week 2

Nice one

add division and week 2 and you get 12-7 ats 63.2% and 7-12 O/U I've been getting a few for the Giants

#25 you get Giants again and Car which I've been getting a few , cant get myself to go with Car

  k)  week 2 home favorites off an away loss.....66-80-3 ATS

   1)  If they outgained their opponent in that loss.....29-19-1 ATS (+3.1), 35-14 straight up (+9.1).........ON Cowboys

   2)  If they were outgained in their week 1 away loss....38-60-2 ATS (-2.7), 38-56-4 o/u (-1.6).....VERSUS and UNDER Texans, Ravens, Dolphins, Lions 

week = 2 and HF and p:AL and p:TY < po:TY

  l)  A week 2 dog that will be favored their next two games....62-33 ATS.....ON Chiefs, Bears, Commanders

week = 2 and D and n:F and nn:F

 m)  A week 2 dog whose opponent will be an underdog their next two games.....53-28-4 ATS.....ON NYG, Jaguars

  week=2 and D and on:D and onn:D

  n)  An away dog in weeks 2, 3 or 4 that outrushed their present opponent by over 100 yards their previous game, 39-22 ATS, (+3.6).....ON Commies, Jags

Jags rushed for 200 yards, Bengals 46......Commies rushed for 220 and Packers rushed for 78.

p:RY-op:RY>100 and week<5 and AD

I have joined a  free NFL pick 5 ATS games a week contest 

They give consensus data on which lyhebpopularvyeams are selected.  It’s early in the week but the popular teams are :

Cowboys #4

Saints 

Jets #3

Packers #6

Chargers 

Cardinals #5

Steelers  #1

Falcons #2

Thanks for that...almost certainly I'll fade the Falcons as we get later in the week.

  o)  A week 2 away dog off a loss that was outyarded by at least 100 yards in that loss.....25-33-1 ATS (-2.0), 16-43 straight up (-9.1).....VERSUS Panthers, Seahawks, Giants

If our away dog's present opponent outyarded their opponent their previous game this moves to 6-18 ATS (-6.0), 3-21 straight up (-13.6)....this becomes 0-5 ATS (-10.1), 0-5 straight up (-18.6) if our away dog lost that previous game on the road.....VERSUS Giants

p:L and AD and week=2 and p:TY-po:TY<-100 and opo:TY<op:TY

Deleting Seahawks play.

Plays for 1.5 units:  

1)  Jaguars +3'

2)  Chiefs +1

3)  Titans +5' 

Adding.....

4)  Commanders +3, -100

Though there are a myriad of angles supporting the Panthers, Giants, Bears and Seahawks I cannot pull the trigger on these teams with their very questionable quarterbacks.

In actuality, those types of teams if they were  to start out 0-4 are very good bets later in the season as dogs off a loss.....much like Will Levis last year, those quarterbacks often find ways of blowing a game and the cover for bettors when they often should/could win their games.  My view is that one needs a quarterback to cover on the road, and defense and a running game are more important at home, though competent to excellent quarterbacks that can run....like Murray, Jackson, Josh Allen often are stellar at covering on the road.

Nobody has time to read this sh!t

Looks like you have the time, or you wouldn't have stopped in to read it, now don't say I didn't read it I just looked to see who he was playing. And I'm sure it's not the first time you stopped in.

Moron

Both the Falcons and Bears lines jumped the fence before kickoff in Week One. Both closed as favorites, so the division home dog week one angle was just 1-1 in my book. Still a solid angle. Came close to being 2-0.