I saw this referenced in a recent article, but does anyone know anything about this ".133 win percentage differential tightener" that they are referring to, and how it applies to betting.
"This week, we will have four teams fall into our general angle: Golden
State (at Lakers, Jan. 5), Toronto (at Philly, Jan. 9), Miami (at Utah,
Jan. 9), and Utah (at Lakers, Jan. 10). And the chances are good that
all four will also fall into our .133 win percentage differential
tightener (check Miami/Utah's win percentages on Jan. 9)."
I saw this referenced in a recent article, but does anyone know anything about this ".133 win percentage differential tightener" that they are referring to, and how it applies to betting.
"This week, we will have four teams fall into our general angle: Golden
State (at Lakers, Jan. 5), Toronto (at Philly, Jan. 9), Miami (at Utah,
Jan. 9), and Utah (at Lakers, Jan. 10). And the chances are good that
all four will also fall into our .133 win percentage differential
tightener (check Miami/Utah's win percentages on Jan. 9)."
team has 13.3% more wins than opponent (i.e. GSW over Lakers) and his reasoning was that those teams are 9-0 ... but if Curry is out it could get wonky.
team has 13.3% more wins than opponent (i.e. GSW over Lakers) and his reasoning was that those teams are 9-0 ... but if Curry is out it could get wonky.
Thanks, I am assuming that's 9-0 ATS? I knew what .133 equated to, but I didn't see anywhere the 9-0 part.
Quote Originally Posted by MTK:
team has 13.3% more wins than opponent (i.e. GSW over Lakers) and his reasoning was that those teams are 9-0 ... but if Curry is out it could get wonky.
Thanks, I am assuming that's 9-0 ATS? I knew what .133 equated to, but I didn't see anywhere the 9-0 part.
Quote Originally Posted by MTK:
team has 13.3% more wins than opponent (i.e. GSW over Lakers) and his reasoning was that those teams are 9-0 ... but if Curry is out it could get wonky.
There is also another win percentage theory as well which I have tracked so far this season and its currently 33-20.
You wait to each team has played at least 15 games.
Very simple calculation..
Use Warriors/Lakers as an example.
Warriors win % is 941% and the Lakers are 229%.
941 - 226 = 715.
715 divide by 20 = 35.75.
Then, 35.75 minus 3 (for HC for Lakers) = 32.75
Then 32.75 minus the current line which is -14 so you get 18.75.
Anything over 10 is a play so you would play Warriors today. You can even tweak the theory as well to have another -3 points because Warriors are on a B2B so you would still play them because the end figure is over 10 still. Only thing is, there must be no injuries so if Curry is out, then a no play.
There is also another win percentage theory as well which I have tracked so far this season and its currently 33-20.
You wait to each team has played at least 15 games.
Very simple calculation..
Use Warriors/Lakers as an example.
Warriors win % is 941% and the Lakers are 229%.
941 - 226 = 715.
715 divide by 20 = 35.75.
Then, 35.75 minus 3 (for HC for Lakers) = 32.75
Then 32.75 minus the current line which is -14 so you get 18.75.
Anything over 10 is a play so you would play Warriors today. You can even tweak the theory as well to have another -3 points because Warriors are on a B2B so you would still play them because the end figure is over 10 still. Only thing is, there must be no injuries so if Curry is out, then a no play.
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