We got a lot of crazy line movement in the games today with some -non playoff situations as well as a couple with playoff implications. Let's look at some numbers:
-3.5 Detroit 12 3 16 25 6 12
49 Minn. 25 28 24 3 18 8
Detroit opens up as 3.5 fav and that has jumped to 7-7.5 (madduxsports.com) ; the over under has dropped to 44.5 . Detroit needs a victory for any playoff hope. Minn - JJ M. is out the back up has some experience.
Detroit is better in Off rushing 12 vs 25; Off Passing at 3 vs 28 ; Def rushing at 16 vs 24 ; Sagarin rank at 6 vs 18; While Minn is better in Def passing at 3 vs 25 and sched strength at 8 vs 12. What does it mean - nothing - until you compare it to similar situations with an opening line of 3.5 for the away team.
When I do that I find 2 situations - one where the final score was 20-17 and the other 17-15. Crazy part is Minn played in both of those games - Minn vs wash and Dallas vs Minn .
With the New QB for Minn - I think the best play in the game as well as the day for me is Under. My play:
Detroit/Minn under 45 -113
Good Luck all and have a great Xmas.
@TheBuddah
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