Here's some help. Cleaveland is 1-9 ATS vs. Orlando last 10. The game is about matchups and Cleaveland just dosen't match up well against Orlando.
Easy cover tonight.
Here's some help. Cleaveland is 1-9 ATS vs. Orlando last 10. The game is about matchups and Cleaveland just dosen't match up well against Orlando.
Easy cover tonight.
Here's some help. Cleaveland is 1-9 ATS vs. Orlando last 10. The game is about matchups and Cleaveland just dosen't match up well against Orlando.
Easy cover tonight.
I have to agree. Cleveland will come out like gangbusters and have a pretty good lead by halftime. Will they hang on and hold the big lead is the question.
Cavs 1st Q, Cavs 1st Half, Cavs ML GLA
I have to agree. Cleveland will come out like gangbusters and have a pretty good lead by halftime. Will they hang on and hold the big lead is the question.
Cavs 1st Q, Cavs 1st Half, Cavs ML GLA
You're right that defense has gotten the Cavs to this point, but they have not abandoned it in this series. They know defense is their bread-and-butter, and they have made a concerted effort to lock down defensively ever since game one. THE problem, and THE reason why we're at 3-1in this series, is that the Cavs simply cannot defend this team. It's not an effort/focus/desire thing, its a personnel thing.
(Personally, I think they should mix in some zone. It can't hurt.)
Now, the game could still go under, but it won't be because the Cavs have some new devotion to defense. The devotion is there.
You're right that defense has gotten the Cavs to this point, but they have not abandoned it in this series. They know defense is their bread-and-butter, and they have made a concerted effort to lock down defensively ever since game one. THE problem, and THE reason why we're at 3-1in this series, is that the Cavs simply cannot defend this team. It's not an effort/focus/desire thing, its a personnel thing.
(Personally, I think they should mix in some zone. It can't hurt.)
Now, the game could still go under, but it won't be because the Cavs have some new devotion to defense. The devotion is there.
Guys i did my research and i think the play is on the Under.. Totally agree with Bluephinn. Other than if u like Orl +7.5
Check the last 10 games. When the line is set at 189 or more, the games have gone under except for one game back in early 08.
Gl
Guys i did my research and i think the play is on the Under.. Totally agree with Bluephinn. Other than if u like Orl +7.5
Check the last 10 games. When the line is set at 189 or more, the games have gone under except for one game back in early 08.
Gl
Orlando has a bunch of guys who can shoot, and Cleveland does.
But Orlando's shooters, are a little longer, jump a little higher
(other than Turkoglu), maybe even run a little faster in some cases.
Pietrus and Rashard especially. But even C. Lee and Alston, a bit
(longer than Mo and West, surely, and by no means radically slower.)
So that with O. on offense, C. is packed in the paint, helping a bit on Howard and trying to prevent layups and dunks by cutters... a pass goes out to Lewis -- And...
Mo Williams or Dante West runs out, but he can shoot over them. (And at the same time, drive around them if they sell out too hard.) Varajao or Ilgauskus runs out... well, they're not fast enough to put much pressure on Lewis (or Pietrus... maybe Turkoglu, but he only needs a half a step or a half a second) -- and, even more than if it's West or Mo, if they come very hard, Lewis (Pietrus, &tc.) is on his way to the rim. I guess there's LeBron, but he can't guard everyone.
When C. has the ball, LeBron tries to get to the rim, they're
packed in to prevent it, and a pass goes out to one of the shoots. But
they are being run at by someone taller and pretty quick. They can't
get around as easily if there's a sellout. And so on.
Speed
and size and skill -- an advantage in one or the other can
balance out. But I don't think we have that here. I think one factor is
fairly close, and the other two are clearly in O's favor.
This series looks to me like a push on skill -- if Mo and Turkoglu and Lewis and West all took shots in the gym, they'd be relatively close. But it's advantage Orlando on speed and size... on athleticism.
Anyway, this accounts to me for the shooting percentage gap. Something in me said it would close in game 4 and I made my first pick for Cleveland. Well, it may close a little in game 5 due to home court and random variation -- reversion to mean.
But I don't see it as mainly random. It's mainly inherent. If instead of basketball, this were a track meet, LeBron would get the gold in every event -- but Orlando would take the silver, the bronze, 4th, 5th, &tc. Basketball is more than a track meet, of course -- at least, since the 1970s -- but it's still a bunch of skilled athletes, not a bunch of accountants.
I don't think there's a lot of pressure on Orlando, either situational, or overall. They don't need game 5, though they're smart enough to want it. They weren't expected to be here... they weren't even favored at home in game 4.
And, at the most basic level, they know in their bones they can beat Cleveland. They've dominated them overall, they've whipped them in Orlando, and they're within a last-second shot of having swept them, and a questionable call in the regular season of having beaten them 2 out of 3 in Cleveland.
Cleveland, by contrast, doesn't really know in their bones that they can bet Orlando. More the opposite. They wonder if it's even possible. Cleveland used to know in their bones that they were unbeatable at home. Now they know they're quite beatable, by Orlando at least.
I would say there's about as much pressure on Orlando as there
was on the Arizona Cardinals, and as much pressure on Cleveland as
there was on Philadelphia in the NFC title game.
Yesterday I liked LA teased with Orlando a lot, and Denver teased with Orlando a lot. Today I like the same proposition. If you like Cleveland, and still have residual respect for them as I do, I'd consider the first half. You could very well win all ends on the series pattern.
Cheers and GL to all.
Orlando has a bunch of guys who can shoot, and Cleveland does.
But Orlando's shooters, are a little longer, jump a little higher
(other than Turkoglu), maybe even run a little faster in some cases.
Pietrus and Rashard especially. But even C. Lee and Alston, a bit
(longer than Mo and West, surely, and by no means radically slower.)
So that with O. on offense, C. is packed in the paint, helping a bit on Howard and trying to prevent layups and dunks by cutters... a pass goes out to Lewis -- And...
Mo Williams or Dante West runs out, but he can shoot over them. (And at the same time, drive around them if they sell out too hard.) Varajao or Ilgauskus runs out... well, they're not fast enough to put much pressure on Lewis (or Pietrus... maybe Turkoglu, but he only needs a half a step or a half a second) -- and, even more than if it's West or Mo, if they come very hard, Lewis (Pietrus, &tc.) is on his way to the rim. I guess there's LeBron, but he can't guard everyone.
When C. has the ball, LeBron tries to get to the rim, they're
packed in to prevent it, and a pass goes out to one of the shoots. But
they are being run at by someone taller and pretty quick. They can't
get around as easily if there's a sellout. And so on.
Speed
and size and skill -- an advantage in one or the other can
balance out. But I don't think we have that here. I think one factor is
fairly close, and the other two are clearly in O's favor.
This series looks to me like a push on skill -- if Mo and Turkoglu and Lewis and West all took shots in the gym, they'd be relatively close. But it's advantage Orlando on speed and size... on athleticism.
Anyway, this accounts to me for the shooting percentage gap. Something in me said it would close in game 4 and I made my first pick for Cleveland. Well, it may close a little in game 5 due to home court and random variation -- reversion to mean.
But I don't see it as mainly random. It's mainly inherent. If instead of basketball, this were a track meet, LeBron would get the gold in every event -- but Orlando would take the silver, the bronze, 4th, 5th, &tc. Basketball is more than a track meet, of course -- at least, since the 1970s -- but it's still a bunch of skilled athletes, not a bunch of accountants.
I don't think there's a lot of pressure on Orlando, either situational, or overall. They don't need game 5, though they're smart enough to want it. They weren't expected to be here... they weren't even favored at home in game 4.
And, at the most basic level, they know in their bones they can beat Cleveland. They've dominated them overall, they've whipped them in Orlando, and they're within a last-second shot of having swept them, and a questionable call in the regular season of having beaten them 2 out of 3 in Cleveland.
Cleveland, by contrast, doesn't really know in their bones that they can bet Orlando. More the opposite. They wonder if it's even possible. Cleveland used to know in their bones that they were unbeatable at home. Now they know they're quite beatable, by Orlando at least.
I would say there's about as much pressure on Orlando as there
was on the Arizona Cardinals, and as much pressure on Cleveland as
there was on Philadelphia in the NFC title game.
Yesterday I liked LA teased with Orlando a lot, and Denver teased with Orlando a lot. Today I like the same proposition. If you like Cleveland, and still have residual respect for them as I do, I'd consider the first half. You could very well win all ends on the series pattern.
Cheers and GL to all.
You're right that defense has gotten the Cavs to this point, but they have not abandoned it in this series. They know defense is their bread-and-butter, and they have made a concerted effort to lock down defensively ever since game one. THE problem, and THE reason why we're at 3-1in this series, is that the Cavs simply cannot defend this team. It's not an effort/focus/desire thing, its a personnel thing.
(Personally, I think they should mix in some zone. It can't hurt.)
Now, the game could still go under, but it won't be because the Cavs have some new devotion to defense. The devotion is there.
You're right that defense has gotten the Cavs to this point, but they have not abandoned it in this series. They know defense is their bread-and-butter, and they have made a concerted effort to lock down defensively ever since game one. THE problem, and THE reason why we're at 3-1in this series, is that the Cavs simply cannot defend this team. It's not an effort/focus/desire thing, its a personnel thing.
(Personally, I think they should mix in some zone. It can't hurt.)
Now, the game could still go under, but it won't be because the Cavs have some new devotion to defense. The devotion is there.
CLE 1st Q
CLE 1st H
CLE 2nd H
CLE 3rd Q
CLE 4th Q
CLE -7
CLE ML
CAVS WIN BY 40
YOU MUST HAVE BEEN WATCHING 4 DIFFERENT GAMES, THIS SERIES SHOUD HAVE BEEN OVER ALREADY HAD LEBRON NOT HIT THAT MIRACLE 3
CLE 1st Q
CLE 1st H
CLE 2nd H
CLE 3rd Q
CLE 4th Q
CLE -7
CLE ML
CAVS WIN BY 40
YOU MUST HAVE BEEN WATCHING 4 DIFFERENT GAMES, THIS SERIES SHOUD HAVE BEEN OVER ALREADY HAD LEBRON NOT HIT THAT MIRACLE 3
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