I'm glad NFL is here, had a horrible week to start the college football year, but it's a long year, and we have a long time to be profitable again,just like last year. Picks are below.
1u = Standard Bet
4u = Max Bet
2u Baltimore Ravens +7.5
For starters, laying 7 points in the NFL is a lot of points, and it's not like Baltimore is going to be a bad team this year. For example let's look at another game this week to compare lines.
I'm talking about the Raiders @ Colts game. This game is listed at Colts -10 right now. I think we can all agree that the level of talent between the Colts and Raiders far exceeds to difference between the Ravens and Broncos. Yet the Raiders are only 2.5 points difference here than the Ravens who also face a "better" team. I put better in quotes because it's a new season and time will tell. Now to me that's a little scary. Either the Raiders should be getting more points or the Ravens should be getting less. In actuality I think it's a little bit of both. Yes the Raiders should prolly be getting around 13 IMO, and the Ravens should prolly only be 3/4 point dogs IMO. Enough talk about the line tho.
Let's look at a few matchups. For starters we cant discount the fact that the Broncos are playing without 3 key defensive players and leaders. One of which is on the opposite side tonight, and I'm sure Dumervil has given Flacco and this offense plenty of advice on playing his former team. The Broncos will surely miss the playmaking ability of both Miller and Dumervil, and they lose the security of having a lock down corner in champ bailey. Both these raven WR can take the top off the defense, and Flacco throws a good deep ball. Look for a couple big plays from the passing game of the ravens tonight.
Next is the Ravens defense. Too much talk has been made about the loss of Ray Lewis and Ed reed. Ed Reed wasn't himself last year, and although he's a good ball hawk, he missed a lot of tackles and gave up some big plays last year. Now I can't discount the emotional edge Ray gave this defense, but I actually think this Ravens defense is more talented with him off the field. This Ravens defense has a 100% healthy Suggs, 2 strong Cb and a front 4 that will give the Broncos fits all night. The key to beating Peyton is making him one dimensional. The running game is never highlighted as much with Manning at Qb but he counts on the run to open up Play action and keep them on schedule. If the Broncos continually find themselves in 2 and 3rd and longs, advantage Ravens Defesne. Now I'm sure Peyton will get his by the end of the night, but I think this Baltimore defense can get enough stops through out the game.
In the end the NFL a lot of times is decided by QB play. If Flacco plays above average to his standards I think the Ravens have a very good chance at winning tonight. An Average game for Flacco will likely result in a 3 point loss and if he plays poorly, they could easily lose by more than 7. I'm putting my money that at least a little bit of last years playoff magic carries over here tonight.
I'm glad NFL is here, had a horrible week to start the college football year, but it's a long year, and we have a long time to be profitable again,just like last year. Picks are below.
1u = Standard Bet
4u = Max Bet
2u Baltimore Ravens +7.5
For starters, laying 7 points in the NFL is a lot of points, and it's not like Baltimore is going to be a bad team this year. For example let's look at another game this week to compare lines.
I'm talking about the Raiders @ Colts game. This game is listed at Colts -10 right now. I think we can all agree that the level of talent between the Colts and Raiders far exceeds to difference between the Ravens and Broncos. Yet the Raiders are only 2.5 points difference here than the Ravens who also face a "better" team. I put better in quotes because it's a new season and time will tell. Now to me that's a little scary. Either the Raiders should be getting more points or the Ravens should be getting less. In actuality I think it's a little bit of both. Yes the Raiders should prolly be getting around 13 IMO, and the Ravens should prolly only be 3/4 point dogs IMO. Enough talk about the line tho.
Let's look at a few matchups. For starters we cant discount the fact that the Broncos are playing without 3 key defensive players and leaders. One of which is on the opposite side tonight, and I'm sure Dumervil has given Flacco and this offense plenty of advice on playing his former team. The Broncos will surely miss the playmaking ability of both Miller and Dumervil, and they lose the security of having a lock down corner in champ bailey. Both these raven WR can take the top off the defense, and Flacco throws a good deep ball. Look for a couple big plays from the passing game of the ravens tonight.
Next is the Ravens defense. Too much talk has been made about the loss of Ray Lewis and Ed reed. Ed Reed wasn't himself last year, and although he's a good ball hawk, he missed a lot of tackles and gave up some big plays last year. Now I can't discount the emotional edge Ray gave this defense, but I actually think this Ravens defense is more talented with him off the field. This Ravens defense has a 100% healthy Suggs, 2 strong Cb and a front 4 that will give the Broncos fits all night. The key to beating Peyton is making him one dimensional. The running game is never highlighted as much with Manning at Qb but he counts on the run to open up Play action and keep them on schedule. If the Broncos continually find themselves in 2 and 3rd and longs, advantage Ravens Defesne. Now I'm sure Peyton will get his by the end of the night, but I think this Baltimore defense can get enough stops through out the game.
In the end the NFL a lot of times is decided by QB play. If Flacco plays above average to his standards I think the Ravens have a very good chance at winning tonight. An Average game for Flacco will likely result in a 3 point loss and if he plays poorly, they could easily lose by more than 7. I'm putting my money that at least a little bit of last years playoff magic carries over here tonight.
its a no brainer ... people don't realize you look for value... forget the teams look for value when you put your money on the line and that is exactly what you did
its a no brainer ... people don't realize you look for value... forget the teams look for value when you put your money on the line and that is exactly what you did
Any liking to O48 in this one? Is this something we could consider for a unit wager? Manning has stated he'd like to see the Broncos speed the offense up this season. With Bailey, Miller, and Dumervil missing for Denver, I do expect the Ravens to move the ball on this defense. We both know Manning will fill the stat sheet. I see quite a few points in this one from both teams. Your thoughts?
Any liking to O48 in this one? Is this something we could consider for a unit wager? Manning has stated he'd like to see the Broncos speed the offense up this season. With Bailey, Miller, and Dumervil missing for Denver, I do expect the Ravens to move the ball on this defense. We both know Manning will fill the stat sheet. I see quite a few points in this one from both teams. Your thoughts?
Any liking to O48 in this one? Is this something we could consider for a unit wager? Manning has stated he'd like to see the Broncos speed the offense up this season. With Bailey, Miller, and Dumervil missing for Denver, I do expect the Ravens to move the ball on this defense. We both know Manning will fill the stat sheet. I see quite a few points in this one from both teams. Your thoughts?
Logic seems good but what if they settle for Fgs in the red zone, idk I'm just not one for betting totals. I would lay off it. Bol tho if you take it
Any liking to O48 in this one? Is this something we could consider for a unit wager? Manning has stated he'd like to see the Broncos speed the offense up this season. With Bailey, Miller, and Dumervil missing for Denver, I do expect the Ravens to move the ball on this defense. We both know Manning will fill the stat sheet. I see quite a few points in this one from both teams. Your thoughts?
Logic seems good but what if they settle for Fgs in the red zone, idk I'm just not one for betting totals. I would lay off it. Bol tho if you take it
I'm glad NFL is here, had a horrible week to start the college football year, but it's a long year, and we have a long time to be profitable again,just like last year. Picks are below.
1u = Standard Bet
4u = Max Bet
2u Baltimore Ravens +7.5
For starters, laying 7 points in the NFL is a lot of points, and it's not like Baltimore is going to be a bad team this year. For example let's look at another game this week to compare lines.
I'm talking about the Raiders @ Colts game. This game is listed at Colts -10 right now. I think we can all agree that the level of talent between the Colts and Raiders far exceeds to difference between the Ravens and Broncos. Yet the Raiders are only 2.5 points difference here than the Ravens who also face a "better" team. I put better in quotes because it's a new season and time will tell. Now to me that's a little scary. Either the Raiders should be getting more points or the Ravens should be getting less. In actuality I think it's a little bit of both. Yes the Raiders should prolly be getting around 13 IMO, and the Ravens should prolly only be 3/4 point dogs IMO. Enough talk about the line tho.
Let's look at a few matchups. For starters we cant discount the fact that the Broncos are playing without 3 key defensive players and leaders. One of which is on the opposite side tonight, and I'm sure Dumervil has given Flacco and this offense plenty of advice on playing his former team. The Broncos will surely miss the playmaking ability of both Miller and Dumervil, and they lose the security of having a lock down corner in champ bailey. Both these raven WR can take the top off the defense, and Flacco throws a good deep ball. Look for a couple big plays from the passing game of the ravens tonight.
Next is the Ravens defense. Too much talk has been made about the loss of Ray Lewis and Ed reed. Ed Reed wasn't himself last year, and although he's a good ball hawk, he missed a lot of tackles and gave up some big plays last year. Now I can't discount the emotional edge Ray gave this defense, but I actually think this Ravens defense is more talented with him off the field. This Ravens defense has a 100% healthy Suggs, 2 strong Cb and a front 4 that will give the Broncos fits all night. The key to beating Peyton is making him one dimensional. The running game is never highlighted as much with Manning at Qb but he counts on the run to open up Play action and keep them on schedule. If the Broncos continually find themselves in 2 and 3rd and longs, advantage Ravens Defesne. Now I'm sure Peyton will get his by the end of the night, but I think this Baltimore defense can get enough stops through out the game.
In the end the NFL a lot of times is decided by QB play. If Flacco plays above average to his standards I think the Ravens have a very good chance at winning tonight. An Average game for Flacco will likely result in a 3 point loss and if he plays poorly, they could easily lose by more than 7. I'm putting my money that at least a little bit of last years playoff magic carries over here tonight.
Prediction: Broncos 24 Ravens 23
This line should make you think with that reasoning.....???????????????
I'm glad NFL is here, had a horrible week to start the college football year, but it's a long year, and we have a long time to be profitable again,just like last year. Picks are below.
1u = Standard Bet
4u = Max Bet
2u Baltimore Ravens +7.5
For starters, laying 7 points in the NFL is a lot of points, and it's not like Baltimore is going to be a bad team this year. For example let's look at another game this week to compare lines.
I'm talking about the Raiders @ Colts game. This game is listed at Colts -10 right now. I think we can all agree that the level of talent between the Colts and Raiders far exceeds to difference between the Ravens and Broncos. Yet the Raiders are only 2.5 points difference here than the Ravens who also face a "better" team. I put better in quotes because it's a new season and time will tell. Now to me that's a little scary. Either the Raiders should be getting more points or the Ravens should be getting less. In actuality I think it's a little bit of both. Yes the Raiders should prolly be getting around 13 IMO, and the Ravens should prolly only be 3/4 point dogs IMO. Enough talk about the line tho.
Let's look at a few matchups. For starters we cant discount the fact that the Broncos are playing without 3 key defensive players and leaders. One of which is on the opposite side tonight, and I'm sure Dumervil has given Flacco and this offense plenty of advice on playing his former team. The Broncos will surely miss the playmaking ability of both Miller and Dumervil, and they lose the security of having a lock down corner in champ bailey. Both these raven WR can take the top off the defense, and Flacco throws a good deep ball. Look for a couple big plays from the passing game of the ravens tonight.
Next is the Ravens defense. Too much talk has been made about the loss of Ray Lewis and Ed reed. Ed Reed wasn't himself last year, and although he's a good ball hawk, he missed a lot of tackles and gave up some big plays last year. Now I can't discount the emotional edge Ray gave this defense, but I actually think this Ravens defense is more talented with him off the field. This Ravens defense has a 100% healthy Suggs, 2 strong Cb and a front 4 that will give the Broncos fits all night. The key to beating Peyton is making him one dimensional. The running game is never highlighted as much with Manning at Qb but he counts on the run to open up Play action and keep them on schedule. If the Broncos continually find themselves in 2 and 3rd and longs, advantage Ravens Defesne. Now I'm sure Peyton will get his by the end of the night, but I think this Baltimore defense can get enough stops through out the game.
In the end the NFL a lot of times is decided by QB play. If Flacco plays above average to his standards I think the Ravens have a very good chance at winning tonight. An Average game for Flacco will likely result in a 3 point loss and if he plays poorly, they could easily lose by more than 7. I'm putting my money that at least a little bit of last years playoff magic carries over here tonight.
Prediction: Broncos 24 Ravens 23
This line should make you think with that reasoning.....???????????????
This line should make you think with that reasoning.....???????????????
Think of it this way, the line guys made this line what the playoff game line was.
My impression: Denver's run game is worse now which evens out the gains in the pass game. On the Ravens side, their offense is probably in the middle of the league, but the Denver D is far worse off since. At least until the big names come back. Ravens D might have lost intangibles in Ed Reed and Ray Lewis, but I think they will actually be better than last year.
This line should make you think with that reasoning.....???????????????
Think of it this way, the line guys made this line what the playoff game line was.
My impression: Denver's run game is worse now which evens out the gains in the pass game. On the Ravens side, their offense is probably in the middle of the league, but the Denver D is far worse off since. At least until the big names come back. Ravens D might have lost intangibles in Ed Reed and Ray Lewis, but I think they will actually be better than last year.
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