As I posted on Friday in the College board, I have decided to start posting my plays and see how it goes. I plan on doing the same in the NFL. Any previous wins/losses will not be included. In case anyone is interested, included is my record on posted plays right now:
NFL YTD: 0-0
College: 6-4 +3.91 units
The above is based on the strength of my 3 unit win on the over in the LSU/Florida game.
Ok, here are my NFL plays thus far:
Indy -7 -115 (2 units)
I really like Indy in this situation. I bought the hook to hit a key number, but honestly I don't think I will need it. My guess is a lot of people are going to look at this game and see a undefeated KC team getting a decent number of points and be all over it. I am not buying it. Peyton is still Peyton and he will have this offense rolling at home. I think they win by 10+.
St. Louis +3 -110 (1 unit)
I have seen a number of people take Detroit here, but I am not sure I agree. This St. Louis team has just as good of a shot as anyone to win the NFC West and I think they come out and play like it. This Detroit team is going to compete with Buffalo and a few others for the worst record. I realize Detroit does have some weapons, but I see Bradford, Jackson, etc. being too much and winning in a close one somewhere around 21-17.
Jacksonville +2 -110 (1 unit)
I think some people might be overthinking this one. This is a bad Buffalo team that just traded away the best running back they had. I don't see this trainwreck stopping this week although I do see why a lot of people see this as being a square play. With that said, Gerrard and MJD will do enough to pull out a 4-6 point victory.
Minnesota +4.5 -110 (2 units)
This is a great situational play. Forget about Randy Moss because I didn't factor him in to this play. The Jets are coming off of three straight divisional games. Over the last two years, fading teams coming off of 3 straight divisional games has been profitable at a rate over 70%. Add to the fact that I believe the Jets will be the public play here, and I will take my changes with the Vikes. Oh, and Moss doesn't hurt even if he wasn't a factor in my decision.
As I posted on Friday in the College board, I have decided to start posting my plays and see how it goes. I plan on doing the same in the NFL. Any previous wins/losses will not be included. In case anyone is interested, included is my record on posted plays right now:
NFL YTD: 0-0
College: 6-4 +3.91 units
The above is based on the strength of my 3 unit win on the over in the LSU/Florida game.
Ok, here are my NFL plays thus far:
Indy -7 -115 (2 units)
I really like Indy in this situation. I bought the hook to hit a key number, but honestly I don't think I will need it. My guess is a lot of people are going to look at this game and see a undefeated KC team getting a decent number of points and be all over it. I am not buying it. Peyton is still Peyton and he will have this offense rolling at home. I think they win by 10+.
St. Louis +3 -110 (1 unit)
I have seen a number of people take Detroit here, but I am not sure I agree. This St. Louis team has just as good of a shot as anyone to win the NFC West and I think they come out and play like it. This Detroit team is going to compete with Buffalo and a few others for the worst record. I realize Detroit does have some weapons, but I see Bradford, Jackson, etc. being too much and winning in a close one somewhere around 21-17.
Jacksonville +2 -110 (1 unit)
I think some people might be overthinking this one. This is a bad Buffalo team that just traded away the best running back they had. I don't see this trainwreck stopping this week although I do see why a lot of people see this as being a square play. With that said, Gerrard and MJD will do enough to pull out a 4-6 point victory.
Minnesota +4.5 -110 (2 units)
This is a great situational play. Forget about Randy Moss because I didn't factor him in to this play. The Jets are coming off of three straight divisional games. Over the last two years, fading teams coming off of 3 straight divisional games has been profitable at a rate over 70%. Add to the fact that I believe the Jets will be the public play here, and I will take my changes with the Vikes. Oh, and Moss doesn't hurt even if he wasn't a factor in my decision.
There is really not much to say on this one other than the fact that I think both teams find a way to win.
Oakland +13.5 / over 38.5 -110 (1 unit)
San Diego has struggled on the road and Oakland has been decent at home. They gave a better Texans team a decent game and I expect that to continue here.
There is really not much to say on this one other than the fact that I think both teams find a way to win.
Oakland +13.5 / over 38.5 -110 (1 unit)
San Diego has struggled on the road and Oakland has been decent at home. They gave a better Texans team a decent game and I expect that to continue here.
As I posted on Friday in the College board, I have decided to start posting my plays and see how it goes. I plan on doing the same in the NFL. Any previous wins/losses will not be included. In case anyone is interested, included is my record on posted plays right now:
NFL YTD: 0-0
College: 6-4 +3.91 units
The above is based on the strength of my 3 unit win on the over in the LSU/Florida game.
Ok, here are my NFL plays thus far:
Indy -7 -115 (2 units)
I really like Indy in this situation. I bought the hook to hit a key number, but honestly I don't think I will need it. My guess is a lot of people are going to look at this game and see a undefeated KC team getting a decent number of points and be all over it. I am not buying it. Peyton is still Peyton and he will have this offense rolling at home. I think they win by 10+.
St. Louis +3 -110 (1 unit)
I have seen a number of people take Detroit here, but I am not sure I agree. This St. Louis team has just as good of a shot as anyone to win the NFC West and I think they come out and play like it. This Detroit team is going to compete with Buffalo and a few others for the worst record. I realize Detroit does have some weapons, but I see Bradford, Jackson, etc. being too much and winning in a close one somewhere around 21-17.
Jacksonville +2 -110 (1 unit)
I think some people might be overthinking this one. This is a bad Buffalo team that just traded away the best running back they had. I don't see this trainwreck stopping this week although I do see why a lot of people see this as being a square play. With that said, Gerrard and MJD will do enough to pull out a 4-6 point victory.
Minnesota +4.5 -110 (2 units)
This is a great situational play. Forget about Randy Moss because I didn't factor him in to this play. The Jets are coming off of three straight divisional games. Over the last two years, fading teams coming off of 3 straight divisional games has been profitable at a rate over 70%. Add to the fact that I believe the Jets will be the public play here, and I will take my changes with the Vikes. Oh, and Moss doesn't hurt even if he wasn't a factor in my decision.
As I posted on Friday in the College board, I have decided to start posting my plays and see how it goes. I plan on doing the same in the NFL. Any previous wins/losses will not be included. In case anyone is interested, included is my record on posted plays right now:
NFL YTD: 0-0
College: 6-4 +3.91 units
The above is based on the strength of my 3 unit win on the over in the LSU/Florida game.
Ok, here are my NFL plays thus far:
Indy -7 -115 (2 units)
I really like Indy in this situation. I bought the hook to hit a key number, but honestly I don't think I will need it. My guess is a lot of people are going to look at this game and see a undefeated KC team getting a decent number of points and be all over it. I am not buying it. Peyton is still Peyton and he will have this offense rolling at home. I think they win by 10+.
St. Louis +3 -110 (1 unit)
I have seen a number of people take Detroit here, but I am not sure I agree. This St. Louis team has just as good of a shot as anyone to win the NFC West and I think they come out and play like it. This Detroit team is going to compete with Buffalo and a few others for the worst record. I realize Detroit does have some weapons, but I see Bradford, Jackson, etc. being too much and winning in a close one somewhere around 21-17.
Jacksonville +2 -110 (1 unit)
I think some people might be overthinking this one. This is a bad Buffalo team that just traded away the best running back they had. I don't see this trainwreck stopping this week although I do see why a lot of people see this as being a square play. With that said, Gerrard and MJD will do enough to pull out a 4-6 point victory.
Minnesota +4.5 -110 (2 units)
This is a great situational play. Forget about Randy Moss because I didn't factor him in to this play. The Jets are coming off of three straight divisional games. Over the last two years, fading teams coming off of 3 straight divisional games has been profitable at a rate over 70%. Add to the fact that I believe the Jets will be the public play here, and I will take my changes with the Vikes. Oh, and Moss doesn't hurt even if he wasn't a factor in my decision.
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