Latavius Murray over 55.5 yards (-125) 1.25 units to win 1 unit
Texans run D gave up 105 to Blount, 95 to Demarco Murray, 106 to Frank Gore (lol), and 107 to CJ Anderson & 83 to Booker in the same game. Not to mention a -6 spread for the Raiders means game flow should be in their favor.
I'm going smaller on this because of the altitude situation in Mexico. I'm not exactly sure how players will respond, but I think if Murray gets 15-20 carries then he gets this number no problem.
Latavius Murray over 55.5 yards (-125) 1.25 units to win 1 unit
Texans run D gave up 105 to Blount, 95 to Demarco Murray, 106 to Frank Gore (lol), and 107 to CJ Anderson & 83 to Booker in the same game. Not to mention a -6 spread for the Raiders means game flow should be in their favor.
I'm going smaller on this because of the altitude situation in Mexico. I'm not exactly sure how players will respond, but I think if Murray gets 15-20 carries then he gets this number no problem.
Theo Riddick over 38.5 rush yards +115 (1.0 /1.15)
Sorry this is up so late. Too much value here especially with + money. He should get 12-14 carries and just takes one decent run to make this very manageable.
Theo Riddick over 38.5 rush yards +115 (1.0 /1.15)
Sorry this is up so late. Too much value here especially with + money. He should get 12-14 carries and just takes one decent run to make this very manageable.
This is as close as it gets to a max play for me, and I'm getting this line in early because I could see it going up. This guy averages 4.7 receptions a game, and that number is 6.75 over his last 4 weeks. Cardinals are slight underdogs in a high over/under game. And the Falcons give up 8.1 receptions per game to running backs!
This is as close as it gets to a max play for me, and I'm getting this line in early because I could see it going up. This guy averages 4.7 receptions a game, and that number is 6.75 over his last 4 weeks. Cardinals are slight underdogs in a high over/under game. And the Falcons give up 8.1 receptions per game to running backs!
Ajayi's last 3 home games? He ran for 204 yards, 214 yards, 111 yards.
San Fran run defense? Allowed 124 to Blount, 158 to Ingram, 157 to DJ, 138 to Zeke, 106 to Christine Michael (who is now not good enough to play for the Seahwaks), 100 to Fozzy Whittaker....
Ajayi's last 3 home games? He ran for 204 yards, 214 yards, 111 yards.
San Fran run defense? Allowed 124 to Blount, 158 to Ingram, 157 to DJ, 138 to Zeke, 106 to Christine Michael (who is now not good enough to play for the Seahwaks), 100 to Fozzy Whittaker....
Ajayi's last 3 home games? He ran for 204 yards, 214 yards, 111 yards.
San Fran run defense? Allowed 124 to Blount, 158 to Ingram, 157 to DJ, 138 to Zeke, 106 to Christine Michael (who is now not good enough to play for the Seahwaks), 100 to Fozzy Whittaker....
I think you get the point.
BOL
been following, just want to let you know brandon albert, laremy tunsil, and pouncey are all out, the dolphins 3 best o-linemen, but good luck with the play. unfortunately my book doesnt offer the DJ catches prop.
Ajayi's last 3 home games? He ran for 204 yards, 214 yards, 111 yards.
San Fran run defense? Allowed 124 to Blount, 158 to Ingram, 157 to DJ, 138 to Zeke, 106 to Christine Michael (who is now not good enough to play for the Seahwaks), 100 to Fozzy Whittaker....
I think you get the point.
BOL
been following, just want to let you know brandon albert, laremy tunsil, and pouncey are all out, the dolphins 3 best o-linemen, but good luck with the play. unfortunately my book doesnt offer the DJ catches prop.
Appreciate the concern man. I've done some linemen research and am aware of the situation, and I don't think it's as bad as everyone else thinks it is. 49ers missing one of their better run defenders. I see it canceling out and Ajayi still eating up this 49ers run D.
Appreciate the concern man. I've done some linemen research and am aware of the situation, and I don't think it's as bad as everyone else thinks it is. 49ers missing one of their better run defenders. I see it canceling out and Ajayi still eating up this 49ers run D.
To start, I want to emphasize there is injury risk with this pick. Diggs missed last game with a knee injury, but is still "likely" to play tonight. Otherwise, I would have much more on this pick...
The Vikings got a new OC a month ago, and since his hiring, Diggs is averaging 12 targets per game. The offense now runs through him, and with their offensive line problems, the are going to need to run a bunch of short quick passes. If he plays fully healthy, I expect him to end up around 9 receptions tonight.
To start, I want to emphasize there is injury risk with this pick. Diggs missed last game with a knee injury, but is still "likely" to play tonight. Otherwise, I would have much more on this pick...
The Vikings got a new OC a month ago, and since his hiring, Diggs is averaging 12 targets per game. The offense now runs through him, and with their offensive line problems, the are going to need to run a bunch of short quick passes. If he plays fully healthy, I expect him to end up around 9 receptions tonight.
Feeling great about tomorrow's NFL slate. I have a lot of guys I like a lot, just have to wait to get the numbers from my book. Check back in a few hours before kickoff and BOL to everyone tomorrow! Let's hope we can all win some money
Feeling great about tomorrow's NFL slate. I have a lot of guys I like a lot, just have to wait to get the numbers from my book. Check back in a few hours before kickoff and BOL to everyone tomorrow! Let's hope we can all win some money
Feeling a big day today. Gonna do my best not to get too many picks in, but I see so many nice spots. I have a few plays locked in already and will absolutely be back for more.
Drew Brees over 308.5 pass yards(1.25 / 1.00)
Hopped on this play last night because it really just didn't make any sense since he's averaging 357 pass yards per game at home. I'll take my chances with this number all day long. A slight concern for blowout here, but the Saints offense runs through this guy regardless. He's 4 for 6 on beating this number at home (and most of those times he goes for 400). The only two times he didn't was against Denver and Seattle
Theo Riddick over 77.5 rushing + receiving yards (1.2 / 1.20)
I was considering going for just rushing yards with Theo, but game flow projects them to be down where he can be utilized out of the backfield in the passing game. I'm going to cover my bases here and go with the combined number, because I think this is just too low of a number with how high scoring this is projected to be for an NFL game.
Anquan Boldin over 4.5 receptions (1.25 / 1.0)
Anquan Boldin over 44.5 receiving yards (2.3 / 2.0)
Same game flow as Tate above. Lions will be down (most likely) and needing to pass. Also, Marvin Jones is likely out which means that is even more targets to funnel Boldin's way. I think he torches these numbers no problem and I see him ending up with 6 or 7 catches for 65 or so yards.
Feeling a big day today. Gonna do my best not to get too many picks in, but I see so many nice spots. I have a few plays locked in already and will absolutely be back for more.
Drew Brees over 308.5 pass yards(1.25 / 1.00)
Hopped on this play last night because it really just didn't make any sense since he's averaging 357 pass yards per game at home. I'll take my chances with this number all day long. A slight concern for blowout here, but the Saints offense runs through this guy regardless. He's 4 for 6 on beating this number at home (and most of those times he goes for 400). The only two times he didn't was against Denver and Seattle
Theo Riddick over 77.5 rushing + receiving yards (1.2 / 1.20)
I was considering going for just rushing yards with Theo, but game flow projects them to be down where he can be utilized out of the backfield in the passing game. I'm going to cover my bases here and go with the combined number, because I think this is just too low of a number with how high scoring this is projected to be for an NFL game.
Anquan Boldin over 4.5 receptions (1.25 / 1.0)
Anquan Boldin over 44.5 receiving yards (2.3 / 2.0)
Same game flow as Tate above. Lions will be down (most likely) and needing to pass. Also, Marvin Jones is likely out which means that is even more targets to funnel Boldin's way. I think he torches these numbers no problem and I see him ending up with 6 or 7 catches for 65 or so yards.
San Diego allowing 7.1 receptions per week to RB's, Tampa Bay should be trailing in this game. And we only need 2 to push? Yes please, as close to a max play as I'll have
San Diego allowing 7.1 receptions per week to RB's, Tampa Bay should be trailing in this game. And we only need 2 to push? Yes please, as close to a max play as I'll have
ATL last in the league vs. TE's. Without Jeremy Maclin, Travis Kelce has 12 targets per game over the last two weeks. Alex Smith is known for being tunnel-visioned as a QB so hopefully that doesn't happen today.
ATL last in the league vs. TE's. Without Jeremy Maclin, Travis Kelce has 12 targets per game over the last two weeks. Alex Smith is known for being tunnel-visioned as a QB so hopefully that doesn't happen today.
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