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Gentlemen, can we please not have this garbage in my thread? Thank you. LOTR, thank you. Realistically, I would expect more in the neighborhood of 70% for the money line plays, but 80% is not out of the question again because the process is selective enough. CRS, thank you. I've been around long enough to know how these forums work, and you're right. It's not my nature to talk shit, so I won't have to worry about that. I respect the gambling gods too much to ever get boastful and always think every play I post is going to lose anyway. Makes me work harder. I just let the results do the talking. Anything we say won't change them.
Peace. |
Number Freak | 23 |
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Nope. I've been a Red Sox fan since I was 7. As sure as the sun will rise, Manny will be booed. It will be a mix, but you will certainly hear some booing. You have to remember, he dissed the Red Sox and their fans and the city of Boston when he left, and that was before the steroid allegations. Sure, he still has fans here who love him for what he did for us, but if you leave on those terms, they do not let you forget it. The only thing that might save Manny in Boston is at least he didn't go to the Yankees. Look at Clemens and Damon. Johnny Damon was fresh off the 2004 championship and an extremely popular player in Boston. He thought he was going to return to cheers and they booed him right out of Fenway Park. Someone in the stands had a sign that read: "Johnny, you really ARE an idiot" |
Lou | 11 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Call82:
hey freak, so you are not doing anymore public testing like you did in the beginning??? Everything will be public, just the timing of the information will vary. Picks won't show up here until late, but the system will be documented. |
Number Freak | 23 |
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Quote Originally Posted by revguy800:
freak do you have a play for today? I want to follow you and see if it really works No. Baseball season hasn't started yet. The plays will start 2-3 weeks into the regular season to accumulate enough data. |
Number Freak | 23 |
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Quote Originally Posted by BETTINGACE:
number im guessing these were mostly home favs? also, is that record reflective of what you posted daily, or is it a backtracked would be record had the system worked a different way using different filters. thanks.
One of the requirements is faves of -125 or more but road/home doesn't matter. The average was around -157, so they're not cheap but only around 62% is needed to profit at -157. These obviously surpassed that easily. The original system was posted daily through August. At the time I started tracking the filtered plays, the main system record (minus Interleague) was 21-3. This was at the All-Star break. During the break I found a different way to analyze the previous weekend's games which would have eliminated two losses. I did not go back and adjust the entire season up to that point but rather just continued forward from there at 21-1 and proceeded to go 20-9 the rest of the way, which is 69%. The whole system had a rough August which accounts for some or most of that difference but September went 12-3 (80%) so I'm confident going forward. Last year was the maiden run and I was learning better ways to do it as I went along so the results might even be better this year. I'm still learning, really. |
Number Freak | 23 |
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Pulse Plays Filtered (from 2009).....41-10....80%....+22.96 units Just a couple weeks away from returning for the sophomore season of the MLB Pulse System. Baseball has far and away the most profit potential of the major sports and I have added some volume-based run line systems to go along with last year's money line filtered "pulse" plays that went 29-7 (80%) documented at another forum. I lost the last two plays in August and I figured the dynamics of the season were starting to change (September callups, teams out of contention, etc.) but I kept tracking it privately and it resumed an identical 80% pace in September going 12-3, which bodes real well for this new year. With the addition of the run line plays, similar to the puck line plays in hockey, I'm estimating between 60-100 units of profit for the 2010 season. I must remind everyone like I did in basketball and hockey that I cannot post here until late in the day but I have set up an email option for everyone on my blog that will allow you to receive the picks in a more timely manner. edited by mod. Reason: link to personal site Last year was a great debut for this system and this year should only be better with the added fire power. I look forward to seeing you all throughout the summer. |
Number Freak | 23 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jtbpbln:
Are you single playing all of these? What 2 strongest would you play out of 5. ..Thanks
Yes, I would single play them all. |
Number Freak | 39 |
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Memphis -7
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Number Freak | 39 |
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These are not the K-9 plays. These are strictly plays from the filters.
These are the records of all three filters since Jan 8th when I started the K-9, except for Filter 3 which was introduced on Feb 3rd. Today's plays are in red next to them. I'm only recommending the consensus plays of at least two filters: Filter 1.....76-60-4.....55.9%.....CHA,CLE,BOS,MEM,UTA Filter 2.....77-51-2.....60.2%.....CHA,CLE,BOS,MEM,UTA Filter 3.....48-27-3.....64.0%.....CHA,CLE,BOS,MEM,UTA TODAY Charlotte -10 Cleveland -7.5 Boston -9 Memphis (waiting) Utah +1 |
Number Freak | 39 |
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These are not the K-9 plays. These are strictly plays from the filters.
These are the records of all three filters since 1/8 when I started the K-9, except for Filter 3 which was introduced on Feb 3rd. Today's plays are in red next to them. I'm only recommending the consensus plays of at least two filters: Filter 1.....76-60-4.....55.9%.....nothing Filter 2.....77-50-2.....60.6%.....ATL Filter 3.....47-27-3.....63.5%.....GS TODAY Nothing |
Number Freak | 39 |
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A successful 2-4 start to these filter plays in the first two days of posting them on their own. I say "successful" because we've actually beaten the spread by a combined total of 4 points despite only going 2-4.
Win/loss margin compared to spread: Atlanta -8 Memphis -1.5 Dallas +6.5 Miami -1.5 Indiana +10 Portland -1.5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- These are not the K-9 plays. These are strictly plays from the filters. These are the records of all three filters since 1/8 when I started the K-9, except for Filter 3 which was introduced on Feb 3rd. Today's plays are in red next to them. I'm only recommending the consensus plays of at least two filters: Filter 1.....75-60-3.....55.6%.....DEN,SA Filter 2.....76-50-1.....60.3%.....DEN,SA Filter 3.....46-27-2.....63.0%.....DEN,SA TODAY Denver -8 San Antonio -9.5 |
Number Freak | 39 |
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These are not the K-9 plays. These are strictly plays from the filters.
These are the records of all three filters since 1/8 when I started the K-9, except for Filter 3 which was introduced on Feb 3rd. Today's plays are in red next to them. Since I've noticed the "solo" plays have been mediocre, I'm only recommending the consensus plays of at least two filters: Filter 1.....74-58-2.....56.1%.....MIA,IND,MIL,POR Filter 2.....75-48-1.....61.0%.....MIA,IND,POR Filter 3.....45-26-1.....63.4%.....MIA,IND,BOS TODAY Miami +4 Indiana Pk Portland -8.5 |
Number Freak | 39 |
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Quote Originally Posted by TheRealTB:
what about atl -7 and memphis -8.5? thanks
Yes. They're all good up to -10 |
Number Freak | 39 |
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Throw out Cleveland (no Lebron). Too much shift in value. |
Number Freak | 39 |
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Each money line is to win 1 unit
Each puck line is risking 1 unit unless noted otherwise Pulse System Money Line.....33-18.....65%.....+4.39 Puck Line.....32-50-4.....39%.....+14.49 2009-10 units....+18.88 Puck line "straight up" record = 56-30 (65%) Entire system "straight up" = 89-48 (65%) TODAY Washington -254 Washington -1.5 +105 (3 units) As I often mention about big money line favorites such as Washington is tonight, the record in the two years of doing this system for lines of -176 and higher is 23-6 (79%), which is plenty good enough to overcome these odds. Last year was great at 15-2 (88%) and this year still profitable at 8-4 +0.18 units. If you are still uncomfortable playing it, either use the -1 which will get you down around -180, which is still high, or avoid it altogether. There will be more games. You could also risk your normal unit and take a smaller win. The puck line play is a rare 3-unit play because multiple systems are aligning. Good luck. |
Number Freak | 1 |
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These are not the normal K-9 plays. These are strictly plays from the filters which have continued to win almost daily since I stopped the K-9, so I decided to post them up because I have confidence in them.
These are the records of all three filters since 1/8 when I started the K-9, except for Filter 3 which was introduced on Feb 3rd. Today's plays are in red next to them. Since I've noticed the "solo" plays have been mediocre, I'm only recommending the consensus plays of at least two filters: Filter 1.....73-55-2.....57.0%.....CLE,ATL,MEM,DAL,NO Filter 2.....74-47-1.....61.2%.....ATL,DAL Filter 3.....45-24-1.....65.2%.....CLE,ATL,MEM As a disclaimer, these just went 1-0, 3-0 and 3-0 respectively yesterday so today might be a "give back day" so be careful. I hate jumping in after a night like last night, although since I last posted NBA, these filters have been 8-5, 12-6 and 11-5 in the last 6 days. TODAY Cleveland -4 Atlanta -6.5 Memphis -8 Dallas -6.5 |
Number Freak | 39 |
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Sorry. Forgot the chart.
visitor home edge margin filter1 filter2 filter3 K9 line SS* dal …. cha …. dal …. 2 …. yes …. yes …. …. dal +1.5 …. dal ny …. cle …. ny …. 5 …. …. …. …. cle -18 …. ny orl …. phi …. phi …. 2 …. …. …. …. orl -7 …. phi atl …. chi …. atl …. 3 …. no …. …. no …. chi -3.5 …. chi por …. mem …. mem …. 2 …. no …. …. …. por -3 …. sa …. no …. sa …. 6 …. …. …. …. no -3.5 …. no tor …. hou …. hou …. 10 …. …. …. …. tor +3 …. tor den …. pho …. den …. 4 …. no …. …. …. pho -5 …. uta …. lac …. uta …. 4 …. yes …. yes …. yes …. uta -9.5 …. uta |
Number Freak | 39 |
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Week 1...14-6-0...70%...+7.4
Week 2...17-4-1...81%...+12.6 Week 3...12-3-1...80%...+8.7 Week 4...10-5-2...67%...+4.5 Week 5...6-4-0...60%...+1.6 Week 6...5-4-0...56%...+0.6 Week 7...7-6-1...54%...+0.4 Total...71-32-5...69%...+35.8 All seven weeks have shown a profit. End of week shows 7-6-1. Far below the average but if you look closely, Detroit doesn't choke in those two games in the final seconds and we're 9-4-1, so there can be a fine line between success and failure when you're only talking 13 games, especially in the crazy NBA, but the system still seems strong heading into March. February was 28-19-3. I like how it's being more selective now that the lines are tightening up. Imagine the profit potential when we start this at the beginning of the season next year. K-9 system tracking - Day 46 71-32-5.....68.9%....+35.8 units in 45 days (DAL,NY,PHI) Super System (S.S.) tracking - Day 19 50-30-2.....62.5%....+17.0 units in 18 days *teams listed with point spreads are conditional and need that minimum line to qualify -Qualifying K-9 edge teams are dogs closing at +2.5 or more assuming the filters don't say "no" -Gold Rush subset is margins of 15+ lined at -3 or better -K-9 line shows team with advantage based on the system's point spreads. Lines in red oppose the K-9 and are eliminated. The advantage comes from the difference when compared to the actual spread and the results have been as follows: diff.....results.....% 1.5+...56-46-2....55% 5.0+...23-11-0....68% 9.0+...5-0-0....100% "Gold Rush" subset (K-9 margin of 15+) spread -3 or better....13-2-3...87%...(10-1-3 filtered) spread +2.5 or better....8-2-2...80%...(7-1-2 filtered) spread +6 or better....6-1-1...86%...(5-1-1 filtered) TODAY YTD.....78-67-7.....53.8% 43-27-4 (61.4%) since changes on 1/8 (all regular K-9 plays recommended at +2.5 or better; Gold Rush plays at -3) Dallas +3 New York +11 Philadelphia +4.5 |
Number Freak | 39 |
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A rollercoaster week finds us at 6-5 after the 0-2 last night. The Detroit Pistons, for the second time this week, turn an easy win into a loss in the final seconds.
visitor home edge margin filter 1 filter 2 filter 3 K-9 line S.S.* pho …. sa …. sa …. 17 …. …. …. …. pho Pk …. den …. lal …. lal …. 9 …. yes …. …. …. den +5 …. mil …. atl …. mil …. 6 …. …. …. …. mil -1 …. mil was …. nj …. was …. 6 …. …. …. …. nj -3 …. nj +2 tor …. okc …. okc …. 8 …. yes …. yes …. …. tor +7.5 …. mia …. orl …. mia …. 5 …. …. …. …. mia +9 …. mia lac …. sac …. lac …. 6 …. no …. no …. no …. sac -7.5 …. sac no …. dal …. no …. 1 …. …. …. …. no +4.5 …. no K-9 system tracking - Day 45 70-31-4.....69.3%....+35.9 units in 44 days (MIL,MIA,NO) Super System (S.S.) tracking - Day 18 48-29-1.....62.3%....+16.1 units in 17 days *teams listed with point spreads are conditional and need that minimum line to qualify -Qualifying K-9 edge teams are dogs closing at +2.5 or more assuming the filters don't say "no" -Gold Rush subset is margins of 15+ lined at -3 or better -K-9 line shows team with advantage based on the system's point spreads. Lines in red oppose the K-9 and are eliminated. The advantage comes from the difference when compared to the actual spread and the results have been as follows: diff.....results.....% 1.5+...53-44-1....55% 5.0+...22-11-0....67% 9.0+...4-0-0....100% "Gold Rush" subset (K-9 margin of 15+) spread -3 or better....13-2-3...87%...(10-1-3 filtered) spread +2.5 or better....8-2-2...80%...(7-1-2 filtered) spread +6 or better....6-1-1...86%...(5-1-1 filtered) TODAY YTD.....77-66-6.....53.8% 42-26-3 (61.8%) since changes on 1/8 (all regular K-9 plays recommended at +2.5 or better; Gold Rush plays at -3) Milwaukee +8.5 Miami +12.5 New Orleans +8 |
Number Freak | 39 |
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Detroit +4.5
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Number Freak | 39 |
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