Had a decent week 4 continuing a good season so far. Locking in this one play early with a good number
LAC -2.5 - They are just a much better team with a very good defense. I dont care about Daniels playing, he hasnt looked great anyway, and the team around him certainly isnt. Chargers are just a much better team. I had this number quite a bit higher and maybe its low because they lost to the Giants, I'll take it
Added:
Kyren Williams o67.5 rush yds - thought this number would be 10 yds higher so going to play this. Etienne just gashed SF for 124, Kyren should be able to get there
Tyler Higbee o17.5 rec yds - had 5 targets last game and only caught 2 for 25. Brenton Strange on JAX had one of his best games Sunday vs niners with 6 for 45, so I like Higbees chances to get over a low number
Added:
Demarcus Robinson TD +450 - Great number for what may be the top receiving option available for the niners. If its announced pearsall and jennings are out then he will probably be +250ish
Garrett Wilson o60.5 rec yds - We know Cowboys are getting shredded by the passing game and Wilson is such an unbelievable talent and basically the only game in town. Not too high of a number for him to get over
Added:
Jordan Addison o39.5 rec yds
Jordan Addison TD +300 - Going back to the well with Addison. We got so close on it last week. Well Minnesota has been overseas for another full week now practicing while Cleveland is travelling, and this will be Addisons 2nd game back. Jamo Williams would be the equivalent position on the Lions and he was open multiple times for bombs vs Cleveland last week.
Baker Mayfield o16.5 rush yds - SEA defense has been great and forced QBs to do a decent amount of running to escape pressure. Purdy went 5 for 17 rushing vs SEA and Kyler rushed 5 times as well. Even Aaron Rodgers had a rushing attempt for 3 yds vs SEA.
Jayden Daniels u44.5 rush yds - how eager is Daniels going to be to run coming back from ankle injury?
Brashard Smith TD +500 - JAX allows a lot of receiving TDs and have given up receiving scores to McCaffrey and Hubbard. KC is involving Smith in the pass game with designed plays. Think he gets in this week at a big payout for us
Patrick Mahomes o1.5 pass tds -150 - I dont often play a line w this much juice, but I feel it is light and should be -200. JAX gives up a lot of receiving TDs
If Wilson had a competent qb his number would be 80
Added:
Alec Pierce o30.5 rec yds - Hes been over this in every game hes played this year, and his last 2 games had at least 5 targets
Cancelled - Kyren Williams o67.5 rush yds - cancelled this bet, maybe no reason to rush Kyren much and if they play w a comfortable lead Corum could get significant work
Added:
Donte Thornton o24.5 rec yds
Donte Thornton TD +325
2nd and 3rd receivers have done well against Indy. Adams and Atwell (88 yd TD), Franklin (breakout game 8 catches) and Mims, Waddle and Washington. I can easily seeing this being Thorntons breakout game. I like Tre Tucker too but the number is a bit higher than what I'd want to bet and Thornton can get the yardage on 1 catch as hes typically the deep guy.
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