all day. pic.twitter.com/LJ12wbHRDU
The 28-year-old finished seventh, second, third, and 41st in his last four appearances at the Open. Last year’s finish marked the first time in his professional career he shot over par in all four rounds at a major championship.
That said, the American shot 11 under par to win the PGA Championship at Quail Hollow Club in mid-May and was fourth at the Masters Tournament in April.
Is Scheffler inevitable?
Betting Scheffler as the outright winner since the start of the 2021-22 PGA Tour season has resulted in a 65.88% rate of return. That’s nearly twice as high as the S&P 500 (35.44%) during that time.
Data Golf’s in-house ranking says that Scheffler, as far as golfers ranked during the best stretches of their career, has the second-highest peak of all-time behind only Tiger Woods in 2000.
This is the second time in Scheffler’s career that he will play the U.S. Open at Oakmont. The first time was in 2016 when he missed the cut as an amateur. He had the first-round clubhouse lead at 69 but gagged and shot a 78 in the second round.
Scheffler already won $133.3 million strictly from his golfing during his career, including $10.1 million in 2025. He will win $4.3 million if he fulfills oddsmakers’ prognostications and comes home in first place after the four-day event Thursday-Sunday.
DeChambeau, the defending champion, has won two major events in his career, but both were the U.S. Open (2020 and 2024). He was second at the PGA Championship last month, five strokes behind Scheffler.
