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nice, keep posting them
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jerifred3 | 16 |
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When you say touts what exactly do you mean/ how are you finding out what picks the touts are on. Are you basically navigating betting sites like covers and finding what picks the "professional" guys who have their own little write ups are on and seeing if a majority of these guys are on a certain side then you will just fade it?
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jerifred3 | 16 |
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Got another one - concerning game 1:
Teams who come into game 1 of a series after 9 or more days of rest (ie. off a sweep), are 9-9 STRAIGHT UP in game 1. I do not know what the ATS numbers are, but that is the SU stat.
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YungMoolah | 17 |
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Quote Originally Posted by pennyman: I think the thread starter is saying take Dalls for the series. correct
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YungMoolah | 17 |
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Quote Originally Posted by CallMeBruce: 70% chance of winning..... so bet it 10 times and you will win 7 and lose 3. if you bet $100/bet = $700 for the seven winners and -$645 for the 3 losers ($215x3) = net profit of $55 for the $1K that you risked. Also, how big was your sample? How many series sweep winner vs. 6 or 7 games winner match-ups were there? Like 10 or 20? Seems like a very small sample size. All good points. Not entirely sure of the sample size, but like you suggest i assume it is relatively small. I like how you outlined the net profit, but all i am trying to say is dallas statistically has a 70% chance to win the series. Just thought it would be an interesting stat for guys looking to bet the series.
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YungMoolah | 17 |
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Yea so according to historical statistics, dallas have a 70% chance to win the series, meaning by laying that juice you have a 70% chance to cash up, which is pretty good.
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YungMoolah | 17 |
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I found this stat online check it out (it applies to the dallas vs OKC series) However when the team coming off a 4-game sweep meets a team coming off of a series with 6 or more games, the above mentioned winning percentage bumps up to 70%. A substantial advantage for the team with more rest. Not entirely sure how reliable the source is, but if it is, it's quite interesting.
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YungMoolah | 17 |
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replied to
OKLAHOMA CITY VS. DALLAS MAVERICKS WESTERN CONFERENCE FINALS PREDICTIONS.....
in NBA Betting Quote Originally Posted by POISON66: Thunder in 6, more athletic, younger, and deeper bench. how on earth can you say OKC has a deeper bench? are you kidding me? Dallas has one of, if not the deepest, most efficient bench's in the NBA
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seaweed | 62 |
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Also series price is:
Dallas - 205 OKC +184
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YungMoolah | 2 |
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Dallas -5, O/U 192
Thoughts? I would take dallas as an automatic play, just a little worried with the amount of time off they have had, can see this game mirroring game 1 of the OKC Memphis series, where memphis came in with basically no rest and stole game 1, then again dallas is a veteran squad so this is unlikely. |
YungMoolah | 2 |
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Hollins was really pissed off at him as well
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win1234 | 9 |
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Does anyone else feel like the spread is some what irrelevant. By this i mean, there are only two ways i see this going:
1) grizz win straight up 2) OKC win and cover I honestly don't see the third option: OKC win, Memphis cover realistically happening. I understand that 2 of the 6 games have gone into overtime, indicating how close some of these games have really been, but in terms of OKC covering, it is either going to be in blowout fashion, pulling away late in the fourth or covering by late game free throws. All i am is saying is if i was to bet the grizz i would just take the ML, if i was to take OKC, instead of playing safe and taking the ML i would lay the 6.5. It helps none of these games has been decided by less then 8 points.
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YungMoolah | 1 |
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Have you considered the fact that d-wade has lebron and westbrook has KD, both who draw an immense amount of attention from the defense. Who does D-Rose have to draw defensive attention? Boozer? Deng? Korver? Please...
It is a fuck load easier for D-wade and Westbrook who both have offensive behemoth's on the court with them, thus they are rarely double teamed and if they are all they have to do is give it up to their superstar who has the easy basket... I don't understand how many times this message has to be conveyed to people, but Rose has absolutely no one to support him CONSISTENTLY on offense, thus he has to make all the plays himself, break through the double teams himself, create all the shots for himself and carry the offensive load by himself. Which is clearly why his stats might not be as good as westbrook or d-wade.
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UMF | 8 |
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For anyone who is interested:
November 3rd vs Clippers: 16pts, 6-24 FG, 4-4 FT November 4th vs portland (next game) 28pts, 11-24 FG, 4-4 FT November 28th vs Houston 18pts, 7-18FG, 2-4 FT November 29th vs new orleans (next game) 26pts, 7-22 FG, 12-13 FT January 1st vs San Antonio 16pts, 7-15 FG, 2-4 FT January 4th vs memphis (next game) 28 pts, 11-24, 5-5 FT March 20 vs toronto 20pts, 6-21 FG, 7-8 FT March 22 vs Utah (next game) 29 pts, 7-12 FG, 13-15 FT April 13 vs bucks 14pts, 6-14 FG, 1 FT Next game was 1st game of the playoffs vs denver: 41 pts, 13-22 FG, 6-6 FT |
YungMoolah | 4 |
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Just wondering if anyone had some stats on Durant for the game following a poor shooting performance, preferably this season. Tonight was one of the worst games i think i've seen him play, so i am thinking about pounding his prop bet over for game 7, but wanted to know if there are any stats to back this up?
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YungMoolah | 4 |
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yeah all good they fixed it, the scorers table has one job and they fuck it up
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YungMoolah | 17 |
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does anyone else here use pinnacle, who had memphis 1st Q, they still have it graded as a loser..
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YungMoolah | 17 |
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They just took 2 points off OKC as after james harden was called for a travel he passed it to westbrook, who layed it up, but harden was called for a travel and a basket was counted.....the sites still have the final score of the quarter at 23-23, but they took 2 points off ingame...how the fuck am i meant to make a case to the sportsbook if they don't change the final score off the 4th quarter
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YungMoolah | 17 |
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I had memphis -0.5 and at the end of the first quarter the score on the tv is 23-21, but the arena scoreboard has it at 23-23. One of the commentators say they are sticking to the 23-21 score, and then i check nba.com and it has the score at 23-23 and at the start of the second quarter the score is 23-23....what is going on? what basket did they magically count??
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YungMoolah | 17 |
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replied to
did anyone notice what was going on in the last play in the bulls hawks game today?
in NBA Betting Quote Originally Posted by depeche2: Dude was just fucking around because it was meaningless. Players know game spreads, and totals, but you think they give a fuck about a 4th quarter in-game total? Seriously? Yes i understand this and yes i think it is very unlikely players would give a fuck about 4th quarter spreads. But when you think about it, if he was going to be affiliated with any spread, it would have to be the 4th quarter, as he knows the only quarter he will ever play is the 4th and only when his team is getting blown out (which they were), thus it's the only spread of the whole game he himself can personally influence.
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YungMoolah | 26 |
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