Good luck Vegas.
Good point, let me be more clear: 45-year old Tom Brady is a slightly above average NFL QB!
Good point, let me be more clear: 45-year old Tom Brady is a slightly above average NFL QB!
Are you implying that the NFL gives special treatment to Tua?
Are you implying that the NFL gives special treatment to Tua?
Both teams finished the year 2-1, losing their final game....
I can give you a LITTLE hint about the directions they went in to end the year...
After the meeting between these two teams in week 1, Dallas played 7 playoff teams, and TB played 5
Dallas went 5-2 in those games
TB went 1-4 in their games
Dallas lost 2 games to teams that didn't make the playoffs this year
TB lost 5 games to teams that didn't make the playoffs this year
This is just the tip of the ice berg. I've been doing power ratings for the playoffs for the past 30 years, and I don't think I've ever seen a team that rates worse than the Buccs. They've played a creampuff schedule, and outside of their week 1 win, they have ZERO impressive wins on their schedule.
Somebody tell me that last statement is not true! I challenge this entire forum of degenerate idiot gamblers, who can't cap a game to save their lives... to tell me what the Buccs have done this year to impress you!
Both teams finished the year 2-1, losing their final game....
I can give you a LITTLE hint about the directions they went in to end the year...
After the meeting between these two teams in week 1, Dallas played 7 playoff teams, and TB played 5
Dallas went 5-2 in those games
TB went 1-4 in their games
Dallas lost 2 games to teams that didn't make the playoffs this year
TB lost 5 games to teams that didn't make the playoffs this year
This is just the tip of the ice berg. I've been doing power ratings for the playoffs for the past 30 years, and I don't think I've ever seen a team that rates worse than the Buccs. They've played a creampuff schedule, and outside of their week 1 win, they have ZERO impressive wins on their schedule.
Somebody tell me that last statement is not true! I challenge this entire forum of degenerate idiot gamblers, who can't cap a game to save their lives... to tell me what the Buccs have done this year to impress you!
They'll both win the same amount of money... but I guess the ML bet might lose less.
They'll both win the same amount of money... but I guess the ML bet might lose less.
@Duderonomy
Dallas on turf this year: 11-1 Offense 30 points 17 points defense
Dallas on grass this year: 1-4 Offense 22 points 27 points defense.
NOT a one-year trend either.... the team sucks on grass.
@Duderonomy
Dallas on turf this year: 11-1 Offense 30 points 17 points defense
Dallas on grass this year: 1-4 Offense 22 points 27 points defense.
NOT a one-year trend either.... the team sucks on grass.
This is just the tip of the ice berg. I've been doing power ratings for the playoffs for the past 30 years, and I don't think I've ever seen a team that rates worse than the Buccs. They've played a creampuff schedule, and outside of their week 1 win, they have ZERO impressive wins on their schedule.
Lets inject some impartial facts here:
Jeff Sagarin, who INVENTED power rankings says the Cowboys had the 29 most difficult schedule, and Tampa Bay had the 13th most difficult schedule.
How many games did Fournette, Evans, and Goodwin play together this year?
And you cant just discount the game Tampa destroyed the cowboys...that game did happen, and it was ugly
This is just the tip of the ice berg. I've been doing power ratings for the playoffs for the past 30 years, and I don't think I've ever seen a team that rates worse than the Buccs. They've played a creampuff schedule, and outside of their week 1 win, they have ZERO impressive wins on their schedule.
Lets inject some impartial facts here:
Jeff Sagarin, who INVENTED power rankings says the Cowboys had the 29 most difficult schedule, and Tampa Bay had the 13th most difficult schedule.
How many games did Fournette, Evans, and Goodwin play together this year?
And you cant just discount the game Tampa destroyed the cowboys...that game did happen, and it was ugly
Sorry man... I just don't believe in turf goblins and other $hit like that. Can you tell me some specific reason why they can't play on turf, compared to other football teams... both of whom use human beings as football players?
You can flip a coin 10 times and get heads 10 times... that doesn't mean the coin has a tendency to flip heads.
Sorry man... I just don't believe in turf goblins and other $hit like that. Can you tell me some specific reason why they can't play on turf, compared to other football teams... both of whom use human beings as football players?
You can flip a coin 10 times and get heads 10 times... that doesn't mean the coin has a tendency to flip heads.
Jeff Sagarin's ratings used to be worth a bag of manure. I looked at those same strength of schedule ratings. Did YOU look beyond them, to actually see if those ratings hold up?
I DID!
I'll be posting my picks later, and I will give a detailed analysis of the strength of schedule and resume of these two teams. If YOU can look at those two schedules and tell me that the Buccs played a more difficult schedule... the next thing you should do is go to your family and tell them that you have very recently had a stroke!
Jeff Sagarin's ratings used to be worth a bag of manure. I looked at those same strength of schedule ratings. Did YOU look beyond them, to actually see if those ratings hold up?
I DID!
I'll be posting my picks later, and I will give a detailed analysis of the strength of schedule and resume of these two teams. If YOU can look at those two schedules and tell me that the Buccs played a more difficult schedule... the next thing you should do is go to your family and tell them that you have very recently had a stroke!
Sorry man... I just don't believe in turf goblins and other $hit like that. Can you tell me some specific reason why they can't play on turf, compared to other football teams... both of whom use human beings as football players?
Personally, i don't care- i just make money off these shit azz facts. I won a ton on Redskins ML yesterday. and every time Dallas plays on grass, they chit the bed. Dak qb ranking in his career on grass sux.
There is a reason some teams build their teams to play well on turf, and others on grass, right? its not arbitrary.
Sorry man... I just don't believe in turf goblins and other $hit like that. Can you tell me some specific reason why they can't play on turf, compared to other football teams... both of whom use human beings as football players?
Personally, i don't care- i just make money off these shit azz facts. I won a ton on Redskins ML yesterday. and every time Dallas plays on grass, they chit the bed. Dak qb ranking in his career on grass sux.
There is a reason some teams build their teams to play well on turf, and others on grass, right? its not arbitrary.
@Duderonomy
you know football. i am not here to argue that point.
I am not a fan of Dallas or Tampa Bay. I study football to make money. Thats it.
@Duderonomy
you know football. i am not here to argue that point.
I am not a fan of Dallas or Tampa Bay. I study football to make money. Thats it.
You can flip a coin 10 times and get heads 10 times... that doesn't mean the coin has a tendency to flip heads.
We are not talking coin flips which are a true 50-50 outcome-
we are talking about Football Teams Tendencies, which are not arbitrary outcomes but have trends attached to them.
Dallas sucks on grass. Simple. its backed by facts. Bet against the trend, who cares? maybe they win? but its not anywhere near a certainty. I like Tampa Bay because Dallas sux on grass. Simple
You can flip a coin 10 times and get heads 10 times... that doesn't mean the coin has a tendency to flip heads.
We are not talking coin flips which are a true 50-50 outcome-
we are talking about Football Teams Tendencies, which are not arbitrary outcomes but have trends attached to them.
Dallas sucks on grass. Simple. its backed by facts. Bet against the trend, who cares? maybe they win? but its not anywhere near a certainty. I like Tampa Bay because Dallas sux on grass. Simple
(1) Tampa Bay sucks on all surfaces!
(2) Simple doesn't mean better......... I'm not only talking about gambling here, by the way.
Maybe you're right that the only thing we have to look at is the turf... I just don't think it's that simple.
(1) Tampa Bay sucks on all surfaces!
(2) Simple doesn't mean better......... I'm not only talking about gambling here, by the way.
Maybe you're right that the only thing we have to look at is the turf... I just don't think it's that simple.
I'm feeling the love. Is everyone else feeling the love?
I'm feeling the love. Is everyone else feeling the love?
Maybe you're right that the only thing we have to look at is the turf... I just don't think it's that simple.
you are certainly right, there are tons of factors that go into making a selection.
For me, the trend i have discovered that works over the last few years, is Dallas underperforms on grass. This dint happen this year, its a trend-
Not every team has such a negative trend.
Cousins record in 1:00 games is incredible. Thats a trend that works for me. i have done well with it
Dak is 21-19 in games at 4:00 p.m., way below his trend in other time games.
Tampa does suck this year- Todd Bowles is a defensive coordinator-nice guy, but that was his glass ceilng. Shouldnt be coach. Tampa also has missed more games to injury than any other team.
and yes, I look at the stats on my own-its my job. Tampa Bay and Dallas entered this weekend with identical SOS records. Haven't updated for this weekend yet. (137-135)
Maybe you're right that the only thing we have to look at is the turf... I just don't think it's that simple.
you are certainly right, there are tons of factors that go into making a selection.
For me, the trend i have discovered that works over the last few years, is Dallas underperforms on grass. This dint happen this year, its a trend-
Not every team has such a negative trend.
Cousins record in 1:00 games is incredible. Thats a trend that works for me. i have done well with it
Dak is 21-19 in games at 4:00 p.m., way below his trend in other time games.
Tampa does suck this year- Todd Bowles is a defensive coordinator-nice guy, but that was his glass ceilng. Shouldnt be coach. Tampa also has missed more games to injury than any other team.
and yes, I look at the stats on my own-its my job. Tampa Bay and Dallas entered this weekend with identical SOS records. Haven't updated for this weekend yet. (137-135)
This is the Buccs schedule this year.... please tell me how many of these teams are HIGH QUALITY NFL teams this year. Then, tell me how many of THOSE teams the Buccs beat!
Dalllas, NO, GB, KC, Atl, Pit, Car, Balt, LAR, Sea, Cle, NO, SF, Cin, Ariz, Car, Atl
As I count it, the Buccs have played 4 teams this year that could be considered contenders (KC, Balt, SF, Cin)
They were 0-4 in those games, losing by an average of 32-21
I pose this for debate: The Buccs 2nd best performance in the last 17 weeks was a 10 point home loss to the Bengals!
This is the Buccs schedule this year.... please tell me how many of these teams are HIGH QUALITY NFL teams this year. Then, tell me how many of THOSE teams the Buccs beat!
Dalllas, NO, GB, KC, Atl, Pit, Car, Balt, LAR, Sea, Cle, NO, SF, Cin, Ariz, Car, Atl
As I count it, the Buccs have played 4 teams this year that could be considered contenders (KC, Balt, SF, Cin)
They were 0-4 in those games, losing by an average of 32-21
I pose this for debate: The Buccs 2nd best performance in the last 17 weeks was a 10 point home loss to the Bengals!
Just a footnote on that... the BEST performance in the last 17 weeks was unquestionably a 5-point home win against the Seahawks. That is their only impressive win since the season opener.
Just a footnote on that... the BEST performance in the last 17 weeks was unquestionably a 5-point home win against the Seahawks. That is their only impressive win since the season opener.
You and I are old school, so I can assure you, I am channeling your spirit here and now!
You and I are old school, so I can assure you, I am channeling your spirit here and now!
Just a footnote on that... the BEST performance in the last 17 weeks was unquestionably a 5-point home win against the Seahawks. That is their only impressive win since the season opener.
A further footnote- that game was neutral site in Germany.
Just a footnote on that... the BEST performance in the last 17 weeks was unquestionably a 5-point home win against the Seahawks. That is their only impressive win since the season opener.
A further footnote- that game was neutral site in Germany.
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