I’ve heard it all when it comes to this season’s Kansas City Chiefs. Did you watch the Colts outside on grass at Pittsburgh? Did you watch the Chiefs home games this season against Baltimore, Detroit, Las Vegas, and Washington? I get that LV and Wash aren’t good teams but the combined score was 59-7. Chiefs just lost at Buffalo and at Denver by a total of 10 points. It’s fine.
Chiefs 31, Colts 23
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
KC -0’ 1H (-115) KC -2’ 1H (+100)
KC -3 (-120) < 2 units
I’ve heard it all when it comes to this season’s Kansas City Chiefs. Did you watch the Colts outside on grass at Pittsburgh? Did you watch the Chiefs home games this season against Baltimore, Detroit, Las Vegas, and Washington? I get that LV and Wash aren’t good teams but the combined score was 59-7. Chiefs just lost at Buffalo and at Denver by a total of 10 points. It’s fine.
Colts should win this game but any given Sunday mahomes can get that magic back
Colts wont come close to winning this game. KC is a Jeckel and Hyde team. KS's true point differential @ home is +17.5 pure pts per game vs Indys +1 on road.
Indys 26 pure,ppg on road defense vs KC's 7-13 pppg ave @ home. Indy 22-24 ave pppg road offense vs KC's 30 + pppg ave home
KC by 14 +,
said with respect
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Quote Originally Posted by maxwagers781:
Colts should win this game but any given Sunday mahomes can get that magic back
Colts wont come close to winning this game. KC is a Jeckel and Hyde team. KS's true point differential @ home is +17.5 pure pts per game vs Indys +1 on road.
Indys 26 pure,ppg on road defense vs KC's 7-13 pppg ave @ home. Indy 22-24 ave pppg road offense vs KC's 30 + pppg ave home
I have the Chiefs tomorrow, pride and championship genetics will be back. I expect an already good Chiefs defense to be the best unit on the field. GL to us!
"I'm afraid all we may have done is awakened a sleeping giant."
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@JoseAlonso787
I have the Chiefs tomorrow, pride and championship genetics will be back. I expect an already good Chiefs defense to be the best unit on the field. GL to us!
DET and BAL were outscored 67-37. So KC, at home, has outscored opponents 126-44
Not that it makes any difference ..I got 123-44 ( fg off the pure points total > KC scored a fg off balt turnover) < pure points data..il also take 3pt( HFA) off ea home game (4) from the differential of 79 because they were at a 3pt adv @ home 4 times 79-12 = 69 div by 4 gms = 16.75 pure pts per game. Indy is 96-104 ( L4 rd gms) actually a negative differential on the road..il add 3pts for each road game on to their negative differentila of -8 + 12 =4 div by 4 rd gms is +1.
Can get more complicated for some when i insert AOPR last 4 games using away / home stats ( ave opp power rating) once I have that average. I come up with Indys AOPR of 20 ( last 4 rd) , beating that AOPR by 1 pt and KC AOPR of 22.5 ( last 4 home) beating that AOPR by 16.75 pure points per game..then il add KC's 3pt HFA back on > 42 vs Indys 21. 21 pt advantage for KC plus the defense is leaps and bounds better @ home than on te road.. Im very confident in these #'s which I dont see this type of model very often..I have KC by 21 3 TD's, then if KC defense gets to Jones which they will...then the added turnovers will help even more.
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Quote Originally Posted by JoseAlonso787:
DET and BAL were outscored 67-37. So KC, at home, has outscored opponents 126-44
Not that it makes any difference ..I got 123-44 ( fg off the pure points total > KC scored a fg off balt turnover) < pure points data..il also take 3pt( HFA) off ea home game (4) from the differential of 79 because they were at a 3pt adv @ home 4 times 79-12 = 69 div by 4 gms = 16.75 pure pts per game. Indy is 96-104 ( L4 rd gms) actually a negative differential on the road..il add 3pts for each road game on to their negative differentila of -8 + 12 =4 div by 4 rd gms is +1.
Can get more complicated for some when i insert AOPR last 4 games using away / home stats ( ave opp power rating) once I have that average. I come up with Indys AOPR of 20 ( last 4 rd) , beating that AOPR by 1 pt and KC AOPR of 22.5 ( last 4 home) beating that AOPR by 16.75 pure points per game..then il add KC's 3pt HFA back on > 42 vs Indys 21. 21 pt advantage for KC plus the defense is leaps and bounds better @ home than on te road.. Im very confident in these #'s which I dont see this type of model very often..I have KC by 21 3 TD's, then if KC defense gets to Jones which they will...then the added turnovers will help even more.
@maxwagers781 I’ve watched a number of games from both teams this season, and I haven’t been able to understand as to how IND could win this game in KC.
saying that the colts don't have a chance is bananas
Nuthin but a g thang baby
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Quote Originally Posted by JoseAlonso787:
@maxwagers781 I’ve watched a number of games from both teams this season, and I haven’t been able to understand as to how IND could win this game in KC.
saying that the colts don't have a chance is bananas
Quote Originally Posted by maxwagers781: Colts should win this game but any given Sunday mahomes can get that magic back Colts wont come close to winning this game. KC is a Jeckel and Hyde team. KS's true point differential @ home is +17.5 pure pts per game vs Indys +1 on road. Indys 26 pure,ppg on road defense vs KC's 7-13 pppg ave @ home. Indy 22-24 ave pppg road offense vs KC's 30 + pppg ave home KC by 14 +, said with respect
Nuthin but a g thang baby
0
Quote Originally Posted by Wizerguy:
Quote Originally Posted by maxwagers781: Colts should win this game but any given Sunday mahomes can get that magic back Colts wont come close to winning this game. KC is a Jeckel and Hyde team. KS's true point differential @ home is +17.5 pure pts per game vs Indys +1 on road. Indys 26 pure,ppg on road defense vs KC's 7-13 pppg ave @ home. Indy 22-24 ave pppg road offense vs KC's 30 + pppg ave home KC by 14 +, said with respect
To anyone that thinks KC should or can win tomorrow’s game against the colts must be smoked out of their minds. If you know you know . Clearly the better team is the colts here . KC is overrated and old news . And I say that with respect. I’ll take my chances and lose my money on the better team .
Less talking more winning
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To anyone that thinks KC should or can win tomorrow’s game against the colts must be smoked out of their minds. If you know you know . Clearly the better team is the colts here . KC is overrated and old news . And I say that with respect. I’ll take my chances and lose my money on the better team .
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