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Quote Originally Posted by Lover65: Bad start but won all back plus more on 2 half Chargers OVER 3 WAYS good to hear, but you doing your plays and posting the results after the fact does nothing for your tailers... so in essence what's the point? |
Lover65 | 22 |
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Quote Originally Posted by badlands: 152-134 playoffs BOSTON CELTICS +9.5 BOSTON CELTICS HALF +5.5 BOSTON CELTICS 1ST QTR +4 CLEVELAND CAVS TT U 113 CLEVELAND TT U 29.5 1ST QTR UNDER 215 so you ended the playoffs 152-139? +13 betting instances total?
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badlands | 13 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Achilles1629: The scum on here. My God. tell me about it. |
Achilles1629 | 35 |
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Bumping this for my dignity.
darn you all sharps that think you can cap. |
schoolboy86 | 3 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Achilles1629: Unless pats stumble is where I kind of lost you here schoolboy. What does that mean? Can I rebuttle and say unless Pittsburgh is tired or the facebook video is used as bulletin board material, Pittsburgh should cover? I'm just trying to understand where you are coming from here. Can't Pittsburgh flex this weekend and prove that regardless of the obstacles, given that they got shafted last week by the time change of the game, they can overcome them? Can the Steelers point to edelmans comments about the ENTIRE ORGANIZATION and use that like you say the drama of brown will be used against the Steelers? All I read above and believe me it's all im reading with patriots backers is the historical aura of the "wizard" and the "comeback kid" will simply will this team, THIS YEAR, to a blowout win over Steelers. That's the reasoning? Pats stumble? Do you still have doubts? zzzzzz. go to bed boy. I wouldn't talk garbage, but you are dog garbage. Eastside. I still have respect for your picks. You are the man. |
EastsideBangers | 46 |
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Quote Originally Posted by plays4all: You are totally over thinking it too much. I didn't even read the whole post. For a game this simple, what is the point in imagining every possible scenario? that is just going to throw you off. Just go with Pitt, Fade this guitar dude, and you're golden. Unless of course he gets another VERY lucky win like he did in the Houston game. I doubt he gets that lucky twice. Common sense is all you need here to pick this game, and common sense says to fade guitar dude, based on his track record. I hope nobody followed that crappy Alabama play and went with my Clemson ML pick instead i didn't read the garbage you wrote except the first line.. that said i was overthinking. thats when i stopped thinking.
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Guitarplayerguy | 55 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Money4Nuthin: I tend to handicap on fundamentals and personnel match ups. I give Pitt the nod on a superior pass and run game. Personnel are better. NE gets the slight nod for QB's and coaching. A better defense. I have mulled this game over all week. It should have been a 3 point line all day and remember- Denver came in and thumped what I thought was a better team than the one on the field tomorrow. So I am taking the points and also the m/l. It would not shock me to see Pitt win this just as it did not shock me when Denver beat NE with Gronk by two last year. 6 points is an overlay. Use your head. Keep in mind, that last year that Broncos defense was one of the most vicious in I don't know how many years. Second point, Pats were on the road. Honestly, I am hoping, and predicting the Pats to win, based to their obvious pedigree, history, and performance. It's that obvious. What isn't obvious is how it will play out. So here are some simple hypothetical scenarios 1) Pats blow them out, steelers choke: -6 is an easy cover. ML is captain obvious easy cover. 2) Steelers blow out, Pats stumble: +6 & the ML covers. World is shocked, and all you Steeler fanboys go Stephen A. Smith batshit crazy. 3) Close game or Tie game: Pats are infamous for usually winning these. Steelers cover the +6, but Pats win, covering the ML. 4) Close Game Steelers edge em out, Clearing both +6 & ML...again Steeler fans go batshit. Now sheerly using common sense.... which apparently isn't so common... Not overthinking it too much, because usually overthinking eventually can become counterpoint. Scenario 1 & 3, have a higher probability than 2 & 4... Not to say 2 & 4 can't happen, because it can, and it could...but the odds and probability are less favorable. I'm going to risk my money, and stick it in the more favorable & desirable situation. If I lose, I lose, so be it, but the goal and Idea is to win...not to overthink, and kick myself during the game because of some possible moon shoot. I play a lot of poker. You don't always win with pocket aces, even though you feel like you should. If this is the case with New England, I will happily accept my loss. Regardless of how much money or dignity I win/lose. These players have a lot more riding on this game then a few hundred bucks. They have their careers, lines, and legacies riding. So in the end, Sports betting is a life long game, until you stop betting. I'll look forward to the superbowl, and the next season. I hate the break the obvious, but capping isn't easy. Even the experts struggle. CBS Experts, for example...that do this garbage as a profession. 4 of them pick New England to cover, and 4 pick the Steelers to cover. What does that tell you? This game is virtually a coinflip by the predication of even expert analysis. However, the computer on, www.oddshark.com does have New England covering by 12.5 points. They base their predictions on mathematical statistics. Not by emotions or necessary multiple years of pedigree, but the cold hard seasonal statistics. Again, there is no guarantee that the computer generated prediction will pan out...but what is indicative, and obvious, is that the edge is in New England's favor. I'm not saying Hero plays don't pan out, because they do. Heck even half the CBS experts are riding on the Steelers. The other half on the Pats. Win or lose, I'm not here to satirize my opposition. Everyone is entitled to their picks. But in my right mind, I rather ride with the favorite, then to ride with the underdog and be praying to Jesus for a miracle that may not ever come. Miracles do happen...but against New England... That's what they are....truly a miracle. |
Guitarplayerguy | 55 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Jrod6: looks good, not familiar with bitcoins so idk how much you're wagering but im sure its alot. I usually go over the top as well but whats the point of proving it on here when the average bet is $25. Im on pitts with points, hopefully we both hit Right now: 1 BTC = $942 Its a commodity, so it's value fluctuates. I bought my BTC at $800, but anyways due to price fluctuation, my winnings (if pats win ofc) will be 0.86 BTC = ~$810 dollars. And if I do hit, it's going right back into more crypto...but that's another story, for another day, for an entirely different world
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Guitarplayerguy | 55 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Achilles1629: Unless pats stumble is where I kind of lost you here schoolboy. What does that mean? Can I rebuttle and say unless Pittsburgh is tired or the facebook video is used as bulletin board material, Pittsburgh should cover? I'm just trying to understand where you are coming from here. Can't Pittsburgh flex this weekend and prove that regardless of the obstacles, given that they got shafted last week by the time change of the game, they can overcome them? Can the Steelers point to edelmans comments about the ENTIRE ORGANIZATION and use that like you say the drama of brown will be used against the Steelers? All I read above and believe me it's all im reading with patriots backers is the historical aura of the "wizard" and the "comeback kid" will simply will this team, THIS YEAR, to a blowout win over Steelers. That's the reasoning? Its simple... not rocket science. If its a perfect game, it will be close, I can see steelers covering, but NE will edge em out...like they usually do in close games (3 points or so). If either side stumbles, aka team doesn't show up. 1 or 2 turnovers (either side), the other side will take the advantage and put em to sleep. Statistically the home team has the edge. Hence they are favorites. Vegas has them at -6 for a reason. What we are doing is simply a prediction. Sports betting is a science of prediction, if you predict right, you are rewarded. If you predict wrong, you lose your money. House always wins, because they serve as the 3rd party broker and take juice from both sides. This is obvious, what isn't is who will win tomorrow. If the cowboys had won vs greenbay, I'm sure Stephen A. Smith wouldn't be sticking it to all the cowboy fans the way he has.... Just the way all the Steeler fans, if they pull the upset will stick it to the Patriot fans. Patriot fans won't stick it to the Steeler fans the way you guys want to stick it to us. This is a fact. So don't stick it to me yet, just wait for the game to play out. However it plays out. But Tom Brady is out for blood, and superior to Big Ben...you saw what Rodgers did to Dallas. Brady just needs a couple of flashes of Rodgers, and it should be in the bag. Steelers are on an incredible win streak, but they have stumbled and a couple of there wins have been incredibly close. Either way, I have the Pats on the ML, so all you +6ers... good luck to you. Only a tiny tiny play on the -6, so just in case it is a blowout, the beer, food, beer, food, beer food, beer, food - money will be good.
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EastsideBangers | 46 |
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Quote Originally Posted by plays4all: Actually Pitt is my strongest play this week. I also know they won't lose by more than 7 so because I am betting super large, I think it's wise to not get greedy and buy that extra point. Even though I have also bet Large on Pitt ML in a separate parlay as well is super large like $10? I know a lot of people talk LARGE...but don't really back it up with a slip. https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/ba5c4b3MUdYN0czbVE2eEs2cXk3MGxNZktEZz09/r/1219415/
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Guitarplayerguy | 55 |
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Agree with 2 of your 3 picks... but steelers -6 is a no go.
Probability of this being close is certainly a possibility...but I doubt it actually happening. The wizard & comeback kid will try to bury the steelers. They are going to flex this weekend for the entire world. Stick it to the league. You gotta keep in mind, Pitt is on short week too. Not as rested, stricken w/ flu... media drama for your mama. -6 is probably the best you are gonna get the Pats at this point. Unless Pats stumble, this game is a blowout. |
EastsideBangers | 46 |
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I agree NE will win this easy peezy. It's all the sharps....thinking they are too sharp by riding steelers. Hate to break it to you boys... Steelers aren't the real deal... they are good... but they are not NEW ENGLAND good. Brady goes for his 5th Super Bowl sticking to the league for deflategate.
If some how Greenbay upsets ATL, It'll be an easy one for the wizard and comeback kid.
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Guitarplayerguy | 55 |
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Might not be the smartest bet, but i rather not leave it to fate.
2U to win 0.86U locked in the Pats at -232 on Nitrogen. |
schoolboy86 | 3 |
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I am up, +4.3 units of the ATL win yesterday.
2-0 and 4.8U for the NFL postseason. I locked in KC last week at -1 2.3U to win 2U I have a feeling this game is going down to the wire, and just in case steelers win, I don't want it cutting into my postseason surplus that heavy... I was thinking maybe hedging my losses/win by putting 1U to win 1.15 U, on the steelers ML.... So if I win with KC, i'll win 1U, but if I lose, i'll lose only 1.15U. Any advice. Normally I don't hedge...but this game has me on the edge... I rather not lose 2.3U....but at the same time winning these 2U would add a nice chunk to my postseason purse. Any advice from you OG/Expert cappers? Thanks |
schoolboy86 | 3 |
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SAFTEY!!!
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Raqoon | 117 |
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Quote Originally Posted by PhillyBrown: I'm done trying to explain to people how this Hawks team is not as good as they were the past few years. It's obvious ppl haven't watched the games or they would see it. Wilson is 8-3 and Ryan is 1-4 like that matters now, I don't see anyone touting Russ for MVP, Ryan is -270. Let that sink in Yeah because Ryan is the real deal this year. Its a sink or swim battle. Regardless of what you and I think... let the game and the end result do the talking. |
vanhawk | 9 |
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what is the rational behind the heavy seattle pick if i may ask?
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Karambola | 329 |
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@ Metallica, why do you think raiders and giants?
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Metallica2467 | 44 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Peewee2820: I will say it again: Can we all agree that someone is not a capper when they look at two teams schedules and decide which team they are betting on based on who those two teams have won and lost against. Sports betting is actually a complex science. There were a dozen things that could have gone right, and the Texans would have covered. Heck even the refs were rooting for them. The reality is, it just went the way it went. You can't win em all, especially in close calls. It's not cool to talk garbage, jez cuz you got lucky. If his pick had been Moneyline, it's all hail magnut, and cuz ur on the otherside, it's fade this scrub... to be honest....this game was incredibly horrid on both sides, all the way to the end.... I couldn't understand the logic of the friggin coach, after the interception, going 0-3, making no use... then on the drive...with 4ish minutes left...score 12-10... the Texans, perform 2 running plays.... seriously... the incompetence was rampant. For how they played, texans should have gotten torched. Even though I rode them... this game was one of those painful ones that taught me one thing. Fade these scrubs in the playoffs. It was a valuable 5 unit lesson.
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ChickMagnut | 20 |
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I'm with you on this. Chiefs -3, 5U to Win 4U.
My Christmas eve got torched by the Texans...let's hope Broncos offense continues to suck D
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BIGDTITLE | 3 |
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