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Best prop of the night?

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Posted: #1
there are quite a few i like for tonight, which one do you think is the best play?

Peyton over 25 completions -115 (calling for a shootout and DEN has hurry up offense which will generate more plays)

D. Thomas over 5 completions EVEN (Got 5 last week and I see him getting at least 7 tonight, even if he gets only 5 it would push)

Turner under 62.5 rush yards -125 (he is only a 2 down back and he only had 32 last week vs a weaker D in KC)


i personally think the turner under is the most likely to happen, whats your opinion?






 
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Posted: #2
anyone?
 
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Posted: #3
Love the manning over completions .. I got it at 24.5 ...
 
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Posted: #4
Best of Luck 
 
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Posted: #5
Like em all...gl bro

tempted to take tamme+10.5 vs gonzalez but denvers pretty weak against the TE
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by redsxfn3321:

there are quite a few i like for tonight, which one do you think is the best play?

Peyton over 25 completions -115 (calling for a shootout and DEN has hurry up offense which will generate more plays)

D. Thomas over 5 completions EVEN (Got 5 last week and I see him getting at least 7 tonight, even if he gets only 5 it would push)

Turner under 62.5 rush yards -125 (he is only a 2 down back and he only had 32 last week vs a weaker D in KC)


i personally think the turner under is the most likely to happen, whats your opinion?







Two of those three props are laced with too much juice. The Thomas prop at even money is probably your best bet in terms of fair odds. 

The Turner prop would need to happen 56% of the time to be profitable at those odds.

The Manning prop would need to hit 54% of the time to be profitable.

BOL
 
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Posted: #7
Payton Manning or Matt Ryan...Which one of them will have more than 25 Pass Completions ????

Erick Decker or Roddy White...Which one of them will have more than 5 receptions ????

QB sacks made...will there be more than 3.5 ????

Longest Rush....more than 24.5 yards ????

Longest Field Goal made....45.5 yards yes or no ????

What you think about these ones ???

Tryna make a 3 play parlay !!!!
 
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Posted: #8
[Quote: Originally Posted by dynamicz] Like em all...gl bro

tempted to take tamme+10.5 vs gonzalez but denvers pretty weak against the TE
[/Quote

if Denver is weak against TE why not bet Tony G over 4.5 or over 53-54 yards?

I also like the Turner prop under. 66.5 -105
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by cashcow__360:

Payton Manning or Matt Ryan...Which one of them will have more than 25 Pass Completions ????

Erick Decker or Roddy White...Which one of them will have more than 5 receptions ????

QB sacks made...will there be more than 3.5 ????

Longest Rush....more than 24.5 yards ????

Longest Field Goal made....45.5 yards yes or no ????

What you think about these ones ???

Tryna make a 3 play parlay !!!!
 
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Posted: #10
bump
 
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Posted: #11
going to take the over 45.5 on the longest FG... have any other ones on that list you like Tom  ? red sox fan ?
 
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Posted: #12
under 3.5 sacks, manning is the least sacked QB in football

manning over 25 just because it is the better line
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by cashcow__360:

going to take the over 45.5 on the longest FG... have any other ones on that list you like Tom  ? red sox fan ?

I like the completions prop if you can get down at -110 or better. I think you will see a lot of passes underneath as neither team will want to get burned deep. There is a good chance that one team will be down a score with a few minutes left. That scenario will lead to a lot of completions.
 
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Posted: #14
mr bogey that line of 3.5 is for ryan and manning combined ?
would u still be leaning on the under ?!?!?!
 
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Posted: #15
I'm liking OVER 3.5 field goals @ +140
 
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Posted: #16
the line i saw was 4.5 sacks under was -220 which would equate to 3.5 -130 ish  believe.  yes that was for both players cashcow
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by MrBogey:

the line i saw was 4.5 sacks under was -220 which would equate to 3.5 -130 ish  believe.  yes that was for both players cashcow

7 sacks in the Steelers @ Broncos game last week.

4 sacks in the Falcons @ Chiefs game last week.




 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by MrBogey:

the line i saw was 4.5 sacks under was -220 which would equate to 3.5 -130 ish  believe.  yes that was for both players cashcow

what do you think about over 4 sacks at even?
 
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Posted: #19
I was on the completions before I looked at this thread.

I was on Thomas over 79.5 yards, not receptions.  I could see him going over 100 yards with only 4 receptions.

Also on Ryan over 2TDs, even though I think most likely it pushes, I think it is more likely to go over than under.

All the ATL receiver props scare me.  The public is all over Julio Jones nuts so the books bump the yard and juice up, and they keep Roddy Whites totals like he is still the only legit wide out on this squad.
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by tomseaver286:


7 sacks in the Steelers @ Broncos game last week.

4 sacks in the Falcons @ Chiefs game last week.



u trolling me?  sample size cmon....




 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by rikdizzzy:

I was on the completions before I looked at this thread.

I was on Thomas over 79.5 yards, not receptions.  I could see him going over 100 yards with only 4 receptions.

Also on Ryan over 2TDs, even though I think most likely it pushes, I think it is more likely to go over than under.

All the ATL receiver props scare me.  The public is all over Julio Jones nuts so the books bump the yard and juice up, and they keep Roddy Whites totals like he is still the only legit wide out on this squad.


From what I have read Bailey will be on White most of the game and Porter will be on JJ. IMO Ryan to Jones in the dome??? 80 seems easy tonight.

UNDER 3.5 SACKS AT +170 IS GOOD VALUE WHEN ONE OF THE QB IS MANNING. IT MAY LOSE BUT U GOTTA LIKE THE PRICE. JUST LOOK UP HIT SACKS PER GAME RATIO OVER HIS CAREER.

DO THESE TEAMS HAVE GREAT PASS RUSHERS?
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by MrBogey:



From what I have read Bailey will be on White most of the game and Porter will be on JJ. IMO Ryan to Jones in the dome??? 80 seems easy tonight.

UNDER 3.5 SACKS AT +170 IS GOOD VALUE WHEN ONE OF THE QB IS MANNING. IT MAY LOSE BUT U GOTTA LIKE THE PRICE. JUST LOOK UP HIT SACKS PER GAME RATIO OVER HIS CAREER.

DO THESE TEAMS HAVE GREAT PASS RUSHERS?

Yes Dumerville and Von Miller both 
 
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Posted: #23
one of my outlets has Jones at 88.5 right now


I am on Tamme over 4.5 and over 47.5, small plays.

with the focus on Decker and Thomas by Samuel and Robinson maybe Tamme gets a few open looks
 
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Posted: #24
bump
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by MrBogey:

Quote Originally Posted by dynamicz:

Like em all...gl bro

tempted to take tamme+10.5 vs gonzalez but denvers pretty weak against the TE
[/Quote

if Denver is weak against TE why not bet Tony G over 4.5 or over 53-54 yards?


I also like the Turner prop under. 66.5 -105


I hope someone bet these props because i sure didn't, FUCK!


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