UEFA 2023 K/O (CL,EL,CNFL) Rounds

Updated K/O Record

  18-10-2  +1443

Out-Damn-Standing!! 

     SAT June 10

Champions League Final

31. 1st Half Correct score 0-0 or 1st half Under 0.5 goals @ 3.25/+225 (1u) Bet365

32. HT/FT Result  DRAW/Man City @ 4.33/+333 (1u) Bet365

Manchester City is no doubt the better side here and should come out as winners. However. there is zero value backing them at these odds especially on a neutral field. Consider the past 12 away Champions league games for City only 3W 6D 3L and 7 games going under 2.5 goals. Inter Milan's last 12 away CL games they have a better record of 6W 3D 3L, and 8 games going under the total. This gives us a 63% of the total going Under 2.5 goals.

Inter's manager Inzagi is a cup specialist winning 7 of his 8 cup finals, and we know anything can happen in a one off game. The Italians know how to park the bus and will try to frustrate City. The odds here represent recency bias in favour of City and if this game were in Manchester I would back them to win by a pair but its not, however I think eventually Manchester City will have enough to break down Inter in the second half.

The referee for this game will be Szymon Marciniak who also officiated the world cup Final between Argentina & France where we saw 7 yellow cards and 3 penalty kicks. He also issued 3 yellow cards to Man City on May 17th vs Real Madrid & 3 yellow cards against Inter vs Porto on Mar 14 both in CL action. The card prop is set at 4.5 and I will look to play that over IN GAME if I can get it at 3.5 cards at evens towards the end of the first half.

I know some gurus out there like the win to nil option for City. I would tread carefully. Since April in the top 5 European leagues the top 3 players with the most goals & assists were; 1. Martinez with 15 for Inter 2. Lukaku with 14 for Inter & 3. Haaland with 14 for City. Inter can be deadly on the counter versus City who will no doubt have the majority of possession. Thinking of a 2-1 win for City in regulation or a 1-1 final going into extra time.

@wolfeman3

DJ-you killed it all season-thanks again!

@docpj72

@DiamondJack

 Lets kill this DJ. Equalize this season off. Good luck and thanks for a crushing season 

@Ildjarn

    Final tally

20-10-2  +2001

Absolutely incredible picks 

finishing  in style!

Are you a time traveler? You da man thank you