WEEK 7 NFL ....................2025

@WilliamMunny

 Hear hear!

He would be a marked improvement.

@Tushpush..............

@DogbiteWilliams.............

@kidd22..............

In those 8 season from 2015 to 2024 not including the 2 covid years of the top 5 on pts per plays margin after week 6 ............

7 of the 8 season saw at least 1 team make the SB.

Twice both teams came out of the top 5.

9 teams total made SB , 4 SB winners to 5 SB losers.

5 of the 8 years saw at least 2 teams make the conference  finals. 3 teams did a couple of times.

So as we can see the best teams do make themselves know by week 6.

Of the 5 teams who is most likely to make the SB.

Lions I'd think or possibly Seahawks.

I doubt Steelers and likely not Colts but I'd have to look more into teams over .200. But at this point those teams don't do well.

G

Other sytem .............4-4

Eagles -1.5 (-112) over Vikings --- .56 units to win .5 units

pending play with other system...

Seahawks -3 (-120 over Texans --- .6 units to win .5

Other pending play ........

Packers -6 (-120) over Zona --- 1.2 units

Seahawks -3 (-120) over Zona --- 1.2 units (BF II)

my other system plays are to win. 5 units untill we may up the plays. I keep making the mistake of putting 1 unit since a habit.

Pending Futures Plays. ...........

KC UNDER 12.5 wins -240 --- 2.4 units

KC UNDER 11 5 wins -135 --- 1.35 plays

Packers to win division-125 --- 2.5 units

Seahawks to win division +275 --- 1 unit

Colts to win division -130 --- 1.3 units

Lions to win division +160 --- 1 unit

Pts Per Plays Margin ..................

Hey people, I broke down  another 8 years and it looks pretty  impressive. 

Now with 16 years of data not including the 2 covid years.

In those 16 years 18 teams in the top 5 made the SB.

In 12 of the 16 years at least 1 team made the SB.

In 6 years 2 teams made the SB .

Of the 4 years no team made the SB one was last year 2024. So in the other 3 years the following year produced 2 SB teams in 2 of the 3 years and 1 SB team in the other year.

So average of 1.67 per year.

If we throw out those 3 years in the remaining 13  years 13 teams made the SB so ave of 1 per year.

We can see years following no team making the SB produce more SB teams. Small sample for sure but overall pretty good info pointing to at least 1 SB team coming out of these 5 teams.

Winning divisions ...........

If we throwout teams in the top 5 from the same division....

41-15 (73.2%) winning divsion over past 16 years 

And in 13 of the 16 (81.3%) years produced a winning record predicting divsion winners.

2007 -2014 = 17-8 (68%)

2015 -2024 = 24-7 = (77.4%)

After throwing out Colts/Texans from same division  that gives us Seahawks, Lions, Steelers. 

Should produce at least 2 divsion winners from these 3.

Backing Seahawks at very good + money and Lions at + money you only need to win one of those to come out ahead. 

U could back Steelers at + money as well.

Seems like a no brainer to me based on the info.

Colts would also be a very good play based on teams over .200.

I have alot more info to go I'll post on next week's thread.

Week --- 2-1, won .8 units

My other system....... week 2-0

season 6-4.

BF II ....... week --- 1-0 .....fade of Texans

Season --- 2-0 

I'LL catch up with season record