What the heck did I just watch last night? The NFL or NASL? Cincy needed to change the stale coaching environment there before the window of opportunity closed, but now it's too late.
General Covers FYI: This player is presently 4-19-1 (17%) in the NFL contest. His plays for this weekend are now up. Fade away:
GB +3, SEA -12.5, LAR -2.5 and O46, OAK -13.5, TB -6.5, AZ -7.5, CAR -7, KC -5, TN -1.5, BLT -7.5.
the bengals fire their offensive coordinator today. after last night, he shouldn't have made it to midnight. the funny thing is, they'll start playing weaker defenses and start scoring and they'll figure they are on the right track. but their problems are bigger than an offensive coordinator.
What the heck did I just watch last night? The NFL or NASL? Cincy needed to change the stale coaching environment there before the window of opportunity closed, but now it's too late.
General Covers FYI: This player is presently 4-19-1 (17%) in the NFL contest. His plays for this weekend are now up. Fade away:
GB +3, SEA -12.5, LAR -2.5 and O46, OAK -13.5, TB -6.5, AZ -7.5, CAR -7, KC -5, TN -1.5, BLT -7.5.
the bengals fire their offensive coordinator today. after last night, he shouldn't have made it to midnight. the funny thing is, they'll start playing weaker defenses and start scoring and they'll figure they are on the right track. but their problems are bigger than an offensive coordinator.
hightower out this week. not a great week to be out, assuming the saints still have an offense. they should score against a much weaker defense this week.
hightower out this week. not a great week to be out, assuming the saints still have an offense. they should score against a much weaker defense this week.
damn, was that one ugly last night. houston had the right gameplan. new Qb and a lot of injuries and they figured they'd be as conservative as possible and rely on their defense. no turnovers and it worked. you could see what cincy's plan was. they got beat up so badly by the shrimp defense the week before that they were scared to even test their OL and throw downfield more than once in the first half. they figured they could be as conservative as possible and houston couldn't score with all of their problems. one turnover and one big play and they were done. really embarrassing coaching. basically, they didn't even try in the first half because they figured they didn't need to with all of houston's problems.
betting on shitty teams as a favorite and betting on the thursday night games are two things i rarely do. i figured cincy could handle that one last night at -3. lesson learned.
but, i wouldn't be quick to write off cincy. yes, their coaching staff is abysmal. yes, dalton is a mess most of the time. but, green is an all-star, eifert is great and mixon looks good. jones is very good on defense (it's not fair to put a guy on hopkins one on one all night but he did welll) and burfict will be back soon. cincy won't play top defenses every week. they just played two of the best. the schedule will ease up soon and the offense will look much better. the coaching staff will still suck though.
moving on.
Marvin has 1 year left on his contract, barring a playoff run i think they bite the bullet and fire him @ the end of year.
damn, was that one ugly last night. houston had the right gameplan. new Qb and a lot of injuries and they figured they'd be as conservative as possible and rely on their defense. no turnovers and it worked. you could see what cincy's plan was. they got beat up so badly by the shrimp defense the week before that they were scared to even test their OL and throw downfield more than once in the first half. they figured they could be as conservative as possible and houston couldn't score with all of their problems. one turnover and one big play and they were done. really embarrassing coaching. basically, they didn't even try in the first half because they figured they didn't need to with all of houston's problems.
betting on shitty teams as a favorite and betting on the thursday night games are two things i rarely do. i figured cincy could handle that one last night at -3. lesson learned.
but, i wouldn't be quick to write off cincy. yes, their coaching staff is abysmal. yes, dalton is a mess most of the time. but, green is an all-star, eifert is great and mixon looks good. jones is very good on defense (it's not fair to put a guy on hopkins one on one all night but he did welll) and burfict will be back soon. cincy won't play top defenses every week. they just played two of the best. the schedule will ease up soon and the offense will look much better. the coaching staff will still suck though.
moving on.
Marvin has 1 year left on his contract, barring a playoff run i think they bite the bullet and fire him @ the end of year.
pretty strange to get a middle opportunity at with these books but i guess the potential bradford injury is messing these books up. i wouldn't normally do this without having put an early bet in at just 1.5 but if the game ends at 6 or 7, we obviously win and you can get pitt at reduced juice at 5dimes so it's worth a shot.
pretty strange to get a middle opportunity at with these books but i guess the potential bradford injury is messing these books up. i wouldn't normally do this without having put an early bet in at just 1.5 but if the game ends at 6 or 7, we obviously win and you can get pitt at reduced juice at 5dimes so it's worth a shot.
CHC +7 110/100 After a game effort against the NFC champs, I'll count on the Bears carrying some positive momentum forward for a while longer. Remember that Tampa's starters have basically gone over 3 full weeks since they last suited up for a game. There has to be rust and conditioning issues at some point. I think a 1Q or 1H bet on the Bears may be even smarter than the game line.
INDY/AZ Under 44 110/100 I love the value on Indy, but Vegas has been steadfast on holding this line at a strong 7 despite the losses of Johnson and now Brown for the Cards. That concerns me. I think the total is a better play given the circumstances. For those betting the Colts, week 2 home dogs who lost week 1 are 30-14 ATS since 2005.
SD/MIA Over 45.5 110/100 Definitely want to play the Charge here, but like the above game, the total stands out as the stronger play. Jason Verrett's absence opens the door for Miami's pass catchers and Rivers should have a career day on the other side.
CHC +7 110/100 After a game effort against the NFC champs, I'll count on the Bears carrying some positive momentum forward for a while longer. Remember that Tampa's starters have basically gone over 3 full weeks since they last suited up for a game. There has to be rust and conditioning issues at some point. I think a 1Q or 1H bet on the Bears may be even smarter than the game line.
INDY/AZ Under 44 110/100 I love the value on Indy, but Vegas has been steadfast on holding this line at a strong 7 despite the losses of Johnson and now Brown for the Cards. That concerns me. I think the total is a better play given the circumstances. For those betting the Colts, week 2 home dogs who lost week 1 are 30-14 ATS since 2005.
SD/MIA Over 45.5 110/100 Definitely want to play the Charge here, but like the above game, the total stands out as the stronger play. Jason Verrett's absence opens the door for Miami's pass catchers and Rivers should have a career day on the other side.
just waiting to see any late line movement. pretty sure i'm getting out of TN and Philly now that it's come back down to 4.5. still like philly but feel like i need to take chicago at 7 and i don't want to keep adding plays.
should have just bet pitt -5.5 last night and waited. huge middle possibility now for people who did that. but, it was just speculation as to whether bradford would start or not.
just waiting to see any late line movement. pretty sure i'm getting out of TN and Philly now that it's come back down to 4.5. still like philly but feel like i need to take chicago at 7 and i don't want to keep adding plays.
should have just bet pitt -5.5 last night and waited. huge middle possibility now for people who did that. but, it was just speculation as to whether bradford would start or not.
just waiting to see any late line movement. pretty sure i'm getting out of TN and Philly now that it's come back down to 4.5. still like philly but feel like i need to take chicago at 7 and i don't want to keep adding plays.
should have just bet pitt -5.5 last night and waited. huge middle possibility now for people who did that. but, it was just speculation as to whether bradford would start or not.
That middle of 6,7,8,or 9 would have been awesome. I'm definitely playing the Vikings in a teaser with 15.5, probably with the Panthers -0.5.
just waiting to see any late line movement. pretty sure i'm getting out of TN and Philly now that it's come back down to 4.5. still like philly but feel like i need to take chicago at 7 and i don't want to keep adding plays.
should have just bet pitt -5.5 last night and waited. huge middle possibility now for people who did that. but, it was just speculation as to whether bradford would start or not.
That middle of 6,7,8,or 9 would have been awesome. I'm definitely playing the Vikings in a teaser with 15.5, probably with the Panthers -0.5.
getty, i like that idea. should have thought of it earlier as it fits one of our maxims of nfl betting. when the line moves too far based on one injury (that isn't brady, rodgers, etc), look at a teaser to add opnto those free points. so, i just hit one. basically, pitt was at 6.5 when i started this thread and then went to 5.5 for a while. so, that's 3.5 points crossing 7 for one player. i like bradford but not sure he's worth 3.5 points when keenum is a veteran and minnesota's defense is the star of this team anyway.
this has been a mess this week. most weeks won't be like this. as i said, i got carried away with too manye arly bets and a lot happens and i read too much over the week so changes are likely. hopefully, in future weeks, it will be more normal.
kc went down to -4 wso or streak of getting the better line with the early bets is intact. anyway, i got out. here's everything:
Cincy -3 Indy +7 Chicago +7 NYJ +14 Washington +3 Atl -2 Teaser: Minnesota +15.5/Miami +10 (don't like either of these teams at their regular lines but i think they are both good candidates for a teaser as they are both playing teams with questions on defense, among other reason)
getty, i like that idea. should have thought of it earlier as it fits one of our maxims of nfl betting. when the line moves too far based on one injury (that isn't brady, rodgers, etc), look at a teaser to add opnto those free points. so, i just hit one. basically, pitt was at 6.5 when i started this thread and then went to 5.5 for a while. so, that's 3.5 points crossing 7 for one player. i like bradford but not sure he's worth 3.5 points when keenum is a veteran and minnesota's defense is the star of this team anyway.
this has been a mess this week. most weeks won't be like this. as i said, i got carried away with too manye arly bets and a lot happens and i read too much over the week so changes are likely. hopefully, in future weeks, it will be more normal.
kc went down to -4 wso or streak of getting the better line with the early bets is intact. anyway, i got out. here's everything:
Cincy -3 Indy +7 Chicago +7 NYJ +14 Washington +3 Atl -2 Teaser: Minnesota +15.5/Miami +10 (don't like either of these teams at their regular lines but i think they are both good candidates for a teaser as they are both playing teams with questions on defense, among other reason)
Browns next 3 opponents are Colts, Bengals and Jets... I put their O/U for wins at 0.5 in those 3 games.
Sets up for a trio of "unders." The NFL is suddenly being handicapped by a dearth of competent QBs and/or offensive coordinators who know what they're doing. I noticed in watching numerous games on Sunday that the pass interference flag has been conspicuously absent. The league will reap what it sows.
Browns next 3 opponents are Colts, Bengals and Jets... I put their O/U for wins at 0.5 in those 3 games.
Sets up for a trio of "unders." The NFL is suddenly being handicapped by a dearth of competent QBs and/or offensive coordinators who know what they're doing. I noticed in watching numerous games on Sunday that the pass interference flag has been conspicuously absent. The league will reap what it sows.
Getty - are you going Shrimping this Sunday? Let me know if you catch a 300 pounders
London home games have been boom or bust for the Jags. They won the last 2 here but have also been embarrassed by both San Fran and Dallas in previous years.
Getting 4 from the Shrimps seems like a smart play to be on Jacksonville. I think....I hope...because I'm on it.
Getty - are you going Shrimping this Sunday? Let me know if you catch a 300 pounders
London home games have been boom or bust for the Jags. They won the last 2 here but have also been embarrassed by both San Fran and Dallas in previous years.
Getting 4 from the Shrimps seems like a smart play to be on Jacksonville. I think....I hope...because I'm on it.
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