TNF STEVE NOVAK & THE DOLPHINS (Not a love story)

Steve Novak the head official for the game has officiated 6 Miami Dolphins game and Dolphins performed 1-5 ATS. Visiting favorites have covered 62% (24-13 ATS ) and when the spread is 3 or more it jumps to 72% (21-8). Dolphins are 4-4 ATS this season, 3-1 ATS at home. Dolphins are 5-9 in TNF. Dolphins coming off a dominant road game from Atlanta and expected to perform well against Lamar this Thursday night. 

The Ravens on the other hand is expected to dominate this game with Lamar back on the captain seat. Ravens are 11-7 SU on TNF (9-1 at home and 2-6 on the road).

If we base on the stats - all points to the Dolphins spread, if we start considering the head official for this game then it tips the favor to the Ravens. Would you rather trust Dolphins offense to keep up with the Ravens? You must be high. Because of that I will lean on the Ravens spread but will play small, probably will wait to get a good value live for their ML. 

Ravens -7.5 small play
Ravens ML best bet

Lamar Jackson Anytime TD 

Refs on the Ravens side? Whoa that is news to me lol

Thanks for your thoughts and gl 

@Digitalkarma

 Not literally but on the premise of visiting teams and against the Dolphins. Steve Novak despite being from Miami has some sort of bad juju on the Dolphins ATS. So the logic goes visiting team vs miami dolphins. Plus are we really trusting the Dolphins offense to keep up or their D to hold the ravens? 

If you are leaning Dolphins here are some interesting stats.

Tua is 1-4 in his last TNF games. He has lost 4 in a row on TNF games. The last time he won on TNF was….at home vs the Ravens! 

Well I tried to tell yall. Another winning NBA & NFL night! 

Well I tried to tell yall. Another winning NBA & NFL night!