Week 1

https://killersports.com/query?filter=NFL&sdql=HF%20and%20n%3Aday%20%3D%20Thursday%20%20and%20week%3C11%20and%20ats%20streak%3C2&qt=games&init=1

Giants+7

H and F and tpS(playoffs)>1 and week=1 and tpS(W)>11 and line<-6 and season>2005 and line>=-9

Cowboys+7

week=1 and HD and tpS(W)>3 and season >2008 and n:A and DIV

Falcons +2.5

Seahawks +2

AF and week=1 and total>39 and tppS(W) <12 and tpS(playoffs)=0 and opS(W)>1 and line<-2 and n:line>-7

Browns+5.5

HF and week=1 and oppS(W)<4 and 7>opS(W)>3 and line>-7

Panthers+2.5

A and F and week=1 and tpS(playoffs)=1 and NDIV and line>-5

Steelers half @ -3 , and half@ -2.5

average line -2.75 

Giants+7

Cowboys+7

Falcons +2.5

Seahawks +2

Browns+5.5

Panthers+2.5

Chargers+2.5

Steelers average line -2.75 

Titans +7.5

Patriots-2.5 -118

I have the bills representing the afc spottie… they got rid of the mouthy wide receiver… that has to help… they picked up another good guy about a month ago… don’t remember who…  I’m a Missouri resident… chiefs will rest this year… 3 in a row is a grind… they will come back in 2026 or 2027…. They are who kept bills out of these Super Bowl games…. And just barely.     Bills … if no key injuries…. Should represent afc…. And I think Vegas sees that in futures.     Josh Allen deserves a few…. Your take please. 

Eight dogs and one favorite...interesting.

@C-70Blues

 Chicago on Monday night but the line is so close I don’t need to post yet 

@Mskeets

 I have rarely won a futures bet.  I think the last winning bet was the Chiefs to win their division and it was there first division championship in a long time.  It was 10-1 

it’s a long year and to bet something now to wait until February to get paid?  It better be over 20-1 

There’s a lot of changes this season.  

A lot of the previous bad teams have made strides to elevate.  The AFC will be quite the gauntlet.  

The last 2 seasons the favorites have out covered the dogs which is a rarity.  The dogs are going to bite back this season maybe 54% ats if one bets every dog. 

sorting out the Super Bowl is off my betting radar. 

of course I like the Bills as a quality team.  

No bet from me but if you bet I wish you the best. 

AFC favorites are just over 54% ATS the last 2 seasons 

NFC is 2 games from dead even. 

There was 6 2024 AFC teams with under 6 wins. Some of the teams have made excellent strides to improve.  Some of these teams are going to cause problems for the previous elite teams. 

Chiefs Ravens Bills will not have as many cakewalks. Harder opponents also can cause injuries. 

I use a lot of data from previous results and then I add in my personal take.  We’ll see how effective it is. 

best wishes on your season 

season = 2022 and conference = AFC and week<9 and line<=-3 and H 

The last season the dogs did better than favorites ATS was 2022 

In that season before week 9 the AFC home favorites were 9-22 ATS if the line was =-3 or more points. 

In general most of the dog success in “normal” years are best in the early transitional weeks. The new Elite teams have not been established.  One week a dog looks great they can become favorites then they crash and burn.