i've woke up this morning wanting to check on a trend that i've been noticing lately and found that every single game yesterday played to this trend with one exception. i've been looking a lot lately at betting 1st half vs. 2nd half totals and trying to compare/contrast them to see where an edge might exist, if at all. yesterday (sun. sept. 11) there were 13 games on the board. in 12 of the 13 games if the 1st half total went under, the 2nd half went over, and vice versa. that's a pretty large percentage (92.3%). the one exception was carolina vs. arizona. i also noticed that on thursday, the saints vs. green bay also didn't follow this trend (both halfs went over in each of these two exceptions.) what do new orleans, green bay, arizona and carolina have in common? very explosive powerful offenses and relatively weak defenses (with the exception of green bay, though they didn't stop n.o. thursday). anyway, it's interesting and i thought i'd share it with any of you who are interested. maybe worth a look. maybe this has already been looked into, but i haven't read about it anywhere.
here are the breakdowns:
atl/chi - 1st half (19 under)/2nd half (23 over)
ind/hou - 1st half (32 over)/2nd half (7 under)
buf/kc - 1st half (27 over)/2nd half (21 under)
ten/jac - 1st half (10 under)/2nd half (20 over)
cin/cle - 1st half (27 over)/2nd half (17 under)
phi/stl - 1st half (27 over)/2nd half (17 under)
pit/bal - 1st half (28 over)/2nd half (14 under)
det/tb - 1st half (33 over)/2nd half (14 under)
min/sd - 1st half (24 over)/2nd half (17 under)
nyg/was - 1st half (28 over)/2nd half (17 under)
*car/ari - 1st half (21 over)/2nd half (28 over)**
sea/sf - 1st half (16 under)/2nd half (24 over)
dal/nyj - 1st half (17 under)/2nd half (34 over)
that a 92.3% trend of 2nd half totals going opposite the 1st half.
now this is just the first sunday of nfl, but i'm curious now as to what that percentage will be the rest of the season. was it just a fluke or something worth investigating...
GL!