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Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement: Pirates: Locke has not been disappointing yet, nor has Archer, but the TB offense is just 2-9 in quality performances lately versus lefty and I have a projected 3.3 earned runs per 9, versus the Pirates 10-1 and 5.3 per 9 versus righty. Ride the hot bats in this one. Braves: Thank Heaven Harang has settled down to being Harang and that impersonator of a right handed phenom that started the season. His ups and downs have established a pattern and projection though and it should be reasonably reliable since he has gone 7-8 in h2h competition but reverses that to 8-7 in quality starts. Sometimes you don’t need incredible numbers on a guy, just reliable ones. Feldman is supposed to be the senior member of the Astros rotation, the guy that lends stability and consistency, but the kids have taken over and Feldman is probably on the trading block if anyone is interested. With what the Astros have on the staff now and what they have coming up he is probably not an essential ingredient anyway. Neither the performance or the consistency is there and he is just 5-7 h2h and 4-8 in quality starts. Aside from that the better prospects for the Braves are versus righty, while the Astros better prospects are versus lefty. Mariners: Folks that rate Peavy a competitor based on his ancient history better with concept of updating their knowledge. Jake has only 3 h2h wins and 4 quality starts in 15 games to date. A month ago Ramirez didn’t look any better but the screw has turned and his last 3 starts are commendable. Now, just to piss off the boys that think offense begins and ends in the A.L. East I will state this: The Mariners have the far better match up offense heading into this one. I like the Pirates pick, I'm all over the under. The Pirates have not seen Archer and like you said Tampa can't hit lefties. Love the Mariners tonight as well! I agree with you about Feldman but I kind I think Harang is starting to regress to the pitcher he has been his whole career. Strike outs and walks are trending the wrong direction and he just got shelled against Philly. I'm going the other way I like what this Houston team has done lately. What are your thoughts on this Detroit game? Doesn't this line seem fishy? It seem s Detroit should be -130 at least... I know Texas hits lefties but Colby Lewis gets blasted everytime out and clearly isnt the same pitcher he used to be. What am i missing here? Good luck today |
KeyElement | 33 |
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Terrible spot for the Giants is what it is. first game home from a long and losing roadtrip...what do you think they were doing all night...drinking and banging their girlfriends. Betting a team first game home after a long road trip is a losing proposition. The other guy may suck but he has waited his whole life for this moment and the team will want to get him a win and be focused. Oh by the way they just fired their GM which means everyone is playing for a job. First game on road is also a good bet and the Giants have never seen him before...who by the aren't exactly swinging the bats very well. Oh yeah, and that bum Cain was pitching. Padres may suck but they are still professionals...at least some of them for a little while longer. |
The-Genius | 71 |
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Leave the man alone, you people are sick. |
KeyElement | 61 |
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Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement: Your money, your choice. Do what you want to do. Follow your gut or your heart. Always! I respect your opinion so I was just curious if that was an angle you subscribed to generally and if it factored in to your play. I can't say I have watched either pitcher close enough to see if they have legit stuff or if hitters just haven't caught on yet. The # seems high it's an under play or no play, I will probably tail like I usually do. |
KeyElement | 61 |
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Good Job Yesterday!
Key, Does it make you nervous that both pitchers just faced each other last week? I totally agree with your logic but I think pitchers have a big advantage first time through the league but I'm afraid that won't be the case |
KeyElement | 61 |
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No Ortiz, traveling across the country, can't hit and haven't socred more than 2 runs in a game in the last 5, lost last 4 to lefties, Kazmir era under 1.5 at home, Peavy ERA 5.5 on road, 4.8 last 3...sounds like a lock go get a 2nd mortgage on the house
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Pedro28 | 40 |
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giants had the best bullpen in the league the 2 months...if you bet baseball you will encounter brutal losses...thats just a fact
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WARGOD | 4 |
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glad to see your on it
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rastad | 12 |
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i took the reds last night i couldnt swallow the red pill again...i had the friggen over and this team is just so pathetic they put up 1 run and when they do score the 3rd base coach decides to pull that stunt...big papi could of scored standing up from 2nd base
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Chambers | 3 |
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is in on the fix how do you not send the runner they wouldnt even throw home he could of done summersaults from 3rd and scored
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Chambers | 3 |
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Odorizzi wasn't pitching either...
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Chambers | 17 |
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Someone is dropping some serious cash on TB and it isnt the public. I wish i was smart enough to write the sportsdatabase query to pull the ROI on teams getting shut out at home in the previous two games.
Tampa Bay hits the catwalk on an infield fly with the bases loaded in the 9th with 2 outs to clear the bases |
Chambers | 17 |
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Always a profitable angle to go with the FIX. Tampa Bay wins and I can't explain how
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Chambers | 17 |
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this team will do anything (cheat) to win. goes all the way back to bowen hitting people in the nuts, horry starting fights. i wont even mention the air conditioning....they coach this team to flop. i hate lebron but at least he has some self respect
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Chambers | 1 |
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Overall 9-6 (+14.35)
ML 6-5 (0.3) RL 0-1 (-1.6) Parlays 3-0 (+15.65) Recap Colorado (-128) - Spurs Over 198.5 Texas/Balt over 9.5 (-105) Today Mariners/Rays over 7.5 (-115) - Maybe the Rays have come out of their hitting slump and I expect a focused effort to break the streak. Meanwhile Seattle is playing good ball and facing Bedard, I expect both teams to score this one just feels right Atlanta (-110) - Arizona is terrible at home, Mccarthy is regresing back to the bum he has been since being in AZ. He does not pitch well in that park and gave up 5 runs to Cincy and SD in last 2 starts. This is a huge pitching mismatch. I know AZ looked good in Colorado but that team is a trainwreck. White Sox (+170) - Angels coming off a 10 day road trip having played last night probably up till 2am with their girlfriends/wives while Chi SOX are resting in LA with a day off. Weaver is not the same pitcher just too much value on Chi Dodgers/Rockies Over 10 (-110) - RYU has never pitched in Coors field and the Rockies are throwing out a rookie pitcher. Their bullpen is taxed and has been lit up like a Christmas tree. I like the rookie pitcher angle but if the Dodgers can score a few runs early and work the count this should go over easy! Good Luck Everyone....Thoughts & Comments are welcome! |
Chambers | 1 |
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Overall 7-5 (+13.63)
ML 4-4 (-0.42) RL 0-1 (-1.6) Parlays 3-0 (+15.65) All plays to win 1 unit or risking 1 unit Recap Colorado (-125) - Detroit (-112) Texas under 9.5 (-120) . Washington/Miami/Chi Sox parlay 11 to 1 Today - Colorado (-128) - Arroyo not striking anyone out lately, prone to the longball and fly ball. Nicasio has a history of bouncing back after rough starts, Rockies are too good at home to get swept. Trying this again. Spurs Over 198.5 - I expect both teams to push the ball, certainly both can put the ball in the basket and hit the 3. I think we will see a lot of trips to the FT line as the Refs try to not let it get to chippy early. Games 1's have been going over at a high percentage throughout the playoffs Texas/Balt over 9.5 (-105) - I hate switching sides after a loss but both pitchers are getting lit up, and baltimore is really swinging the stick right now. No reason to think the trend doesn't continue. Good Luck Everyone....Thoughts & Comments are welcome! |
Chambers | 1 |
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Overall 6-2 (+6.2)
ML 4-1 (+3.15) RL 0-1 (-1.6) Parlays 2-0 (+4.65) All plays to win 1 unit Colorado (-125) - Collmenter is nowhere close to as good as he has pitched lately and Colorado 2nd game back off a 10 day roadtrip this is a perfect spot to back the Rockies. He is prone to the longball and that is not a good trait to have in Coors field. They are 16-8 at home, no problem laying 125 Detroit (-112) - 2nd game back off a long road trip and coming off a loss. Dickey's ERA on the road is above 6. Porcelllo pitched better after having a lat/oblique strain a few weeks back. Texas under 9.5 (-120) Martinez has pitched well against Oak, Tor, Det and I expect him to give another solid outing. Texas is not swinging the bat well the last few games and rightfully so with the names they have in the line up and Bud Norris has been solid this # seems too high. I expect a 4-3 type of game. Washington/Miami/Chi Sox parlay 11 to 1 Stepping out and taking a risk.....Strasburg is rounding into form and Philly is not. Beckett is top 10 in runners LOB and is off two great outings, I'm not a believer and I have a weird hunch he gets rocked tonight and there is a lot of value at +165 on Chicago. Price is not an ace if you go back to his last 40 starts. This team can't hit, off a long roadtrip and on a long losing streak and you want to lay -200 to a pitcher with better numbers...ill take the other side. Good Luck Everyone....Thoughts & Comments are welcome! |
Chambers | 1 |
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Overall 3-1 (+4.1)
ML - 1-0 (+1.05) RL 0-1 (-1.6) Parlays 2-0 (+4.65) Pirates/Padres Under 7 (-110) Cole and a rookie pitcher...I think the pitcher has the advantage first time through the league, padres can't hit, and its petco park. I'll take the under all day long Chi Sox (+165) I know Hector hasn't pitched well on the road but I like what he did his last few starts. I understand the line being this high if it was Kershaw but its Dan Haren after all. Dodgers are struggling at the plate and Dan Haren has the capability of getting knocked around any start...too much value to pass up Dbacks/Rockies under 10.5 (-110) De La Rosa has been lights out lately and the Rockies have never faced Anderson before. Dbacks lose Pollack and Rockies 1st game back from a road trip where the bats have struggled. This line seems inflated even for Coors Field Standards Atlanta (-155) Seattle makes its second plane ride in 2 days while Atlanta is sitting at home coming off a sweep in MIA. Floyd has been good at home, is in form, and Ramirez has an era +6 on the road. Seems like this is a bad spot for Seattle and this number should be higher Good Luck Everyone |
Chambers | 1 |
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Ive been on a roll lately so I thought I would share some insight
Twins +1.5 (-160) - I think the bats might of awoke in the 9th inning last night. Gibson has better numbers than Garza and I like the Twins to carry some momentum from yesterday, I think this is a 1 run game either way. Also a fade the public play Pirates (+105) - Pirates take an hour trip from LA while San Diego comes back from a long roadtrip. I love to fade a team first game back and Pirates have some confidence after wining a series on the road. Stauffer got rocked last time out and Morton's #'s are not bad and he is due for a W Marlins (+125) & Under 7.5 (-115) Parlay 3.1 to 1 - Marlins catching juice at home vs a Rays team that lost its only offensive threat and have lost 6 straight. I know Wolf stinks but I think he rebounds and Marlins squeak out a close one in a low scoring affair. Mariners (-125) Dodgers (-200) Parlay 1.55 to 1 - King Felix loves to pitch at Yankee Stadium and he is rounding into form vs a Yankee Team with cold bats. I like to take a team with some momentum first game on the road. I also like the Dodgers to rebound but can't lay the juice unless its a parlay...yes i know this is as square as it gets Good Luck Everyone |
Chambers | 1 |
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your an idiot
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ChizzleEnt23 | 22 |
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