No bets made yet, but leaning towards Atlanta +4.5 1st half, Atlanta +8.5, Washington -2.5, and Utah -7.5. Tomorrow I like the Pistons to cover Game 1 against Orlando.
Bator maybe we should tease ATL +15.5, WASH +3.5 and Utah -.5 or Houston +14.5
1k pays 769
or
Hawks +13.5 and WASH +1.5
1k pays 769
I also like ATL 1H everyone is on Boston ML. I think ATL smacks them early.
No bets made yet, but leaning towards Atlanta +4.5 1st half, Atlanta +8.5, Washington -2.5, and Utah -7.5. Tomorrow I like the Pistons to cover Game 1 against Orlando.
Bator maybe we should tease ATL +15.5, WASH +3.5 and Utah -.5 or Houston +14.5
1k pays 769
or
Hawks +13.5 and WASH +1.5
1k pays 769
I also like ATL 1H everyone is on Boston ML. I think ATL smacks them early.
The Cavaliers are in ATS funks of 3-7 against winning teams (cavs always overvalued), 2-8 in
Friday games (heavier pub action?), 1-4 playing on one day of rest (jump-shooting team with tired legs...) and 1-4 as an underdog of
less than five points (vegas trappin people left and right).
On the bright side, Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its
last five as a playoff pup of less than five points, 4-1 ATS in its
last five after a non-cover, 20-8 ATS in its last 28 overall as a road
‘dog and 13-6 in its last 19 as a playoff ‘dog.
The Wizards are on a 4-1 ATS run at home and are 10-4 ATS in their last
14 Friday starts, but they are on negative ATS slides of 2-5 in the
conference quarterfinals (all against Cleveland), 2-5 laying less than
five points and 1-5 when going on one day of rest.
For Cleveland, the under is on steaks of 9-2 overall, 14-4 as a playoff
underdog, 21-8-1 when playing on one day of rest, 7-1 as an underdog of
five points or fewer and 6-1 after a SU loss. However, for Washington,
the over is on runs of 14-3 at the Verizon Center, 6-0 as a favorite of
less than five points, 17-4 as a chalk of any price, 13-3 as a home
favorite, 12-1 at home against teams with a losing road record, 23-10
against the East and 11-5 after a SU win.
The over-under has alternated in the last
eight clashes, with Wednesday’s game going under...
got more to look into...but c'mon, the line shouldn't be ignored...and not too many 70+% pub teams have covered during the playoffs...yeah the line hasn't mattered all too much lately, but i would not be surprised to see another public massacre tonight...
The Cavaliers are in ATS funks of 3-7 against winning teams (cavs always overvalued), 2-8 in
Friday games (heavier pub action?), 1-4 playing on one day of rest (jump-shooting team with tired legs...) and 1-4 as an underdog of
less than five points (vegas trappin people left and right).
On the bright side, Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its
last five as a playoff pup of less than five points, 4-1 ATS in its
last five after a non-cover, 20-8 ATS in its last 28 overall as a road
‘dog and 13-6 in its last 19 as a playoff ‘dog.
The Wizards are on a 4-1 ATS run at home and are 10-4 ATS in their last
14 Friday starts, but they are on negative ATS slides of 2-5 in the
conference quarterfinals (all against Cleveland), 2-5 laying less than
five points and 1-5 when going on one day of rest.
For Cleveland, the under is on steaks of 9-2 overall, 14-4 as a playoff
underdog, 21-8-1 when playing on one day of rest, 7-1 as an underdog of
five points or fewer and 6-1 after a SU loss. However, for Washington,
the over is on runs of 14-3 at the Verizon Center, 6-0 as a favorite of
less than five points, 17-4 as a chalk of any price, 13-3 as a home
favorite, 12-1 at home against teams with a losing road record, 23-10
against the East and 11-5 after a SU win.
The over-under has alternated in the last
eight clashes, with Wednesday’s game going under...
got more to look into...but c'mon, the line shouldn't be ignored...and not too many 70+% pub teams have covered during the playoffs...yeah the line hasn't mattered all too much lately, but i would not be surprised to see another public massacre tonight...
I like Cleve as well. This series is shaping up exactly like last years Cavs/Nets series where the Cavs blew game 5 at home then trounced the Nets in Jersey in Game 6.
Thank you.....finally someone gets it. Cavs own the Wiz past 2 years and this year will be no different believe me. If not tonight its just gonna happen on Sunday.
I would personally love it if Lebron puts up 40 and cavs win in Wash. tonight.
I like Cleve as well. This series is shaping up exactly like last years Cavs/Nets series where the Cavs blew game 5 at home then trounced the Nets in Jersey in Game 6.
Thank you.....finally someone gets it. Cavs own the Wiz past 2 years and this year will be no different believe me. If not tonight its just gonna happen on Sunday.
I would personally love it if Lebron puts up 40 and cavs win in Wash. tonight.
great post akwon, gotta go with the wiz, theyre better without gilbert, playin at home and are a better team. wouldnt be surprised to see wash in 7, spread is dead on i think, and i love how everyones bettin cle, hope it gets down to 3
great post akwon, gotta go with the wiz, theyre better without gilbert, playin at home and are a better team. wouldnt be surprised to see wash in 7, spread is dead on i think, and i love how everyones bettin cle, hope it gets down to 3
It doesn't make sense to side with the fact that Cleveland is going to win simply because they "dont want" a game 7. Obviously, theyre going to play no matter what, the stakes are already high. However, its Washington that NEEDS to win this game, to keep theyre playoff hopes alives. I mean, afterall, they are the team FACING elmination. I think if anything, the Cavs would seem more likely to let the game go if it the Wizz can get a dd lead, because they play another one at home, and that'll be something they'll have in the back of their minds, which in effect, will cause them to play less aggressive.
By the way, a game seven wouldn't do any harm to this series, let alone for the league.
It doesn't make sense to side with the fact that Cleveland is going to win simply because they "dont want" a game 7. Obviously, theyre going to play no matter what, the stakes are already high. However, its Washington that NEEDS to win this game, to keep theyre playoff hopes alives. I mean, afterall, they are the team FACING elmination. I think if anything, the Cavs would seem more likely to let the game go if it the Wizz can get a dd lead, because they play another one at home, and that'll be something they'll have in the back of their minds, which in effect, will cause them to play less aggressive.
By the way, a game seven wouldn't do any harm to this series, let alone for the league.
the line has moved down to 3 on offshores...do i think it is due to sharps taking the +4 with cleveland? not at all. nearly 3/4's of bets coming in on cleveland.....obviously if this goes down another point or so i'd be a bit worried...but I think the opening line is a big enough trap as it is. If anything, the move down will attract even more cleveland bettors who want to buy it back up to 4 or jump on it now before it possibly moves even more..
wiz or no play...but a big play on the wiz is looking great right now. Butler showed he has no problem stepping up as the main scorer. Butler and co can put up the numbers to force Lebron to take on more than his usual share...especially if Wally and Boobie struggle with their jumpers.
#1 reason to not bet on cleveland- Mike Brown gives Wally wayyyy too many minutes.
Songaila has been suspended. Somewhat of a shock considering the NBA has been lenient...at the same time it was a bonehead move on his part. I expect washington to rally around this, instead of being demoralized (Haywood's ejection was like a kick in the nuts, they can deal with songaila being out.) I find it hard to believe that Songaila's suspension is the reason for the line move...but if thats whats affecting public perception, then I feel even better about the Wiz
the line has moved down to 3 on offshores...do i think it is due to sharps taking the +4 with cleveland? not at all. nearly 3/4's of bets coming in on cleveland.....obviously if this goes down another point or so i'd be a bit worried...but I think the opening line is a big enough trap as it is. If anything, the move down will attract even more cleveland bettors who want to buy it back up to 4 or jump on it now before it possibly moves even more..
wiz or no play...but a big play on the wiz is looking great right now. Butler showed he has no problem stepping up as the main scorer. Butler and co can put up the numbers to force Lebron to take on more than his usual share...especially if Wally and Boobie struggle with their jumpers.
#1 reason to not bet on cleveland- Mike Brown gives Wally wayyyy too many minutes.
Songaila has been suspended. Somewhat of a shock considering the NBA has been lenient...at the same time it was a bonehead move on his part. I expect washington to rally around this, instead of being demoralized (Haywood's ejection was like a kick in the nuts, they can deal with songaila being out.) I find it hard to believe that Songaila's suspension is the reason for the line move...but if thats whats affecting public perception, then I feel even better about the Wiz
What it comes down to is who is the better team. Whose got the better players that are most likely to perform.
Caron finally had a big game last game and they only one by a point. Not only that, they were helped by the ref's (the cheap reaching call on Joe Smith that gave Wizards 2 ft's which led to 2 pts)
I'm not basing my pick solely on the fact that they Boston vs. Clev is a better match up or the fact that a Game 7 is too risky for the Cavs, but solely on the fact that THEY ARE THE BETTER TEAM.
When the better team is a underdog and its a "must-win" for both teams, then usually the better team comes out covering. And yes, this is the NBA, so anything is possible but I'd rather bet on the better team.
For those who can't see that will only end up winning if Wizards get lucky again.
What it comes down to is who is the better team. Whose got the better players that are most likely to perform.
Caron finally had a big game last game and they only one by a point. Not only that, they were helped by the ref's (the cheap reaching call on Joe Smith that gave Wizards 2 ft's which led to 2 pts)
I'm not basing my pick solely on the fact that they Boston vs. Clev is a better match up or the fact that a Game 7 is too risky for the Cavs, but solely on the fact that THEY ARE THE BETTER TEAM.
When the better team is a underdog and its a "must-win" for both teams, then usually the better team comes out covering. And yes, this is the NBA, so anything is possible but I'd rather bet on the better team.
For those who can't see that will only end up winning if Wizards get lucky again.
lebron is unreal......this game reminds me a lot of the nets/cavs game last year in which cleveland led virtually the whole game and won by double digits.....just a gut feeling but im on washington, cant go wrong w/ lebron though, best of luck
lebron is unreal......this game reminds me a lot of the nets/cavs game last year in which cleveland led virtually the whole game and won by double digits.....just a gut feeling but im on washington, cant go wrong w/ lebron though, best of luck
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