DK NFL Saturday week 17

I like and lean Texans but it is a tough sell when RT and possibly LT will both be inactive for this game. At same time I could see Texans front 7 get to Herbert and give him some hell. It's a battle of which O-line can hold the defense long enough to make the plays and which QB can deal with the pressure 

Packers have downgraded Jordan Love to out for tomorrow's game, Malik Willis will start for the game. Point spread is Packer -3.5 at this point.

Go Texans ML!

@Digitalkarma

 CJ Stroud:

Pressured comp percentage 62.8%(#2)

Pressured catchable pass rate 50.5%(#17)

Blitzed comp percentage 66.1%(#10)

Justin Herbert:

Pressured comp percentage 50.8%(#27)

Pressured catchable pass rate 49.6%(#19)

Blitzed comp percentage 68%(#5)

Chargers blitz 17.3% of the time. The least in the nfl.

Texans blitz 23.2% of the time. 10th least.

D Line no blitz pressure rates:

Chargers 34.9%

Texans 38%

I'm on Houston big. That Houston defense is no joke and should have a significant advantage against that Chargers O-line. Similar to what happened when Houston was at KC and KC was missing their RG and RT.

@undermysac

The eye test would seem to align with those stats. Stroud made some monster throws against KC when he was under pressure some unbelievable passes too while getting out of dodge. When Herbert gets pressured he looks fairly ordinary  

Texans O-line concerns me but in a dogfight that defense gives them a chance. Turnover differential favors Texans immensely 

As expected, not surprised Jackson and Love aren't playing 

Only reason I’d take a side on this game with the chargers is off the fact they play Denver next week for the division if they win Saturday . That’s the only angle I’d go off of 

Adding

Texans ml +100

That's plausible 

Take a look at the week 18 schedule - all games are TBD and will flex a couple meaningful games on prime time, which aim towards Denver/Chargers; Seattle/49ers and possibly Tampa/Carolina.

Chargers aren't losing tomorrow is my guess!

Houston is 1 game away from Jacksonville AFC south.. they’re coming to play

DK 

Fewest YPG allowed 

Last 15 seasons

2014 Seahawks - 267.1

2023 Browns - 270.2

2011 Steelers - 271.8

2025 Texans - 272.3

•Houston 48.5 opponent total QBR

 (Best In The NFL)

•Houston 41 sacks this season

(Tied 8th most in the NFL)

•Houston 25 takeaways this season

(3rd in the NFL)

I see some love for the Los Angeles Chargers and rightfully so but in a possible tight game these statistics stand out to me..especially with a banged up offensive line..

Good Luck with your Houston ML