NFL TNF PLAY (11/20)

YTD (NFL):  43-47-2 (BIG PLAY!!!:  13-18-2)

Took a couple of weeks to recalibrate.  Last time out was such a brutal day going 2-7 ATS.  I lost so much money and then had to also stomach people reminding me of the bad day.  But I made my bed so have to sleep in it too and that was never the goal, obviously.

The record was just over .500 which had taken me weeks to get back up to and then dropping those units the November 2nd week has me with my work cut out for me.  I mean the BIG PLAYS are killing me b/c without them I'm 17-11 (BIG PLAYS are 2 units so really easy to see record without them by just doubling the BP's and subtracting from overall record).  But I've had a couple of decent weeks and love the card for Sunday I thought I'd play a game I feel strongly about tonight.  

UNDER 45 (BUF/HOU) -115...BIG PLAY!!!:  Go figure, I start back with a big play but I see this game being played more as a struggle between two teams feeling one another out.  Davis Mills is definitely no Stroud but he can move the ball enough for the Texans to keep this a game.  In the case he can't, you'll be looking at a one sided affair like we saw a couple of weeks ago when Baltimore crushed the Dolphins.  The Bills have a couple of guys not playing tonight but they get back Shakir, their best WR imo.  The loss of Kincaid will be felt but the Bills still have Knox and a couple of other guys Josh Allen can move the ball to.  But I think Coach McDermott will want to run as much as the defense will allow, and I'm not sure it's going to be for very much considering the Bills have the 3rd best rush defense giving up slightly more than 87 yards a game.  They are also 3rd against the pass and the overall top defense in the league.  In fact, they are even better at home where they will be tonight.  Add to that TNF games tend to be lower scoring as players have a short week, and that the UNDER is has hit in 7 out of the 8 played between these two as well as 8 of Houston's last 11 games, and I'm going to bite on this play in what I can see being a sloppy struggle of a game.

Hope everyone has had a good couple of weeks and profitable days.  Apologies for the year it's been a tough one but believe me I feel it in my own pockets.  The turnaround begins tonight  :).  As always, do your own research, tail or fade, good luck to all...

GL  on your play total @LAGameofInches 

"Bills have the 3rd best rush defense giving up slightly more than 87 yards a game.  They are also 3rd against the pass and the overall top defense in the league.  In fact, they are even better at home where they will be tonight."

LA...The Bills are not playing this one at home

But I think Coach McDermott will want to run as much as the defense will allow, and I'm not sure it's going to be for very much considering the Bills have the 3rd best rush defense giving up slightly more than 87 yards a game

This was clearly a mistake I mean the Texans obviously.  The Bills wish their defense was ranked third giving up only 87 yds per game on the ground.  Anyways, just wanted to correct before people do so themselves.

Wow bro, you are quicker typer than me.  I couldn't go back and edit the main posting for whatever reason so I posted a correction above but you beat me to it.  Yes, I am well aware this is being played in Houston..and I hope this will be a winner being played in Houston  

@LAGameofInches

Thanks to me. I’ll call it lucky but happy to see the tide might be turning. Good chance Sunday will be a harbinger of things to come. Will work to replicate the same result as last night though it took a defensive lockdown 2nd half to make it happen. 

UPDATED YTD (NFL):  45-47-2 (BIG PLAY!!!:  14-18-2)

dude has no clue what he even wagers on. Absolute clown show. Record still isn’t right either… 

let me know if you want me to post the real record.