Sunday Money WNBA

The Las Vegas Aces arrive in Connecticut determined to bounceback off their recent 81-54 setback against Indiana. Las Vegas boasts a versatile lineup that thrives in transition and clamps down defensively—qualities that utterly stifled the Sun in two prior meetings this season, limiting them to just 62 and 59 points. With the Sun operating dead last in both offensive and defensive rating and once again without Marina Mabrey (and Tina Charles questionable), Las Vegas should control the paint and force Connecticut into low-percentage shots all night.

Historical trends and head-to-head dominance further underscore the value here. Since 2015, in regular season games, road favorites coming off a loss as road favorites cover 69.2% ATS—and that jumps to 80% when laying double digits. The Aces have already outscored the Sun by 25 and 26 points in their two previous matchups this year, showcasing a defensive mismatch that only deepens with Connecticut’s depleted roster. Expect Las Vegas to reclaim momentum emphatically with another 20+ point win—take the Aces -15.5.

Game: (619) Chicago Sky at (620) Minnesota Lynx

Play: Total Under 160.0 (-110)

These teams have been playing several higher-scoring games of late, but I love the way this Sunday night game between the Sky and the Lynx finally sets up to be more of a lower-scoring defensive battle.

Chicago comes in having won two of its last three, although it's still just 5-11 overall. The Sky are off the 92-85 win at LA, and they've seen the total go OVER in five straight.

But when they played here last September, they fell 93-66, and in my opinion, everything points to a similar final combined score here as well.

The Lynx bounced back from the upset loss in the Commissioner's Cup to beat Washington 92-75 most recently.

But Minnesota is playing the second game of a back-to-back here, in action on Saturday night against Golden State.

This is a great situational play on the UNDER.