If I was in this for bragging rights, I wouldn't post anything just so I could say I ran the table in the playoffs and was unbeaten. But I post the plays on which I make BIG bets, I'm very selective and I like tonight's game.
1* Pacers +6 1/2 (-115)
Way too much attention to Halliburton's status (although it is affecting the betting line). Halliburton was a non-factor in Game 5, scoring only four points and missing all his shots. He had a -13 +/- stat line meaning the Pacers were better when he was out of the game. They can win, or at least cover, with everybody else. OKC has covered only one road game in the post-season and that was by merely one point in Game 4 of this series. Shooting percentages usually tell the tale of a game and even in OKC's Game 5 win, they were outshot. Thunder made only 42% in the win and Pacers hung tough the whole game. This is a survival game, which is a tremendous motivator. Pacers will play very hard and have lots of weapons and the bench production has topped OKC's in this series. And, do I expect Jalen Williams to score 40 again? No. OKC may win and the team that has won SU has covered every game in the series but 6 1/2 is a lot in what is at best a tossup game. THE KEY TO THE GAME IS OKC FORCING TURNOVERS. INDY HAD A TERRIBLE 22 IN GAME 5. If Pacers can stay below 15, they cover. Anything lower than that and we have a Game 7.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
NBA YTD 18-6 +11.2 units
all plays 1*
PLAYOFFS 9-0 !!
If I was in this for bragging rights, I wouldn't post anything just so I could say I ran the table in the playoffs and was unbeaten. But I post the plays on which I make BIG bets, I'm very selective and I like tonight's game.
1* Pacers +6 1/2 (-115)
Way too much attention to Halliburton's status (although it is affecting the betting line). Halliburton was a non-factor in Game 5, scoring only four points and missing all his shots. He had a -13 +/- stat line meaning the Pacers were better when he was out of the game. They can win, or at least cover, with everybody else. OKC has covered only one road game in the post-season and that was by merely one point in Game 4 of this series. Shooting percentages usually tell the tale of a game and even in OKC's Game 5 win, they were outshot. Thunder made only 42% in the win and Pacers hung tough the whole game. This is a survival game, which is a tremendous motivator. Pacers will play very hard and have lots of weapons and the bench production has topped OKC's in this series. And, do I expect Jalen Williams to score 40 again? No. OKC may win and the team that has won SU has covered every game in the series but 6 1/2 is a lot in what is at best a tossup game. THE KEY TO THE GAME IS OKC FORCING TURNOVERS. INDY HAD A TERRIBLE 22 IN GAME 5. If Pacers can stay below 15, they cover. Anything lower than that and we have a Game 7.
And in the thunders only road playoff cover in game 5 by only 1 point, they needed a 31-17 4th quarter and 1 point scored by the pacers in the final 3:20 to get that cover. I can’t see how anyone can take the thunder to cover on the road. Can they do it? Sure, but they just are not that great on the road in these playoffs and I don’t see that changing tonight.
1
And in the thunders only road playoff cover in game 5 by only 1 point, they needed a 31-17 4th quarter and 1 point scored by the pacers in the final 3:20 to get that cover. I can’t see how anyone can take the thunder to cover on the road. Can they do it? Sure, but they just are not that great on the road in these playoffs and I don’t see that changing tonight.
I stated in my write-up if Pacers committed no more than 15 turnovers they would cover. Anything less, there' d be a Game 7. Indy had only 10. The result: a rout.
2
I'm now 10-0 in the playoffs
On the season now 76% (19-6).
I stated in my write-up if Pacers committed no more than 15 turnovers they would cover. Anything less, there' d be a Game 7. Indy had only 10. The result: a rout.
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