Taking the under is very tempting but last year Jacksonville gave u the 2nd most passing yards in the NFL. I have to hope for Bengals to have some big runs or have a big lead in 2nd half and call alot of running plays. And whoever has the ball last possession of 1st half. That team can get a lot of assing yards fast. But I'm still going over 279.5. he should have well over 300 unless the game is a blowout going into the 2nd half. And Bengals don't have the defense to do that
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Taking the under is very tempting but last year Jacksonville gave u the 2nd most passing yards in the NFL. I have to hope for Bengals to have some big runs or have a big lead in 2nd half and call alot of running plays. And whoever has the ball last possession of 1st half. That team can get a lot of assing yards fast. But I'm still going over 279.5. he should have well over 300 unless the game is a blowout going into the 2nd half. And Bengals don't have the defense to do that
Taking props for these SGPs in particular is tough. So many scenarios to consider.
If Burrow has a terrible game and Bengals lose, it goes under.
If Jacksonville lays and egg and Cincy plays conservative in a blowout, it goes under.
If Jacksonville jumps out to a big lead and Cincy abandons the run, it goes over.
If Jacksonville and Cincy are in a shootout, it goes over.
You could be absolutely right about who wins the game or the total, and still lose this passing yards prop. That's why people need to avoid those props and SGPs cuz they are really tough to win, hence why the sportsbook will let you boost them 50% odds, play them no-risk with a free play back if you lose, etc.
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Taking props for these SGPs in particular is tough. So many scenarios to consider.
If Burrow has a terrible game and Bengals lose, it goes under.
If Jacksonville lays and egg and Cincy plays conservative in a blowout, it goes under.
If Jacksonville jumps out to a big lead and Cincy abandons the run, it goes over.
If Jacksonville and Cincy are in a shootout, it goes over.
You could be absolutely right about who wins the game or the total, and still lose this passing yards prop. That's why people need to avoid those props and SGPs cuz they are really tough to win, hence why the sportsbook will let you boost them 50% odds, play them no-risk with a free play back if you lose, etc.
This is the right take if you ask me. The Browns know Burrow and the Bengals very well. Also the Bengals have been slow starters the last couple years.
Over or no bet at all imo, GL
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@phillies73
This is the right take if you ask me. The Browns know Burrow and the Bengals very well. Also the Bengals have been slow starters the last couple years.
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