you're against the public in all but 2 I think....A few -130's too...I'm a life long Pats fan, but they get cleaned out at home this week
With you on many this early in the week...Really, really liking how the Bal +2.5 is shaping up...Home Dog and #2 rated home field advantage...Live in Carolina and there is no way to cap them, they're as consistent as a high school girls volleyball team.
Best of luck dude,if all are same unit amount, looks like a positive cash card so far...Get 'em!
you're against the public in all but 2 I think....A few -130's too...I'm a life long Pats fan, but they get cleaned out at home this week
With you on many this early in the week...Really, really liking how the Bal +2.5 is shaping up...Home Dog and #2 rated home field advantage...Live in Carolina and there is no way to cap them, they're as consistent as a high school girls volleyball team.
Best of luck dude,if all are same unit amount, looks like a positive cash card so far...Get 'em!
you're against the public in all but 2 I think....A few -130's too...I'm a life long Pats fan, but they get cleaned out at home this week
With you on many this early in the week...Really, really liking how the Bal +2.5 is shaping up...Home Dog and #2 rated home field advantage...Live in Carolina and there is no way to cap them, they're as consistent as a high school girls volleyball team.
Best of luck dude,if all are same unit amount, looks like a positive cash card so far...Get 'em!
whats your "public"?? Im all about fading the public but if ur judging the entire public bettors by the roughly 10,000 bettors here on covers, ur seriously wrong...
you're against the public in all but 2 I think....A few -130's too...I'm a life long Pats fan, but they get cleaned out at home this week
With you on many this early in the week...Really, really liking how the Bal +2.5 is shaping up...Home Dog and #2 rated home field advantage...Live in Carolina and there is no way to cap them, they're as consistent as a high school girls volleyball team.
Best of luck dude,if all are same unit amount, looks like a positive cash card so far...Get 'em!
whats your "public"?? Im all about fading the public but if ur judging the entire public bettors by the roughly 10,000 bettors here on covers, ur seriously wrong...
whats your "public"?? Im all about fading the public but if ur judging the entire public bettors by the roughly 10,000 bettors here on covers, ur seriously wrong...
Strong point B2W, I doubt any records of public $ are very accurate - I watch sportsinsights.com and combine previous results (blow outs, high offensive totals, public fav teams like Dal, Pit, NE..top bottom 5 o's / d's...it's fairly easy to identify where the public will be...
a few examples this week: Chiefs, Packers, 9'ers, Broncs, and whoever is playing Giants, Houston, Bucs...
whats your "public"?? Im all about fading the public but if ur judging the entire public bettors by the roughly 10,000 bettors here on covers, ur seriously wrong...
Strong point B2W, I doubt any records of public $ are very accurate - I watch sportsinsights.com and combine previous results (blow outs, high offensive totals, public fav teams like Dal, Pit, NE..top bottom 5 o's / d's...it's fairly easy to identify where the public will be...
a few examples this week: Chiefs, Packers, 9'ers, Broncs, and whoever is playing Giants, Houston, Bucs...
Strong point B2W, I doubt any records of public $ are very accurate - I watch sportsinsights.com and combine previous results (blow outs, high offensive totals, public fav teams like Dal, Pit, NE..top bottom 5 o's / d's...it's fairly easy to identify where the public will be...
a few examples this week: Chiefs, Packers, 9'ers, Broncs, and whoever is playing Giants, Houston, Bucs...
Don't get me wrong! if there was a database that tracked the entire countries wagers, id fade it EVERY SINGLE WEEK! I mean, "the house" doesn't lose right? but I realized a few seasons ago that covers 'consensus' isn't accurate whatsoever, granted it does track this websites picks and realistically the 10,000 community bettors here are actually 'educated gamblers', so u aren't getting the true 'joe public' point of view... I used to literally write out every line and then pick my leans, then on Sat, i'd change/adjust them according to the "consensus". the season I stopped doing that, I had a great year (the 15-0 run)... its very detrimental to even get ur friends opinions bc it slights ur thought process, youd be surprised how much u become biased if u listen to "outside sources". if ur a veteran bettor, just ignore the outside ppl and make ur picks on ur knowledge; live and die with ur opinion...
Strong point B2W, I doubt any records of public $ are very accurate - I watch sportsinsights.com and combine previous results (blow outs, high offensive totals, public fav teams like Dal, Pit, NE..top bottom 5 o's / d's...it's fairly easy to identify where the public will be...
a few examples this week: Chiefs, Packers, 9'ers, Broncs, and whoever is playing Giants, Houston, Bucs...
Don't get me wrong! if there was a database that tracked the entire countries wagers, id fade it EVERY SINGLE WEEK! I mean, "the house" doesn't lose right? but I realized a few seasons ago that covers 'consensus' isn't accurate whatsoever, granted it does track this websites picks and realistically the 10,000 community bettors here are actually 'educated gamblers', so u aren't getting the true 'joe public' point of view... I used to literally write out every line and then pick my leans, then on Sat, i'd change/adjust them according to the "consensus". the season I stopped doing that, I had a great year (the 15-0 run)... its very detrimental to even get ur friends opinions bc it slights ur thought process, youd be surprised how much u become biased if u listen to "outside sources". if ur a veteran bettor, just ignore the outside ppl and make ur picks on ur knowledge; live and die with ur opinion...
Really like the Tampa lean right now. I don't think Philly is very good at all, other than McCoy, whom I think Tampa can limit. Tampa has a better defense, and their value is at an all-time low. Philly is the worst defense the Bucs have faced all season. Also not sold on Foles...
Curious why you're on Pittsburgh giving points on the road against anybody, much less a team with a good defense.
Really like the Tampa lean right now. I don't think Philly is very good at all, other than McCoy, whom I think Tampa can limit. Tampa has a better defense, and their value is at an all-time low. Philly is the worst defense the Bucs have faced all season. Also not sold on Foles...
Curious why you're on Pittsburgh giving points on the road against anybody, much less a team with a good defense.
Really like the Tampa lean right now. I don't think Philly is very good at all, other than McCoy, whom I think Tampa can limit. Tampa has a better defense, and their value is at an all-time low. Philly is the worst defense the Bucs have faced all season. Also not sold on Foles...
Curious why you're on Pittsburgh giving points on the road against anybody, much less a team with a good defense.
I usually completely ignore ppl who respond to my leans, not in an 'arrogant way' but more or a 'I don't wanna cloud my POV' but you made some great points on the PHI/TB game... we shall see but one thing I completely disagree with u. You said Mccoys their only good player, ru forgettin DJackson?? He's having a resurgence and looks like vintage DJax, Super talented and fits this offense PERFECTLY!
Onto Pitt @ NYJ, im thrilled with this one, honestly it may be my Best Best.... I KNOW! you're all saying Atl was ur BB lastwk and u were dead wrong, u completely missed the boat and slighted Geno while he torched Atl. Heres my synopsis.... HERE ME OUT: NYJ game planned brilliantly! Any NFL QB can torch a Defense when they have TIME to throw so what NYJs did was attack the Falcons underneath and force Atl to hold their LBs back. ATL usually doesnt get any pressure without blitzing their LBs so this negated their pass-rush, thus giving Geno time. But what they did was his Cumberland underneath and then hit their WR in the seem or post route. This strategy caught ATL COMPLETELY off guard! Did u see how conservative NYJ was in the 2nd Half, almost ALL of their pass plays were "safe" Screens or underneath routes bc they knew ATL would adjust and not be susceptible to NYJs bullshit TE game... if NYJs Defense doesn't force that Fumble, I don't think the Jets score more than 6 in the 2 Half... Point is, the Jets gameplanned brilliantly against a weak ATL Def, Pittsburgh WILL NOT be out coached on Def vs NYJ's Offense!
LeBeau's a HOF coach EASY and will have that BS underneath game completely stifled! Jets might not score twice, no they will but no way over 14! ... unless they develop a rushing attack that controls the game, which "could" happen but I honestly think Pitt will crowd the box and force Geno to beat them... and he WONT, w/o Holmes, he has weak weapons and doesn't have the luxury of having ALL DAY bc Pitt wont fall for that Underneath TE attack early and force them to hold back their Blitzing LBs... Point is; Steelers will have a Pass-Rush and force Geno to make plays, & he wont, period. Offensively, now with LeVeon Bell; who is a legitimate Starting RB, gives the Steelers the diverse Offense they've been begging for! Now they will establish a running game and open up their passing game. Their WR are talented but without a running game whatsoever, ppl weren't scared or crowding the box and playing for the pass; thus thwarting their aerial attack. I honestly think Pitt wins something like 35-10. The Jets Stout Defense does scare me a bit BUT, I think Pitts D Vs. Jets O will be such a mismatch, the Jets TOP-5 Defense wont have a shot to impact this one.... Maybe im driving an empty band wagon but I don't mind. My motto is "Observe the masses closely.... & then do the complete opposite"
Really like the Tampa lean right now. I don't think Philly is very good at all, other than McCoy, whom I think Tampa can limit. Tampa has a better defense, and their value is at an all-time low. Philly is the worst defense the Bucs have faced all season. Also not sold on Foles...
Curious why you're on Pittsburgh giving points on the road against anybody, much less a team with a good defense.
I usually completely ignore ppl who respond to my leans, not in an 'arrogant way' but more or a 'I don't wanna cloud my POV' but you made some great points on the PHI/TB game... we shall see but one thing I completely disagree with u. You said Mccoys their only good player, ru forgettin DJackson?? He's having a resurgence and looks like vintage DJax, Super talented and fits this offense PERFECTLY!
Onto Pitt @ NYJ, im thrilled with this one, honestly it may be my Best Best.... I KNOW! you're all saying Atl was ur BB lastwk and u were dead wrong, u completely missed the boat and slighted Geno while he torched Atl. Heres my synopsis.... HERE ME OUT: NYJ game planned brilliantly! Any NFL QB can torch a Defense when they have TIME to throw so what NYJs did was attack the Falcons underneath and force Atl to hold their LBs back. ATL usually doesnt get any pressure without blitzing their LBs so this negated their pass-rush, thus giving Geno time. But what they did was his Cumberland underneath and then hit their WR in the seem or post route. This strategy caught ATL COMPLETELY off guard! Did u see how conservative NYJ was in the 2nd Half, almost ALL of their pass plays were "safe" Screens or underneath routes bc they knew ATL would adjust and not be susceptible to NYJs bullshit TE game... if NYJs Defense doesn't force that Fumble, I don't think the Jets score more than 6 in the 2 Half... Point is, the Jets gameplanned brilliantly against a weak ATL Def, Pittsburgh WILL NOT be out coached on Def vs NYJ's Offense!
LeBeau's a HOF coach EASY and will have that BS underneath game completely stifled! Jets might not score twice, no they will but no way over 14! ... unless they develop a rushing attack that controls the game, which "could" happen but I honestly think Pitt will crowd the box and force Geno to beat them... and he WONT, w/o Holmes, he has weak weapons and doesn't have the luxury of having ALL DAY bc Pitt wont fall for that Underneath TE attack early and force them to hold back their Blitzing LBs... Point is; Steelers will have a Pass-Rush and force Geno to make plays, & he wont, period. Offensively, now with LeVeon Bell; who is a legitimate Starting RB, gives the Steelers the diverse Offense they've been begging for! Now they will establish a running game and open up their passing game. Their WR are talented but without a running game whatsoever, ppl weren't scared or crowding the box and playing for the pass; thus thwarting their aerial attack. I honestly think Pitt wins something like 35-10. The Jets Stout Defense does scare me a bit BUT, I think Pitts D Vs. Jets O will be such a mismatch, the Jets TOP-5 Defense wont have a shot to impact this one.... Maybe im driving an empty band wagon but I don't mind. My motto is "Observe the masses closely.... & then do the complete opposite"
I rely heavily on a yards per point system for capping the games. The premise is, offenses in rhythm tend to stay in rhythm. By my numbers the Saints are playing as well as anyone in the NFL right now. I think they're a strong play vs the Pats.
I don't have strong numbers for either side of Giants @ Bears. But I wouldn't feel good about laying 7' (or more) to a team that's lost 4 straight by more than 2 TD's each game. It seems that every time I decide to go against a dog that's playing extra-ordinarily bad, that dog jumps up and bites me where I keep my wallet. I do like the Over in this one tho
I rely heavily on a yards per point system for capping the games. The premise is, offenses in rhythm tend to stay in rhythm. By my numbers the Saints are playing as well as anyone in the NFL right now. I think they're a strong play vs the Pats.
I don't have strong numbers for either side of Giants @ Bears. But I wouldn't feel good about laying 7' (or more) to a team that's lost 4 straight by more than 2 TD's each game. It seems that every time I decide to go against a dog that's playing extra-ordinarily bad, that dog jumps up and bites me where I keep my wallet. I do like the Over in this one tho
Your top pick Im a little worried. You need pressure on Geno or he will dink and dive on you. Look at the past teams he has played who have no pass rush ATL and BUF. Pitt only has I think 8 sacks on the year, unless they unload the blitz I don't see a difference. I do like the fact of D coordinator for Pitt but he's gonna have to have a great D game. NYJ D is for real they will ruin Pitt's O line
Your top pick Im a little worried. You need pressure on Geno or he will dink and dive on you. Look at the past teams he has played who have no pass rush ATL and BUF. Pitt only has I think 8 sacks on the year, unless they unload the blitz I don't see a difference. I do like the fact of D coordinator for Pitt but he's gonna have to have a great D game. NYJ D is for real they will ruin Pitt's O line
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