I think playoffs tend to have more unders happen than regular season. Even with the adjusted totals, the under probably hits 60% of the time overall. There are three teams in particular which I think the under is always a good bet in the first round: Lakers, Boston, Orlando. I don't think the Spurs, Miami, Chicago, Dallas, or OKC series are particularly good for unders. Actually the OKC games in Denver should both go over IMO. But the LA, Bos, and Orl series in the first round have too many commonalities to ignore.
Dominant teams, who prefer a slow pace, who have a good inside game, vs teams with no go-to guys, none of which really like the fast break, etc etc... It's a recipe for unders. New York isn't going to dictate pace against Boston. Not a chance. They are the only one of the teams here who might have an inclination to run and gun, and that's why the total is set close to 200, because there will be a little bit of fast breaking...perhaps. But it's Boston. And they will always bring it back to a slow pace.
Those are my three series I'm looking at the under for. Maybe the home games for NO might go over, depends if NO shows up. But you can bet the games in LA are going to be more likely than not to be unders. Same with Orlando. But even when that series goes to Atl...Atlanta is just garbge, doesn't matter home or away. They have no home crowd. They have no hunger this year. Garbage.
I think playoffs tend to have more unders happen than regular season. Even with the adjusted totals, the under probably hits 60% of the time overall. There are three teams in particular which I think the under is always a good bet in the first round: Lakers, Boston, Orlando. I don't think the Spurs, Miami, Chicago, Dallas, or OKC series are particularly good for unders. Actually the OKC games in Denver should both go over IMO. But the LA, Bos, and Orl series in the first round have too many commonalities to ignore.
Dominant teams, who prefer a slow pace, who have a good inside game, vs teams with no go-to guys, none of which really like the fast break, etc etc... It's a recipe for unders. New York isn't going to dictate pace against Boston. Not a chance. They are the only one of the teams here who might have an inclination to run and gun, and that's why the total is set close to 200, because there will be a little bit of fast breaking...perhaps. But it's Boston. And they will always bring it back to a slow pace.
Those are my three series I'm looking at the under for. Maybe the home games for NO might go over, depends if NO shows up. But you can bet the games in LA are going to be more likely than not to be unders. Same with Orlando. But even when that series goes to Atl...Atlanta is just garbge, doesn't matter home or away. They have no home crowd. They have no hunger this year. Garbage.
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