Sam Houston vs New Mexico State. Wrong Team favored!!! Bet da chicken Farm!!

New Mexico State +2.5 to da bank max $5k

This is a classic “home dog” Win.

Sam Houston is Winless and struggling. Just got blown out 55–0 by Texas. Their offense ranks near the bottom nationally in third-down conversions and red zone efficiency.

 New Mexico State is Coming off a 38–20 loss to New Mexico, but they’ve shown flashes of competence and have home field advantage.

Line says it all. 0-4 su/ats giving points on the road 

Sometimes Vegas lets our own six senses work against our own minds. We have to believe what we see and not overanalyze it to make things complicated. Can’t ask a loser team to win on the road because they have to? Sometimes over-researching and over-analyzing are the problems of gambling. Doubt and overanalyzing can cost us money dearly. Simplicity is the key to winning games.

I have few games for Saturday, and they’re definitely Vegas gifts, like Rutgers.

I watched New Mexico State play at home against Tulsa, and the offense was moving the ball effectively. Sam Houston's defense, ranked dead last, will be unable to stop New Mexico State at home.

Is Sam Houston better than Tulsa?

@Ilovefootballs

 Rutgers ?   Aren’t they on a bye ?

I mentioned last week that my biggest bet was on Rutgers vs Minnesota. This Saturday, I'll have a few more biggest games.

Why is a winless team favored on the road then?

Because the public liked Sam Houston from last year, and New Mexico State was not a good football school. Sometimes Vegas is a trap for overthinkers and overanalyzers.

Because the odds indicate Sam Houston will win? Is it a trap for bettors? Reverse psychology? I will not back an 0-4 team on the road as a favorite.

@Ilovefootballs

 The only thing that concerns me is that sam houston st is off a bye week and new mexico st will be playing their 2nd game in 5 days. Big rest advantage is the likely reason winless team is a road favorite here.

@chicubs09

New Mexico State run defense is elite 16th nationally. QB Logan Fife has thrown for 1,017 yards.

Sam Houston QB has been erratic just 641 passing yards and 4 INTs this season. Defense ranks 133rd nationally.

Sam Houston has struggled on both sides of the ball and hasn’t shown enough to justify being road favorites. The Aggies’ strong run defense and home-field.

What happens if Sam Houston wins? Then we feel great, but if they fail to cover, it will disrupt our way of thinking by overthinking, which may have an impact on long-term capping games. This is a trap game that Vegas wants bettors to overanalyze.

I have the same question as everyone else too. Why a 0-4 ATS favorite on the road? Too good to be true, right? New Mexico State is not that great either. They have to win this game.

Trap game writing all over it. Home underdogs win.

GL

@Ilovefootballs

 Fabulous thread, laced with prattle, ignore.

Knowledge is power. Without it, ignorance spreads like you that seem to be fueling the fire. Okay boy!!

@mjm1012

 Gl to you too.

68% public on N.M. St.

The public believes, as I do, that an 0-4 team can’t win on the road. Even Tulsa loses to the New Mexico State. Do you think Tulsa or Sam Houston is better?

@Ilovefootballs

 Might just have something here… best of luck thx 

We're here to share information that will help us decide whether to bet on the games. The only goal is to win and beat the odds every week.

Gl with your games for this week as well.

Take the Over

2 things I don't like here. 1. Teams usually don't fail to cover 3 straight road game on a 3 game road trip. 2. NM St averages 1.5 yards a carry and played no one. That being said SH is pretty trash. I look to stay away here.

Gl on the over

Based on what you said, you confused yourself with doubt and overanalyzed the game. Let's have another two bad teams play each other. Which one would you pick? The home underdogs or the road favorite who hasn't won a game. They had a home advantage, and they had already won two games, so their opponents were better than the road favorite. You decide to bet or not. But I’m sticking with the Home underdogs.