Hey Guys! Hope everybody had a nice relaxing weekend and you are fresh for a new profitable week!! I feel I am!!!
Updated bankroll is +107.26 units, after losing my one and only pick for the weekend, an increase of 23.03u, which is a pretty nice week imo! Short term goal is reached, now we continue to look for value, nothing else. I skipped 3 plays already and we would have gone 1-2 so Im confident in myself! VAMOS!!! Lets get this week up and starting.
Katarzyna Kawa to beat Yuliana Lizarazo (Curitiba 25k Q)@3.00, bet365, 4/10
Kawa lost last week to Lizarazo 64 60, which was a pretty suprisingly easy win imo because I dont rate these two two far from each other. True that Lizarazo is mroe of a clay courter but by now Kawa must have gotten used to the clay a little better and Lizarazo is not a great player. I think it is very hard for someone to repeat the W, if their playing quality is prett muyh equal. Kawa had 2 easy wins, so must fell a little better about herself and hungry for revenging that loss from last week. Odds should be 2.25 for Kawa imho and thats enough value for the revenge angle (which sometimes doestn work at all, I admit, but this I have a good feeling about) GL!!
Hey Guys! Hope everybody had a nice relaxing weekend and you are fresh for a new profitable week!! I feel I am!!!
Updated bankroll is +107.26 units, after losing my one and only pick for the weekend, an increase of 23.03u, which is a pretty nice week imo! Short term goal is reached, now we continue to look for value, nothing else. I skipped 3 plays already and we would have gone 1-2 so Im confident in myself! VAMOS!!! Lets get this week up and starting.
Katarzyna Kawa to beat Yuliana Lizarazo (Curitiba 25k Q)@3.00, bet365, 4/10
Kawa lost last week to Lizarazo 64 60, which was a pretty suprisingly easy win imo because I dont rate these two two far from each other. True that Lizarazo is mroe of a clay courter but by now Kawa must have gotten used to the clay a little better and Lizarazo is not a great player. I think it is very hard for someone to repeat the W, if their playing quality is prett muyh equal. Kawa had 2 easy wins, so must fell a little better about herself and hungry for revenging that loss from last week. Odds should be 2.25 for Kawa imho and thats enough value for the revenge angle (which sometimes doestn work at all, I admit, but this I have a good feeling about) GL!!
Got really lucky on Kawa, applying the same technics for odds >2 I cashed her out at 3/0 straight away for a nice 2.3 in return. I only had time to cash her out on one of my account the time I logged out and in and the bet was frozen. Thank you good start of the week but I hate players giving up without getting an injury break notification.
Got really lucky on Kawa, applying the same technics for odds >2 I cashed her out at 3/0 straight away for a nice 2.3 in return. I only had time to cash her out on one of my account the time I logged out and in and the bet was frozen. Thank you good start of the week but I hate players giving up without getting an injury break notification.
Nice stuff xpert!!! Did the same thing!!!!! feel very lucky about it....
Its f bshit though of course. Sportingbet and marathongbet and bwin also rates this as a win, no matter the retirement!
Quote Originally Posted by Xpert_Betting:
Got really lucky on Kawa, applying the same technics for odds >2 I cashed her out at 3/0 straight away for a nice 2.3 in return. I only had time to cash her out on one of my account the time I logged out and in and the bet was frozen. Thank you good start of the week but I hate players giving up without getting an injury break notification.
Nice stuff xpert!!! Did the same thing!!!!! feel very lucky about it....
Its f bshit though of course. Sportingbet and marathongbet and bwin also rates this as a win, no matter the retirement!
Quote Originally Posted by Xpert_Betting:
Got really lucky on Kawa, applying the same technics for odds >2 I cashed her out at 3/0 straight away for a nice 2.3 in return. I only had time to cash her out on one of my account the time I logged out and in and the bet was frozen. Thank you good start of the week but I hate players giving up without getting an injury break notification.
Two doubles pick from Port Piere Australia, 15k WD,
Han/Yang to beat Ayukawa/Takahata @2.00, 4/10
Han/Yang is the fed cup team for Korea. They have getting used to eachother for some time and I think they are playing better and better. When I look at doubles, I look at individual records, forms, h2h and also revemge angles. Both Han and Yang are in nice forms, Yang easily winning last weeks singles and Han having some nice success in january in 50k HongKong tournament. Also she lost to Konig last week who was in final, but beat Liu v3ery easily which I rate as a quality win. Takahata lost in qualies last week to Hon, and this week qualified but really her doubles ranking is boosted and overrated by 10k wins from Antalya (she almost resides from there, spending around 8 tournaments there) Ayukawa is decent but also a tad lower in quality than the Koreans. Han is the better doubles player from the 2 and it really helps that Jang's confidence is high, so I expect a revenge from last week's 8-10 defeat in the match breaker. It will be a close one, but I risk 4 unit on it! GL!
Collie/Ryan to beat Buayam/Wannasuk@3.75, 3/10
Wannasuk is hurting, something definitely not klicking for tha thai girl....Losing to Hanatani yesterday and Fujioka last week showed. And we all know it wasnt Fujioka who had a surprisingly good showing bc she lost her 1st round very easily... She got hurt in Turkey last Spetember and these tournaments are where she is coming back, not really happening so far.... Buayam is a talented junior but not that great to balance Wannasuk's bad form/state. She also lost in the qualies also and she is NOT signed for next weeks australian 15k. They lost out out to Fujioka/Minokoshi easily last week in the first round also. Now they face a young australian team Collie/Ryan, both of them already lost in qualies in singles but had some nice results over the past months in doubles. Went to 3 sets with Moore/Myers who are top200, beat Holland/Hon last week, they are at least as good as the thais they play now.Im expecting a very lowly motivated thai team and a hungry australian team, catching the surprise here! GL!
Two doubles pick from Port Piere Australia, 15k WD,
Han/Yang to beat Ayukawa/Takahata @2.00, 4/10
Han/Yang is the fed cup team for Korea. They have getting used to eachother for some time and I think they are playing better and better. When I look at doubles, I look at individual records, forms, h2h and also revemge angles. Both Han and Yang are in nice forms, Yang easily winning last weeks singles and Han having some nice success in january in 50k HongKong tournament. Also she lost to Konig last week who was in final, but beat Liu v3ery easily which I rate as a quality win. Takahata lost in qualies last week to Hon, and this week qualified but really her doubles ranking is boosted and overrated by 10k wins from Antalya (she almost resides from there, spending around 8 tournaments there) Ayukawa is decent but also a tad lower in quality than the Koreans. Han is the better doubles player from the 2 and it really helps that Jang's confidence is high, so I expect a revenge from last week's 8-10 defeat in the match breaker. It will be a close one, but I risk 4 unit on it! GL!
Collie/Ryan to beat Buayam/Wannasuk@3.75, 3/10
Wannasuk is hurting, something definitely not klicking for tha thai girl....Losing to Hanatani yesterday and Fujioka last week showed. And we all know it wasnt Fujioka who had a surprisingly good showing bc she lost her 1st round very easily... She got hurt in Turkey last Spetember and these tournaments are where she is coming back, not really happening so far.... Buayam is a talented junior but not that great to balance Wannasuk's bad form/state. She also lost in the qualies also and she is NOT signed for next weeks australian 15k. They lost out out to Fujioka/Minokoshi easily last week in the first round also. Now they face a young australian team Collie/Ryan, both of them already lost in qualies in singles but had some nice results over the past months in doubles. Went to 3 sets with Moore/Myers who are top200, beat Holland/Hon last week, they are at least as good as the thais they play now.Im expecting a very lowly motivated thai team and a hungry australian team, catching the surprise here! GL!
Xinyu Jiang to beat Isabelle Wallace (Jiangmen 10k)@2.62, bet365, 3/10
Lets delve into China a littel bit as well, too many matches some of them migth represent value. Jiang is turning 16 this year, 143 in the junior ranking, winning 15/16 matches this year in juniors in China, ok only G4 and G3 tournaments but winning 2 title is always nice. One of them was in Jiangmen, where this tournament takes place so the recent memories are nice. Last year she had to play against Kai Lin Zhank 150wta and she only lost in 3 hard sets and that was last april... Wallace has a good ranking merely from one good result last years in Winnipeg 25k, where she had a nice run (also a very easy draw) where she went into the semis, but only beat Bowtell and Zhao who were good. the rest of her record since then is losing 9 out of 13 matches. Clearly she has an inflated ranking... Her fav court is more clay than hard and I cannot imagine she will have a great time tomorrow on a chinese hard court against an in-form chinese prodigee. Oh yes and it is Jiang's birthday tomorrow. :) GL!
Xinyu Jiang to beat Isabelle Wallace (Jiangmen 10k)@2.62, bet365, 3/10
Lets delve into China a littel bit as well, too many matches some of them migth represent value. Jiang is turning 16 this year, 143 in the junior ranking, winning 15/16 matches this year in juniors in China, ok only G4 and G3 tournaments but winning 2 title is always nice. One of them was in Jiangmen, where this tournament takes place so the recent memories are nice. Last year she had to play against Kai Lin Zhank 150wta and she only lost in 3 hard sets and that was last april... Wallace has a good ranking merely from one good result last years in Winnipeg 25k, where she had a nice run (also a very easy draw) where she went into the semis, but only beat Bowtell and Zhao who were good. the rest of her record since then is losing 9 out of 13 matches. Clearly she has an inflated ranking... Her fav court is more clay than hard and I cannot imagine she will have a great time tomorrow on a chinese hard court against an in-form chinese prodigee. Oh yes and it is Jiang's birthday tomorrow. :) GL!
Deborah Chiesa to beat Tatiana Pieri (Solarino 10k)@1.83, bet365, 5/10
Chiesa already had decent (not great) matches this year and is a better talent than Pieri imo. She has beaten Kocher, Njoze, Scala and these wins are ok... must wins, but took care of them also. She has losses against Nakano twice (she was hottttt those tournament) and Wacanno, these are acceptable imo, also lost to martincova 245 wta in 3 sets only, which is decent showing. Now she plays Pieri, who lost 6/7 since start of last september and its clear to me that all her good results are on hard court. Now playing on these brand new hard courts of Leonardo tennis Academy (they are literally couple of weeks old) might be slower with more grip but I still think its more what Chiesa has used to in the recent Tunesian tournaments. GL!
Deborah Chiesa to beat Tatiana Pieri (Solarino 10k)@1.83, bet365, 5/10
Chiesa already had decent (not great) matches this year and is a better talent than Pieri imo. She has beaten Kocher, Njoze, Scala and these wins are ok... must wins, but took care of them also. She has losses against Nakano twice (she was hottttt those tournament) and Wacanno, these are acceptable imo, also lost to martincova 245 wta in 3 sets only, which is decent showing. Now she plays Pieri, who lost 6/7 since start of last september and its clear to me that all her good results are on hard court. Now playing on these brand new hard courts of Leonardo tennis Academy (they are literally couple of weeks old) might be slower with more grip but I still think its more what Chiesa has used to in the recent Tunesian tournaments. GL!
thx a lot man!! would be 3-0 now if bday girl would have made any of the 6 matchpoints.... i always advise everybody to cash out pre-game bets over 2.5 in close situations like that esp when we have matchpoint.... it might burn down like thisyyyy
Quote Originally Posted by ryan5:
Shambata, your performance so far was really astonishing. GL !
thx a lot man!! would be 3-0 now if bday girl would have made any of the 6 matchpoints.... i always advise everybody to cash out pre-game bets over 2.5 in close situations like that esp when we have matchpoint.... it might burn down like thisyyyy
Quote Originally Posted by ryan5:
Shambata, your performance so far was really astonishing. GL !
My feb stats are updated, pretty much killed the month with a +94,25u incr After a horrid off-season and not so good january it was a must!! Now let's continue more of the same in March! VAMOS!!!
My feb stats are updated, pretty much killed the month with a +94,25u incr After a horrid off-season and not so good january it was a must!! Now let's continue more of the same in March! VAMOS!!!
I meant all Pieri's good results are on clay court, sorry
Quote Originally Posted by Shambata:
Deborah Chiesa to beat Tatiana Pieri (Solarino 10k)@1.83, bet365, 5/10
Chiesa already had decent (not great) matches this year and is a better talent than Pieri imo. She has beaten Kocher, Njoze, Scala and these wins are ok... must wins, but took care of them also. She has losses against Nakano twice (she was hottttt those tournament) and Wacanno, these are acceptable imo, also lost to martincova 245 wta in 3 sets only, which is decent showing. Now she plays Pieri, who lost 6/7 since start of last september and its clear to me that all her good results are on hard court. Now playing on these brand new hard courts of Leonardo tennis Academy (they are literally couple of weeks old) might be slower with more grip but I still think its more what Chiesa has used to in the recent Tunesian tournaments. GL!
I meant all Pieri's good results are on clay court, sorry
Quote Originally Posted by Shambata:
Deborah Chiesa to beat Tatiana Pieri (Solarino 10k)@1.83, bet365, 5/10
Chiesa already had decent (not great) matches this year and is a better talent than Pieri imo. She has beaten Kocher, Njoze, Scala and these wins are ok... must wins, but took care of them also. She has losses against Nakano twice (she was hottttt those tournament) and Wacanno, these are acceptable imo, also lost to martincova 245 wta in 3 sets only, which is decent showing. Now she plays Pieri, who lost 6/7 since start of last september and its clear to me that all her good results are on hard court. Now playing on these brand new hard courts of Leonardo tennis Academy (they are literally couple of weeks old) might be slower with more grip but I still think its more what Chiesa has used to in the recent Tunesian tournaments. GL!
Thank you Shambata, I managed to win money on all your bets even the trixie :) Just cashed out a bit early the first double with high value but no regret.
The 2 picks from Zoubidou were also easy money, 6/1 6/4 Thivant (got him @1.66) and 6/2 6/2 Jacq (got him @1.61) just no Stress :)
Thank you Shambata, I managed to win money on all your bets even the trixie :) Just cashed out a bit early the first double with high value but no regret.
The 2 picks from Zoubidou were also easy money, 6/1 6/4 Thivant (got him @1.66) and 6/2 6/2 Jacq (got him @1.61) just no Stress :)
After today's nothingness, we stand at an updated bankroll of 113,66. Yesterday started up 3-1 and I lost a fun treble which I did not post here only on twitter, but I will be fair and count it towards my record. Plus I lost that match today with Arcidiacono, so +6.4u this week, better than nothing lets just say that.....
Picks picks picks!!!!
Timea Babos to beat Sara Errani (Monterrey WTA)@2.37, bet365, 4/10
You can say im not a WTA expert. But I know my countrymen and women well. When they're hot they're hot. Babos, who I always hassle about her footwork (or better lack of), getting hot at her second home. This is the WTA tournament she has won 3 years ago and since then she has not had that many success in singles (as she hoped for) when she did beat Errani as well. Now she ahs some more experience behind her and a great doubles trophy from Dubai. Now she is back to her host family where she boomed in 3 years ago into the wta top 60. She had some decent wins, even with 2 matches yesterday, she managed to make it pretty quick 3 hours only. Decent wins vs Bondarenko and SolarEspinoza, even before that had to beat Vickery and Duque Marino who both are in good shape now, quite easily dispatched them. Errani won Rio WTA, which is great but this mexican hard court and its quickness is nothing that she likes. There are slower hard courts and faster ones, this is one of the faster ones. Errani is a totally different player on these courts than on clay, totally. Its partly bc her serve goes with 120km/h and partly bc of her slow topspin game. She lost to Puig 1,1 in Acapulco in similar conditions. If Babos will stay alert and wont rush the points too fast, then she will win. She has the confidence now, the people behind her and her fav venue. Simple questions, how will Errani return her serves that are cca 190km/h? And why would Babos not destroy her serves on this surface? In every game Babos will have the advantage, and with all these circumstances, this must be value here!!! GL!
Jia Qi Kang to beat Hao Chen Tang (Jiangme 10k)@3.25, 3/10, bet365
I like the youngster Kang in this spot. She is better than her junior ranking was, she had beaten You who was junior 27 and Sung Hee Han who was 250 wta and stil plays well. She has gotten a set off of Shilin Xu, junior world number 1, so these results also show there are a lot more in this girl. Hao Chen Tang on the other hand is capable of flopping one on the 10k level, we can clearly see that in Vicky Muntenans defeat from last week and some other defeats from earlier this year. Its clear that Kang will have her chance here imo, its another question if she will use it or not. We go with small stakes on the upset! GL
Magdalena Rybarikova to beat Polona Hercog (WTA Monterrey)@1.66 Nae Lee Han to beat Naomi Totka (Port Pirie 15k)@1.16
Double@1.92, bet365, 5/10
Rybarikova has showed great form last week and almost bet Sharapova as well, so she is on the upbeat that was expected of her after a not so good start of the year. She has beaten Tomljanovich and a very good Bogdan (who has dismissed DuqMarino, Falconi and Lauren Davis before) and went to 3 sets with Sharapova. On the other hand Hercof has beaten Sanchez last round, which means nothing esp bc Sahnchez is ina horrid form and had some dubious showings like losing to Haddad Maia in Rio. Anyways Gercog is very steraky and this is the only thing we have to be scared of, but logically (wta??) this should be a win for Rybarikova. We have our supporting odds with Na Lee han to beat Totka, who did have a surprising win over Bai last round but Han is much better player than to los to her imo. Han is twice the player Totka is and should be one of the easier matches tomorrow. GL!
After today's nothingness, we stand at an updated bankroll of 113,66. Yesterday started up 3-1 and I lost a fun treble which I did not post here only on twitter, but I will be fair and count it towards my record. Plus I lost that match today with Arcidiacono, so +6.4u this week, better than nothing lets just say that.....
Picks picks picks!!!!
Timea Babos to beat Sara Errani (Monterrey WTA)@2.37, bet365, 4/10
You can say im not a WTA expert. But I know my countrymen and women well. When they're hot they're hot. Babos, who I always hassle about her footwork (or better lack of), getting hot at her second home. This is the WTA tournament she has won 3 years ago and since then she has not had that many success in singles (as she hoped for) when she did beat Errani as well. Now she ahs some more experience behind her and a great doubles trophy from Dubai. Now she is back to her host family where she boomed in 3 years ago into the wta top 60. She had some decent wins, even with 2 matches yesterday, she managed to make it pretty quick 3 hours only. Decent wins vs Bondarenko and SolarEspinoza, even before that had to beat Vickery and Duque Marino who both are in good shape now, quite easily dispatched them. Errani won Rio WTA, which is great but this mexican hard court and its quickness is nothing that she likes. There are slower hard courts and faster ones, this is one of the faster ones. Errani is a totally different player on these courts than on clay, totally. Its partly bc her serve goes with 120km/h and partly bc of her slow topspin game. She lost to Puig 1,1 in Acapulco in similar conditions. If Babos will stay alert and wont rush the points too fast, then she will win. She has the confidence now, the people behind her and her fav venue. Simple questions, how will Errani return her serves that are cca 190km/h? And why would Babos not destroy her serves on this surface? In every game Babos will have the advantage, and with all these circumstances, this must be value here!!! GL!
Jia Qi Kang to beat Hao Chen Tang (Jiangme 10k)@3.25, 3/10, bet365
I like the youngster Kang in this spot. She is better than her junior ranking was, she had beaten You who was junior 27 and Sung Hee Han who was 250 wta and stil plays well. She has gotten a set off of Shilin Xu, junior world number 1, so these results also show there are a lot more in this girl. Hao Chen Tang on the other hand is capable of flopping one on the 10k level, we can clearly see that in Vicky Muntenans defeat from last week and some other defeats from earlier this year. Its clear that Kang will have her chance here imo, its another question if she will use it or not. We go with small stakes on the upset! GL
Magdalena Rybarikova to beat Polona Hercog (WTA Monterrey)@1.66 Nae Lee Han to beat Naomi Totka (Port Pirie 15k)@1.16
Double@1.92, bet365, 5/10
Rybarikova has showed great form last week and almost bet Sharapova as well, so she is on the upbeat that was expected of her after a not so good start of the year. She has beaten Tomljanovich and a very good Bogdan (who has dismissed DuqMarino, Falconi and Lauren Davis before) and went to 3 sets with Sharapova. On the other hand Hercof has beaten Sanchez last round, which means nothing esp bc Sahnchez is ina horrid form and had some dubious showings like losing to Haddad Maia in Rio. Anyways Gercog is very steraky and this is the only thing we have to be scared of, but logically (wta??) this should be a win for Rybarikova. We have our supporting odds with Na Lee han to beat Totka, who did have a surprising win over Bai last round but Han is much better player than to los to her imo. Han is twice the player Totka is and should be one of the easier matches tomorrow. GL!
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